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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–6 on winners spread MAE 7.7 20 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Delaware State @ Howard +8.8 125.9 80% 58–84 ✓
Alcorn State @ Alabama State +6.8 148.2 83% 66–81 ✓
Grambling @ Florida A&M -2.2 138.8 47% 84–91 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Prairie View A&M +4.0 162.6 79% 61–73 ✓
Southern @ Bethune-Cookman +2.4 157.2 65% 77–73 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Norfolk State +6.2 129.1 73% 74–70 ✗
South Carolina State @ Coppin State -1.2 137.6 42% 74–72 ✓
Houston Christian @ Lamar +7.1 131.4 73% 56–64 ✓
Navy @ American University +0.5 138.1 51% 51–65 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Stephen F. Austin +9.4 137.9 81% 46–56 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ SE Louisiana +1.5 138.9 62% 79–76 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Northwestern State -1.9 140.9 48% 63–64 ✗
Nicholls @ McNeese +13.2 144.3 87% 68–94 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ East Texas A&M -5.2 137.5 32% 61–50 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Texas Southern +10.2 144.7 85% 51–84 ✓
Jackson State @ Alabama A&M +7.4 140.9 82% 91–100 ✓
Villanova @ Providence -3.8 153.7 34% 88–82 ✓
Marquette @ St. John's +15.1 155.3 89% 68–92 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan +8.8 137.2 84% 59–77 ✓
Kent State @ Buffalo +1.7 158.0 61% 87–81 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.