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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
15–1 on winners
spread MAE 11.4
16 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pennsylvania
@
Illinois
|
+18.4 | 151.6 | 88% | 70–105 | ✓ |
Saint Louis
@
Georgia
|
+2.2 | 167.0 | 55% | 102–77 | ✗ |
Idaho
@
Houston
|
+16.8 | 133.3 | 89% | 47–78 | ✓ |
Kennesaw State
@
Gonzaga
|
+15.2 | 151.3 | 88% | 64–73 | ✓ |
Santa Clara
@
Kentucky
|
+1.1 | 150.6 | 60% | 84–89 | ✓ |
Akron
@
Texas Tech
|
+7.1 | 152.7 | 75% | 71–91 | ✓ |
Long Island University
@
Arizona
|
+18.5 | 147.7 | 89% | 58–92 | ✓ |
Wright State
@
Virginia
|
+12.8 | 146.7 | 86% | 73–82 | ✓ |
Tennessee State
@
Iowa State
|
+19.3 | 142.2 | 89% | 74–108 | ✓ |
Hofstra
@
Alabama
|
+11.6 | 168.3 | 82% | 70–90 | ✓ |
Utah State
@
Villanova
|
-0.9 | 142.2 | 45% | 86–76 | ✓ |
Miami (OH)
@
Tennessee
|
+8.7 | 148.8 | 82% | 56–78 | ✓ |
Iowa
@
Clemson
|
-1.3 | 129.1 | 45% | 67–61 | ✓ |
Northern Iowa
@
St. John's
|
+9.1 | 129.9 | 82% | 53–79 | ✓ |
UCF
@
UCLA
|
+3.2 | 146.6 | 67% | 71–75 | ✓ |
Queens University
@
Purdue
|
+18.1 | 156.5 | 89% | 71–104 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.