But where the fuck is the waitress at with my drinks! "Stand Up" - Ludacris

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 0.49 max 1.74 mean 1.02 std 0.20 (n=359)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.65 (team entering with the better value wins 61% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Assist-to-Turnover Ratio z Pctl GP
1 Iowa 1.74 +3.54 100 36
2 Furman 1.61 +2.87 100 33
3 Duke 1.61 +2.86 99 39
4 St. John's 1.57 +2.71 99 32
5 Northwestern 1.57 +2.68 99 30
6 Gonzaga 1.56 +2.65 99 32
7 Vermont 1.56 +2.65 98 33
8 UCLA 1.55 +2.60 98 35
9 Belmont 1.50 +2.34 98 32
10 Princeton 1.49 +2.29 97 28
11 Miami 1.49 +2.29 97 37
12 Richmond 1.48 +2.27 97 37
13 Davidson 1.48 +2.23 97 33
14 Lafayette 1.47 +2.22 96 29
15 Colgate 1.47 +2.21 96 34
16 Toledo 1.47 +2.21 96 33
17 Arizona 1.46 +2.15 96 37
18 Houston 1.46 +2.14 95 38
19 Virginia 1.45 +2.12 95 35
20 Hofstra 1.44 +2.04 95 30
21 Utah State 1.41 +1.92 94 33
22 Bellarmine 1.41 +1.89 94 29
23 Colorado State 1.40 +1.87 94 30
24 Kentucky 1.39 +1.82 94 34
25 Purdue 1.38 +1.75 93 37
26 Minnesota 1.37 +1.72 93 30
27 Syracuse 1.36 +1.67 93 33
28 St. Thomas 1.36 +1.66 92 27
29 Notre Dame 1.35 +1.62 92 34
30 Tennessee 1.34 +1.57 92 35
31 St. Bonaventure 1.32 +1.46 92 33
32 Virginia Tech 1.32 +1.45 91 36
33 Rutgers 1.32 +1.45 91 32
34 South Dakota State 1.31 +1.43 91 33
35 Santa Clara 1.31 +1.41 91 33
36 Campbell 1.29 +1.32 90 26
37 Clemson 1.29 +1.32 90 33
38 Marquette 1.29 +1.32 90 32
39 Baylor 1.29 +1.30 89 34
40 Tulane 1.29 +1.29 89 29
41 North Carolina 1.28 +1.26 89 39
42 Iona 1.28 +1.24 89 33
43 Eastern Kentucky 1.27 +1.23 88 27
44 Wisconsin 1.27 +1.23 88 33
45 Xavier 1.27 +1.21 88 36
46 VMI 1.27 +1.20 87 29
47 Miami (OH) 1.27 +1.20 87 29
48 Kansas 1.27 +1.20 87 40
49 New Hampshire 1.26 +1.19 87 26
50 Cincinnati 1.25 +1.10 86 32
51 Indiana 1.23 +1.04 86 35
52 The Citadel 1.23 +1.03 86 28
53 Michigan State 1.23 +1.03 85 36
54 Illinois 1.23 +1.01 85 33
55 Saint Mary's 1.22 +0.97 85 33
56 Auburn 1.22 +0.97 85 34
57 Charlotte 1.22 +0.95 84 31
58 Michigan 1.21 +0.95 84 34
59 Murray State 1.21 +0.92 84 31
60 Cleveland State 1.20 +0.88 84 29
61 Long Island University 1.20 +0.87 83 29
62 Villanova 1.20 +0.87 83 38
63 Loyola Chicago 1.20 +0.85 83 32
64 UConn 1.19 +0.84 82 33
65 UNLV 1.19 +0.82 82 31
66 UIC 1.18 +0.79 82 29
67 Ohio 1.18 +0.79 82 34
68 Rice 1.18 +0.78 81 31
69 Massachusetts 1.18 +0.77 81 32
70 Oral Roberts 1.17 +0.75 81 28
71 USC 1.17 +0.73 80 34
72 Liberty 1.17 +0.73 80 30
73 Dayton 1.16 +0.70 80 35
74 Providence 1.16 +0.66 80 33
75 George Mason 1.16 +0.65 79 30
76 Eastern Washington 1.15 +0.65 79 32
77 App State 1.15 +0.65 79 31
78 Florida State 1.15 +0.63 78 31
79 Mercer 1.15 +0.62 78 31
80 Texas 1.15 +0.62 78 34
81 UC Santa Barbara 1.14 +0.59 78 26
82 East Tennessee State 1.14 +0.58 77 30
83 Wright State 1.14 +0.58 77 35
84 Morehead State 1.14 +0.57 77 31
85 East Carolina 1.14 +0.56 77 30
86 Wagner 1.13 +0.54 76 26
87 Arkansas 1.13 +0.53 76 37
88 Towson 1.13 +0.51 76 35
89 Loyola Maryland 1.12 +0.50 75 29
90 NC State 1.12 +0.50 75 32
91 SMU 1.12 +0.50 75 33
92 Arizona State 1.12 +0.48 75 31
93 Ohio State 1.12 +0.47 74 32
94 Abilene Christian 1.12 +0.46 74 32
95 Missouri State 1.11 +0.46 74 33
96 BYU 1.11 +0.45 73 33
97 Wofford 1.11 +0.45 73 30
98 Louisiana Tech 1.11 +0.45 73 31
99 UCF 1.11 +0.45 73 30
100 UAB 1.11 +0.44 72 33
101 Florida Gulf Coast 1.11 +0.43 72 32
102 Lipscomb 1.11 +0.43 72 30
103 Tennessee Tech 1.11 +0.43 72 30
104 Seattle U 1.11 +0.42 71 30
105 UMBC 1.11 +0.42 71 31
106 Nevada 1.10 +0.41 71 30
107 South Dakota 1.10 +0.40 70 29
108 Cornell 1.10 +0.39 70 24
109 Utah 1.10 +0.38 70 31
110 Saint Louis 1.10 +0.37 70 34
111 Kennesaw State 1.10 +0.37 69 27
112 Buffalo 1.10 +0.36 69 28
113 Bucknell 1.10 +0.36 69 32
114 Montana 1.10 +0.36 68 29
115 Chattanooga 1.09 +0.36 68 33
116 Georgia State 1.09 +0.35 68 26
117 Kansas City 1.09 +0.35 68 27
118 Longwood 1.09 +0.35 67 29
119 UL Monroe 1.09 +0.34 67 28
120 Drake 1.09 +0.32 67 34
121 Quinnipiac 1.09 +0.31 66 30
122 Kansas State 1.08 +0.31 66 31
123 Wake Forest 1.08 +0.29 66 35
124 Ole Miss 1.08 +0.28 66 32
125 Drexel 1.08 +0.27 65 28
126 Canisius 1.07 +0.26 65 31
127 Lehigh 1.07 +0.25 65 31
128 Pennsylvania 1.07 +0.25 65 28
129 California Baptist 1.07 +0.24 64 31
130 Portland 1.07 +0.23 64 32
131 Fresno State 1.07 +0.22 64 35
132 Western Kentucky 1.06 +0.21 63 30
133 Southeast Missouri State 1.06 +0.21 63 30
134 Iowa State 1.06 +0.19 63 35
135 Sam Houston 1.05 +0.15 63 30
136 UC Riverside 1.05 +0.14 62 26
137 UNC Wilmington 1.05 +0.13 62 34
138 Niagara 1.05 +0.12 62 29
139 La Salle 1.04 +0.11 61 30
140 Marshall 1.04 +0.11 61 31
141 Rider 1.04 +0.11 61 32
142 Arkansas State 1.04 +0.11 61 26
143 UTEP 1.04 +0.10 60 32
144 Boston College 1.04 +0.09 60 33
145 Valparaiso 1.03 +0.05 60 30
146 Sacred Heart 1.03 +0.04 59 29
147 Southern Illinois 1.03 +0.04 59 30
148 Florida 1.03 +0.03 59 34
149 Oakland 1.03 +0.03 59 30
150 UC San Diego 1.02 +0.01 58 27
151 Saint Francis 1.02 -0.01 58 29
152 Nicholls 1.02 -0.01 58 29
153 Mississippi State 1.02 -0.02 58 34
154 Georgia Tech 1.02 -0.02 57 31
155 Oregon 1.01 -0.03 57 34
156 Nebraska 1.01 -0.03 57 32
157 Northern Iowa 1.01 -0.04 56 31
158 Texas Tech 1.01 -0.04 56 37
159 Jacksonville State 1.01 -0.04 56 30
160 Stony Brook 1.01 -0.05 56 30
161 Maryland 1.01 -0.05 55 32
162 Western Carolina 1.01 -0.06 55 31
163 South Carolina Upstate 1.01 -0.06 55 30
164 Alabama 1.01 -0.07 54 33
165 San Francisco 1.01 -0.07 54 33
166 Detroit Mercy 1.01 -0.08 54 29
167 Stetson 1.01 -0.08 54 26
168 Penn State 1.01 -0.08 53 31
169 Texas A&M 1.00 -0.09 53 39
170 Saint Joseph's 1.00 -0.09 53 30
171 Fairfield 1.00 -0.11 53 32
172 Purdue Fort Wayne 1.00 -0.11 52 31
173 Washington State 1.00 -0.11 52 37
174 Hartford 1.00 -0.11 52 32
175 Monmouth 1.00 -0.12 51 34
176 Old Dominion 0.99 -0.13 51 31
177 Akron 0.99 -0.13 51 32
178 Maine 0.99 -0.14 51 26
179 Northern Kentucky 0.99 -0.14 50 30
180 Youngstown State 0.99 -0.15 50 32
181 Delaware 0.99 -0.15 50 35
182 Memphis 0.99 -0.15 49 33
183 Bradley 0.99 -0.17 49 30
184 Jacksonville 0.99 -0.17 49 27
185 Colorado 0.99 -0.17 49 33
186 New Mexico 0.99 -0.18 48 30
187 Pepperdine 0.98 -0.18 48 31
188 Mount St. Mary's 0.98 -0.18 48 29
189 Central Arkansas 0.98 -0.19 47 29
190 Northern Colorado 0.98 -0.21 47 35
191 Grand Canyon 0.98 -0.21 47 29
192 Texas State 0.98 -0.21 47 26
193 Louisville 0.98 -0.22 46 32
194 Bowling Green 0.97 -0.23 46 29
195 Denver 0.97 -0.23 46 30
196 Florida Atlantic 0.97 -0.24 46 31
197 George Washington 0.97 -0.24 45 30
198 Northwestern State 0.97 -0.27 45 29
199 James Madison 0.97 -0.27 45 27
200 Oregon State 0.97 -0.27 44 31
201 Western Illinois 0.97 -0.27 44 30
202 Kent State 0.96 -0.29 44 32
203 SE Louisiana 0.96 -0.30 44 30
204 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 0.96 -0.30 43 31
205 Georgia 0.96 -0.30 43 32
206 North Texas 0.96 -0.31 43 30
207 North Dakota 0.96 -0.32 42 29
208 Merrimack 0.96 -0.32 42 29
209 Bryant 0.96 -0.32 42 31
210 Montana State 0.96 -0.32 42 33
211 Pacific 0.95 -0.34 41 28
212 Oklahoma 0.95 -0.34 41 35
213 California 0.95 -0.35 41 32
214 Creighton 0.95 -0.37 41 35
215 Rhode Island 0.95 -0.37 40 30
216 Indiana State 0.94 -0.38 40 28
217 Sacramento State 0.94 -0.39 40 27
218 TCU 0.94 -0.39 39 34
219 Long Beach State 0.94 -0.39 39 31
220 New Mexico State 0.94 -0.40 39 31
221 Temple 0.94 -0.40 39 29
222 UT Arlington 0.94 -0.41 38 27
223 Utah Tech 0.94 -0.41 38 27
224 UNC Greensboro 0.94 -0.42 38 31
225 Middle Tennessee 0.94 -0.42 37 35
226 Wyoming 0.94 -0.42 37 33
227 Southern Utah 0.94 -0.42 37 33
228 St. Francis Brooklyn 0.94 -0.42 37 29
229 UNC Asheville 0.93 -0.43 36 29
230 San José State 0.93 -0.43 36 30
231 San Diego State 0.93 -0.43 36 32
232 Wichita State 0.93 -0.43 35 28
233 Florida International 0.93 -0.45 35 30
234 Utah Valley 0.93 -0.45 35 30
235 Austin Peay 0.93 -0.45 35 27
236 DePaul 0.93 -0.45 34 31
237 North Carolina A&T 0.93 -0.46 34 29
238 Boise State 0.93 -0.46 34 34
239 Gardner-Webb 0.93 -0.46 34 28
240 Yale 0.93 -0.47 33 30
241 Florida A&M 0.92 -0.48 33 28
242 VCU 0.92 -0.48 33 32
243 Ball State 0.92 -0.49 32 30
244 Tulsa 0.92 -0.50 32 31
245 Air Force 0.92 -0.52 32 29
246 Evansville 0.91 -0.52 32 29
247 Navy 0.91 -0.54 31 31
248 Hawai'i 0.91 -0.55 31 26
249 American University 0.91 -0.55 31 32
250 Army 0.91 -0.55 30 29
251 Samford 0.91 -0.56 30 29
252 Weber State 0.91 -0.56 30 31
253 Cal State Fullerton 0.91 -0.56 30 30
254 Presbyterian 0.91 -0.57 29 29
255 Howard 0.90 -0.58 29 26
256 North Dakota State 0.90 -0.59 29 31
257 Fordham 0.90 -0.60 28 32
258 Coastal Carolina 0.90 -0.61 28 29
259 Harvard 0.90 -0.61 28 23
260 Vanderbilt 0.90 -0.62 28 36
261 Boston University 0.89 -0.62 27 34
262 Saint Peter's 0.89 -0.62 27 33
263 Stephen F. Austin 0.89 -0.63 27 28
264 UMass Lowell 0.89 -0.63 27 28
265 UC Davis 0.89 -0.63 26 22
266 South Alabama 0.89 -0.64 26 30
267 Southern 0.89 -0.65 26 29
268 Butler 0.89 -0.66 25 31
269 Tarleton State 0.89 -0.67 25 28
270 Southern Miss 0.88 -0.67 25 31
271 Georgetown 0.88 -0.67 25 31
272 Elon 0.88 -0.68 24 30
273 Illinois State 0.88 -0.69 24 31
274 High Point 0.88 -0.70 24 29
275 Brown 0.88 -0.71 23 27
276 Little Rock 0.88 -0.71 23 25
277 Stanford 0.87 -0.72 23 32
278 Binghamton 0.87 -0.72 23 27
279 Duquesne 0.87 -0.73 22 30
280 South Florida 0.87 -0.74 22 31
281 South Carolina 0.87 -0.74 22 30
282 Idaho 0.87 -0.75 22 29
283 Winthrop 0.87 -0.75 21 29
284 LSU 0.86 -0.77 21 34
285 Robert Morris 0.86 -0.78 21 31
286 Dartmouth 0.86 -0.79 20 24
287 Portland State 0.86 -0.79 20 29
288 Mississippi Valley State 0.86 -0.80 20 28
289 Milwaukee 0.86 -0.80 20 31
290 UTSA 0.86 -0.80 19 29
291 Fairleigh Dickinson 0.86 -0.80 19 26
292 Tennessee State 0.86 -0.81 19 30
293 Washington 0.86 -0.81 18 32
294 Troy 0.85 -0.82 18 29
295 Northern Arizona 0.85 -0.83 18 30
296 Loyola Marymount 0.85 -0.83 18 28
297 Morgan State 0.85 -0.84 17 24
298 Central Michigan 0.85 -0.85 17 30
299 Norfolk State 0.84 -0.88 17 28
300 Charleston 0.84 -0.88 16 32
301 West Virginia 0.84 -0.88 16 33
302 Oklahoma State 0.84 -0.90 16 30
303 LSU New Orleans 0.83 -0.93 16 29
304 Jackson State 0.82 -0.98 15 30
305 Seton Hall 0.82 -0.99 15 31
306 Northern Illinois 0.82 -0.99 15 30
307 Incarnate Word 0.82 -1.01 15 29
308 Missouri 0.82 -1.01 14 32
309 Northeastern 0.82 -1.01 14 31
310 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 0.81 -1.02 14 29
311 Pittsburgh 0.81 -1.04 13 32
312 Green Bay 0.81 -1.04 13 29
313 SIU Edwardsville 0.81 -1.05 13 30
314 Siena 0.80 -1.09 13 29
315 Omaha 0.80 -1.09 12 29
316 NJIT 0.80 -1.10 12 28
317 Houston Christian 0.79 -1.11 12 25
318 UT Rio Grande Valley 0.79 -1.11 11 29
319 Cal State Bakersfield 0.79 -1.13 11 25
320 Hampton 0.79 -1.13 11 26
321 Louisiana 0.79 -1.14 11 29
322 Georgia Southern 0.79 -1.14 10 26
323 Bethune-Cookman 0.79 -1.16 10 29
324 UT Martin 0.79 -1.16 10 28
325 Holy Cross 0.78 -1.17 9 29
326 Columbia 0.77 -1.23 9 25
327 Central Connecticut 0.77 -1.23 9 32
328 Radford 0.77 -1.23 9 27
329 Manhattan 0.77 -1.23 8 29
330 North Florida 0.77 -1.24 8 28
331 Coppin State 0.77 -1.25 8 32
332 Maryland Eastern Shore 0.77 -1.26 8 24
333 Alabama State 0.76 -1.26 7 30
334 UAlbany 0.76 -1.27 7 31
335 UC Irvine 0.76 -1.28 7 23
336 South Carolina State 0.76 -1.30 6 28
337 Lamar 0.76 -1.30 6 27
338 Western Michigan 0.76 -1.30 6 28
339 San Diego 0.75 -1.34 6 29
340 Grambling 0.74 -1.36 5 30
341 Alcorn State 0.74 -1.40 5 34
342 Eastern Michigan 0.73 -1.41 5 30
343 East Texas A&M 0.73 -1.43 4 2
344 Marist 0.73 -1.45 4 30
345 Texas Southern 0.72 -1.47 4 32
346 Charleston Southern 0.72 -1.47 4 28
347 Idaho State 0.72 -1.49 3 28
348 Cal State Northridge 0.72 -1.50 3 28
349 Cal Poly 0.71 -1.52 3 27
350 Alabama A&M 0.70 -1.58 3 30
351 Eastern Illinois 0.70 -1.60 2 29
352 William & Mary 0.69 -1.62 2 31
353 North Alabama 0.68 -1.67 2 26
354 McNeese 0.68 -1.70 1 29
355 Prairie View A&M 0.66 -1.79 1 27
356 North Carolina Central 0.65 -1.84 1 27
357 Chicago State 0.64 -1.88 1 32
358 IU Indianapolis 0.61 -1.99 0 27
359 Delaware State 0.49 -2.61 0 25