Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 35.3% max 66.4% mean 50.8% std 5.5% (n=359)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.55 (team entering with the better value wins 54% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Assisted Field Goal Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Utah State 66.4% +2.84 100 33
2 Arizona 65.0% +2.59 100 37
3 Lafayette 64.5% +2.50 99 29
4 California Baptist 64.0% +2.41 99 31
5 East Carolina 63.1% +2.25 99 30
6 Tennessee 63.0% +2.21 99 35
7 East Texas A&M 62.8% +2.18 98 2
8 Furman 62.2% +2.07 98 33
9 Colgate 62.1% +2.05 98 34
10 St. John's 61.9% +2.03 97 32
11 Belmont 61.8% +2.00 97 32
12 Long Island University 61.7% +1.99 97 29
13 Morehead State 61.7% +1.99 97 31
14 Iona 61.1% +1.88 96 33
15 Arkansas State 60.5% +1.76 96 26
16 Iowa State 60.4% +1.75 96 35
17 Cleveland State 60.4% +1.75 96 29
18 Virginia 60.3% +1.74 95 35
19 Michigan State 60.2% +1.71 95 36
20 Utah Tech 60.1% +1.70 95 27
21 Marquette 59.3% +1.56 94 32
22 Loyola Maryland 59.2% +1.53 94 29
23 Austin Peay 59.1% +1.51 94 27
24 The Citadel 58.9% +1.48 94 28
25 Cornell 58.9% +1.48 93 24
26 Lipscomb 58.9% +1.48 93 30
27 Northwestern 58.8% +1.46 93 30
28 Rutgers 58.8% +1.46 92 32
29 UCF 58.8% +1.45 92 30
30 Memphis 58.7% +1.44 92 33
31 Purdue 58.6% +1.42 92 37
32 Rice 58.6% +1.41 91 31
33 Houston 58.5% +1.41 91 38
34 Eastern Washington 58.4% +1.38 91 32
35 Georgia 58.2% +1.34 91 32
36 Eastern Illinois 58.1% +1.34 90 29
37 Illinois 58.1% +1.32 90 33
38 Utah Valley 57.8% +1.28 90 30
39 Pepperdine 57.8% +1.26 89 31
40 Air Force 57.7% +1.26 89 29
41 Bucknell 57.6% +1.23 89 32
42 Richmond 57.4% +1.20 89 37
43 Loyola Chicago 57.2% +1.16 88 32
44 UC Santa Barbara 57.0% +1.13 88 26
45 VMI 57.0% +1.13 88 29
46 Abilene Christian 57.0% +1.12 87 32
47 Troy 56.9% +1.10 87 29
48 Mercer 56.7% +1.08 87 31
49 Lehigh 56.7% +1.07 87 31
50 UC San Diego 56.6% +1.05 86 27
51 Indiana 56.6% +1.05 86 35
52 Portland 56.6% +1.05 86 32
53 George Mason 56.5% +1.03 85 30
54 Baylor 56.3% +1.01 85 34
55 Nevada 56.3% +1.00 85 30
56 Liberty 56.3% +1.00 85 30
57 Quinnipiac 56.1% +0.97 84 30
58 VCU 56.1% +0.96 84 32
59 UL Monroe 56.1% +0.96 84 28
60 UNLV 56.1% +0.96 84 31
61 Dayton 55.9% +0.93 83 35
62 Xavier 55.9% +0.93 83 36
63 SE Louisiana 55.8% +0.91 83 30
64 Campbell 55.7% +0.90 82 26
65 UT Arlington 55.7% +0.89 82 27
66 Florida State 55.7% +0.89 82 31
67 Maine 55.6% +0.87 82 26
68 Utah 55.5% +0.86 81 31
69 Oklahoma 55.5% +0.85 81 35
70 Florida Gulf Coast 55.5% +0.85 81 32
71 Charlotte 55.4% +0.84 80 31
72 Duke 55.4% +0.84 80 39
73 Tennessee Tech 55.4% +0.83 80 30
74 Gonzaga 55.3% +0.82 80 32
75 SMU 55.3% +0.81 79 33
76 Clemson 55.2% +0.80 79 33
77 Virginia Tech 55.2% +0.80 79 36
78 Stetson 55.2% +0.79 78 26
79 Longwood 55.1% +0.78 78 29
80 Davidson 54.8% +0.73 78 33
81 Vermont 54.8% +0.72 78 33
82 Little Rock 54.7% +0.70 77 25
83 Howard 54.6% +0.70 77 26
84 Notre Dame 54.5% +0.66 77 34
85 Southeast Missouri State 54.4% +0.66 77 30
86 Stanford 54.4% +0.66 76 32
87 Saint Joseph's 54.4% +0.64 76 30
88 UIC 54.2% +0.62 76 29
89 North Carolina 54.1% +0.60 75 39
90 Texas 54.1% +0.60 75 34
91 Providence 54.1% +0.60 75 33
92 Eastern Kentucky 54.1% +0.59 75 27
93 Maryland Eastern Shore 54.0% +0.58 74 24
94 Colorado 54.0% +0.58 74 33
95 La Salle 54.0% +0.57 74 30
96 Colorado State 53.9% +0.57 73 30
97 Rhode Island 53.9% +0.56 73 30
98 Wake Forest 53.9% +0.56 73 35
99 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 53.9% +0.56 73 31
100 Iowa 53.9% +0.56 72 36
101 TCU 53.8% +0.55 72 34
102 San José State 53.8% +0.54 72 30
103 Jacksonville State 53.8% +0.54 72 30
104 Saint Louis 53.7% +0.53 71 34
105 IU Indianapolis 53.6% +0.51 71 27
106 UC Riverside 53.6% +0.51 71 26
107 Kansas 53.6% +0.50 70 40
108 Stephen F. Austin 53.5% +0.49 70 28
109 New Mexico State 53.5% +0.49 70 31
110 Arizona State 53.4% +0.47 70 31
111 USC 53.4% +0.47 69 34
112 Tulane 53.4% +0.47 69 29
113 Kentucky 53.4% +0.47 69 34
114 Northwestern State 53.3% +0.46 68 29
115 Canisius 53.3% +0.46 68 31
116 Mount St. Mary's 53.3% +0.45 68 29
117 Ole Miss 53.2% +0.44 68 32
118 Sacred Heart 53.2% +0.44 67 29
119 Alabama 53.1% +0.42 67 33
120 Auburn 53.1% +0.42 67 34
121 Sam Houston 53.1% +0.42 66 30
122 Massachusetts 53.1% +0.42 66 32
123 Purdue Fort Wayne 53.1% +0.42 66 31
124 Georgia Tech 53.1% +0.41 66 31
125 Northern Kentucky 53.0% +0.39 65 30
126 South Carolina Upstate 52.9% +0.39 65 30
127 Cincinnati 52.9% +0.38 65 32
128 Mississippi State 52.9% +0.38 65 34
129 Florida International 52.8% +0.37 64 30
130 Indiana State 52.8% +0.36 64 28
131 South Carolina 52.7% +0.35 64 30
132 Florida 52.7% +0.35 63 34
133 Temple 52.7% +0.34 63 29
134 Syracuse 52.7% +0.34 63 33
135 Arkansas 52.7% +0.34 63 37
136 Michigan 52.6% +0.33 62 34
137 UConn 52.6% +0.33 62 33
138 Towson 52.5% +0.32 62 35
139 SIU Edwardsville 52.5% +0.31 61 30
140 Santa Clara 52.5% +0.31 61 33
141 BYU 52.5% +0.31 61 33
142 Georgia State 52.5% +0.31 61 26
143 Hofstra 52.5% +0.30 60 30
144 Southern 52.4% +0.29 60 29
145 Bellarmine 52.4% +0.28 60 29
146 Morgan State 52.4% +0.28 59 24
147 Saint Peter's 52.3% +0.27 59 33
148 Wofford 52.2% +0.26 59 30
149 Texas Tech 52.2% +0.26 59 37
150 Bradley 52.2% +0.25 58 30
151 Pittsburgh 52.1% +0.24 58 32
152 Wagner 52.1% +0.22 58 26
153 Creighton 52.0% +0.22 58 35
154 Gardner-Webb 52.0% +0.21 57 28
155 St. Bonaventure 52.0% +0.21 57 33
156 North Florida 51.9% +0.19 57 28
157 Miami 51.8% +0.18 56 37
158 App State 51.7% +0.17 56 31
159 Western Carolina 51.7% +0.15 56 31
160 Texas A&M 51.7% +0.15 56 39
161 Seattle U 51.7% +0.15 55 30
162 Saint Mary's 51.6% +0.15 55 33
163 Kansas State 51.6% +0.14 55 31
164 UNC Greensboro 51.5% +0.13 54 31
165 Ball State 51.5% +0.13 54 30
166 Oakland 51.5% +0.12 54 30
167 Fordham 51.4% +0.11 54 32
168 Presbyterian 51.3% +0.09 53 29
169 Wright State 51.3% +0.08 53 35
170 Toledo 51.2% +0.07 53 33
171 Southern Illinois 51.1% +0.05 53 30
172 Merrimack 51.1% +0.05 52 29
173 Wichita State 51.1% +0.04 52 28
174 Minnesota 50.9% +0.02 52 30
175 Northern Arizona 50.9% +0.01 51 30
176 Murray State 50.8% -0.00 51 31
177 Cal Poly 50.8% -0.00 51 27
178 Central Arkansas 50.8% -0.01 51 29
179 Saint Francis 50.8% -0.01 50 29
180 Fresno State 50.7% -0.02 50 35
181 Elon 50.6% -0.03 50 30
182 South Florida 50.6% -0.04 49 31
183 Louisiana 50.6% -0.05 49 29
184 Rider 50.5% -0.06 49 32
185 Hawai'i 50.5% -0.06 49 26
186 William & Mary 50.4% -0.07 48 31
187 Princeton 50.4% -0.07 48 28
188 Oklahoma State 50.4% -0.08 48 30
189 Missouri 50.4% -0.08 47 32
190 Boston College 50.4% -0.08 47 33
191 Grand Canyon 50.3% -0.10 47 29
192 UCLA 50.3% -0.10 47 35
193 Marshall 50.2% -0.11 46 31
194 Southern Miss 50.2% -0.11 46 31
195 San Diego State 50.2% -0.11 46 32
196 Incarnate Word 50.2% -0.12 46 29
197 Buffalo 50.1% -0.13 45 28
198 Louisiana Tech 49.9% -0.16 45 31
199 American University 49.9% -0.16 45 32
200 Kennesaw State 49.9% -0.16 44 27
201 North Dakota 49.9% -0.16 44 29
202 Evansville 49.9% -0.16 44 29
203 Winthrop 49.9% -0.17 44 29
204 Vanderbilt 49.8% -0.18 43 36
205 Navy 49.8% -0.19 43 31
206 Northeastern 49.8% -0.19 43 31
207 Penn State 49.7% -0.20 42 31
208 Central Michigan 49.7% -0.20 42 30
209 Old Dominion 49.7% -0.21 42 31
210 Coastal Carolina 49.7% -0.21 42 29
211 Monmouth 49.6% -0.23 41 34
212 Bryant 49.5% -0.24 41 31
213 UT Rio Grande Valley 49.4% -0.25 41 29
214 Coppin State 49.4% -0.26 41 32
215 Miami (OH) 49.4% -0.27 40 29
216 Central Connecticut 49.3% -0.28 40 32
217 Florida Atlantic 49.3% -0.28 40 31
218 Western Kentucky 49.3% -0.29 39 30
219 Ohio 49.3% -0.29 39 34
220 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 49.2% -0.29 39 29
221 Pacific 49.2% -0.29 39 28
222 Florida A&M 49.2% -0.30 38 28
223 Alabama State 49.2% -0.30 38 30
224 Jacksonville 49.1% -0.31 38 27
225 Montana 49.1% -0.31 37 29
226 Kent State 49.0% -0.33 37 32
227 Nebraska 49.0% -0.33 37 32
228 LSU 49.0% -0.33 37 34
229 North Texas 49.0% -0.33 36 30
230 Tulsa 49.0% -0.33 36 31
231 UMBC 49.0% -0.34 36 31
232 Villanova 48.9% -0.35 35 38
233 Northern Illinois 48.8% -0.36 35 30
234 UTEP 48.8% -0.36 35 32
235 Ohio State 48.8% -0.36 35 32
236 Texas State 48.8% -0.37 34 26
237 Hartford 48.8% -0.37 34 32
238 Mississippi Valley State 48.7% -0.38 34 28
239 Denver 48.7% -0.39 34 30
240 Lamar 48.6% -0.40 33 27
241 Fairleigh Dickinson 48.6% -0.41 33 26
242 George Washington 48.5% -0.41 33 30
243 Montana State 48.5% -0.43 32 33
244 Middle Tennessee 48.4% -0.44 32 35
245 Milwaukee 48.4% -0.45 32 31
246 New Hampshire 48.3% -0.45 32 26
247 Georgia Southern 48.3% -0.45 31 26
248 Niagara 48.3% -0.45 31 29
249 Long Beach State 48.3% -0.46 31 31
250 East Tennessee State 48.3% -0.46 30 30
251 Charleston Southern 48.3% -0.47 30 28
252 High Point 48.2% -0.47 30 29
253 Robert Morris 48.2% -0.47 30 31
254 Akron 48.1% -0.49 29 32
255 Louisville 48.1% -0.51 29 32
256 UNC Asheville 48.0% -0.52 29 29
257 Delaware 47.9% -0.54 28 35
258 Houston Christian 47.8% -0.55 28 25
259 North Carolina A&T 47.8% -0.55 28 29
260 Prairie View A&M 47.7% -0.57 28 27
261 Detroit Mercy 47.6% -0.58 27 29
262 Green Bay 47.6% -0.59 27 29
263 Georgetown 47.5% -0.60 27 31
264 South Dakota State 47.5% -0.61 27 33
265 Pennsylvania 47.5% -0.61 26 28
266 Columbia 47.4% -0.62 26 25
267 Army 47.4% -0.62 26 29
268 Norfolk State 47.4% -0.63 25 28
269 Butler 47.3% -0.64 25 31
270 Oregon State 47.3% -0.64 25 31
271 Tennessee State 47.3% -0.65 25 30
272 Tarleton State 47.2% -0.66 24 28
273 Charleston 47.2% -0.67 24 32
274 St. Francis Brooklyn 47.1% -0.68 24 29
275 Maryland 47.1% -0.68 23 32
276 Yale 47.0% -0.70 23 30
277 Samford 46.8% -0.73 23 29
278 Jackson State 46.8% -0.73 23 30
279 Brown 46.7% -0.75 22 27
280 Illinois State 46.7% -0.76 22 31
281 Boise State 46.6% -0.76 22 34
282 Radford 46.6% -0.77 22 27
283 San Francisco 46.4% -0.80 21 33
284 Manhattan 46.4% -0.81 21 29
285 South Carolina State 46.3% -0.83 21 28
286 Idaho 46.3% -0.83 20 29
287 Hampton 46.2% -0.85 20 26
288 Chattanooga 46.2% -0.85 20 33
289 James Madison 46.0% -0.87 20 27
290 Valparaiso 46.0% -0.88 19 30
291 Fairfield 45.8% -0.91 19 32
292 Washington State 45.8% -0.91 19 37
293 South Alabama 45.8% -0.91 18 30
294 Idaho State 45.8% -0.92 18 28
295 Youngstown State 45.7% -0.93 18 32
296 North Carolina Central 45.7% -0.94 18 27
297 Grambling 45.2% -1.02 17 30
298 California 45.2% -1.02 17 32
299 NJIT 45.0% -1.05 17 28
300 Bethune-Cookman 45.0% -1.06 16 29
301 Kansas City 45.0% -1.06 16 27
302 Oregon 44.9% -1.08 16 34
303 Binghamton 44.9% -1.08 16 27
304 Wisconsin 44.8% -1.10 15 33
305 LSU New Orleans 44.7% -1.11 15 29
306 Northern Iowa 44.7% -1.11 15 31
307 Drexel 44.7% -1.12 15 28
308 Loyola Marymount 44.7% -1.12 14 28
309 Cal State Fullerton 44.6% -1.13 14 30
310 UAB 44.6% -1.13 14 33
311 St. Thomas 44.5% -1.16 13 27
312 New Mexico 44.5% -1.16 13 30
313 West Virginia 44.4% -1.17 13 33
314 Sacramento State 44.1% -1.22 13 27
315 UTSA 44.1% -1.22 12 29
316 Chicago State 44.0% -1.24 12 32
317 NC State 43.9% -1.26 12 32
318 UC Davis 43.9% -1.27 11 22
319 Western Michigan 43.8% -1.27 11 28
320 UC Irvine 43.8% -1.28 11 23
321 UMass Lowell 43.8% -1.29 11 28
322 South Dakota 43.6% -1.31 10 29
323 UT Martin 43.5% -1.33 10 28
324 Northern Colorado 43.5% -1.34 10 35
325 Bowling Green 43.5% -1.34 9 29
326 Alabama A&M 43.4% -1.35 9 30
327 Wyoming 43.4% -1.35 9 33
328 DePaul 43.4% -1.36 9 31
329 Omaha 43.4% -1.36 8 29
330 Nicholls 43.1% -1.40 8 29
331 Texas Southern 43.1% -1.41 8 32
332 Alcorn State 43.1% -1.41 8 34
333 Drake 42.9% -1.44 7 34
334 Dartmouth 42.9% -1.45 7 24
335 Southern Utah 42.7% -1.47 7 33
336 Boston University 42.5% -1.53 6 34
337 Harvard 42.4% -1.53 6 23
338 Missouri State 42.3% -1.55 6 33
339 McNeese 42.3% -1.55 6 29
340 Siena 42.1% -1.59 5 29
341 UNC Wilmington 41.8% -1.65 5 34
342 Stony Brook 41.7% -1.66 5 30
343 Holy Cross 41.5% -1.70 4 29
344 Delaware State 41.3% -1.74 4 25
345 Portland State 41.2% -1.75 4 29
346 North Dakota State 41.2% -1.75 4 31
347 Western Illinois 41.0% -1.78 3 30
348 Washington 41.0% -1.80 3 32
349 UAlbany 40.9% -1.81 3 31
350 Eastern Michigan 40.6% -1.86 3 30
351 Weber State 40.4% -1.89 2 31
352 Duquesne 40.4% -1.90 2 30
353 Seton Hall 40.3% -1.93 2 31
354 Cal State Bakersfield 39.7% -2.02 1 25
355 Cal State Northridge 39.5% -2.07 1 28
356 San Diego 38.8% -2.19 1 29
357 Oral Roberts 38.0% -2.33 1 28
358 North Alabama 35.5% -2.80 0 26
359 Marist 35.3% -2.84 0 30