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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–11 on winners spread MAE 8.4 44 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Youngstown State @ Wright State	+6.7	143.0	75%	83–93	✓
Oakland @ Milwaukee	-0.9	157.7	54%	73–60	✓
Detroit Mercy @ Northern Kentucky	+8.8	152.7	79%	71–96	✓
Green Bay @ Cleveland State	-3.1	146.6	48%	88–73	✓
Maine @ Vermont	+10.2	129.9	86%	62–67	✓
Elon @ Northeastern	-1.1	157.6	46%	78–85	✗
North Carolina A&T @ William & Mary	+10.7	151.9	86%	89–97	✓
Drexel @ Monmouth	+3.4	130.0	64%	73–51	✗
Hofstra @ Stony Brook	-8.0	134.1	22%	71–76	✗
The Citadel @ UNC Greensboro	+10.5	147.8	87%	66–69	✓
Old Dominion @ Georgia Southern	+3.6	155.1	67%	84–87	✓
West Georgia @ Stetson	+0.9	149.2	54%	86–95	✓
Queens University @ Florida Gulf Coast	+1.9	163.0	68%	85–74	✗
North Florida @ North Alabama	+8.4	151.3	81%	105–91	✗
UTEP @ Delaware	+2.0	131.5	53%	70–69	✗
Jacksonville @ Central Arkansas	+6.2	141.4	75%	60–62	✓
Kansas City @ South Dakota	+6.5	151.1	78%	83–99	✓
St. Thomas @ North Dakota	-7.8	147.3	21%	91–80	✓
Charleston @ Towson	+2.5	134.5	61%	52–61	✓
Arkansas State @ South Alabama	-0.9	146.9	41%	87–91	✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay	+7.6	152.0	82%	72–74	✓
Bellarmine @ Lipscomb	+12.4	152.1	87%	71–81	✓
California Baptist @ Abilene Christian	-0.4	134.2	45%	74–58	✓
SIU Edwardsville @ UT Martin	+7.7	132.4	78%	59–65	✓
Morehead State @ Tennessee State	+7.9	143.7	79%	100–105	✓
Eastern Illinois @ Little Rock	+2.6	132.1	62%	63–74	✓
Tarleton State @ Southern Utah	-9.0	146.8	21%	105–106	✗
Wichita State @ Florida Atlantic	+2.8	149.2	68%	67–85	✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis	+4.5	159.9	77%	69–74	✓
Idaho @ Idaho State	+3.9	147.4	67%	68–76	✓
Eastern Washington @ Weber State	+7.2	157.3	80%	80–91	✓
Southern Indiana @ Tennessee Tech	+5.1	140.9	73%	71–54	✗
Lindenwood @ Southeast Missouri State	+5.1	149.5	74%	88–76	✗
UT Arlington @ Utah Tech	-1.2	135.1	42%	56–52	✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Bakersfield	-3.0	143.8	49%	75–69	✓
San Diego @ Seattle U	+9.5	145.7	85%	64–75	✓
UC Riverside @ Long Beach State	+2.0	141.8	61%	73–88	✓
Hawai'i @ Cal Poly	-5.9	147.3	34%	86–66	✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC San Diego	+11.7	153.4	86%	84–79	✗
Northern Colorado @ Portland State	+2.6	149.8	65%	73–76	✓
Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State	+0.8	147.5	55%	69–83	✓
Gonzaga @ Washington State	-12.9	152.7	13%	86–65	✓
Creighton @ Providence	+0.6	160.1	50%	88–93	✓
Toledo @ Kent State	+4.3	158.4	77%	84–87	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.