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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
14–2 on winners
spread MAE 10.7
16 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+1.6 | 136.3 | 58% | 47–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.7 | 146.1 | 88% | 53–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.2 | 137.9 | 57% | 65–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.8 | 144.8 | 85% | 72–82 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.2 | 143.6 | 40% | 75–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+16.3 | 166.6 | 88% | 81–90 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.4 | 144.2 | 84% | 55–82 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.8 | 142.8 | 43% | 78–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+18.7 | 138.2 | 89% | 49–93 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.3 | 133.6 | 71% | 56–59 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.1 | 151.2 | 47% | 64–71 | ✗ |
|
|
+10.4 | 148.6 | 78% | 49–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+18.2 | 152.4 | 88% | 69–95 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.1 | 149.7 | 80% | 57–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.2 | 147.2 | 54% | 75–66 | ✗ |
|
|
+11.4 | 166.8 | 85% | 65–93 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.