Four young chiquitas in Omaha waitin' for the band to return from the show. "We're an American Band" - Grand Funk Railroad

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 88.0 max 118.2 mean 102.1 std 5.4 (n=359)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.69 (team entering with the better value wins 64% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Defensive Efficiency z Pctl GP
1 San Diego State 88.0 -2.58 100 32
2 Texas Tech 88.8 -2.44 100 37
3 East Texas A&M 88.8 -2.43 99 2
4 LSU 89.4 -2.34 99 34
5 Gonzaga 89.4 -2.32 99 32
6 Houston 89.5 -2.32 99 38
7 VCU 90.1 -2.19 98 32
8 Tennessee 90.9 -2.06 98 35
9 Grand Canyon 92.2 -1.82 98 29
10 Iowa State 92.4 -1.79 97 35
11 Baylor 92.9 -1.69 97 34
12 North Texas 92.9 -1.69 97 30
13 Boise State 93.0 -1.67 97 34
14 Oklahoma State 93.1 -1.66 96 30
15 Arizona 93.1 -1.65 96 37
16 Auburn 93.2 -1.64 96 34
17 Vermont 93.2 -1.63 96 33
18 Seattle U 93.3 -1.61 95 30
19 Loyola Chicago 93.3 -1.61 95 32
20 Navy 93.4 -1.60 95 31
21 Texas 93.6 -1.56 94 34
22 Saint Mary's 93.6 -1.56 94 33
23 Saint Peter's 93.6 -1.55 94 33
24 Fresno State 93.7 -1.54 94 35
25 Murray State 93.9 -1.50 93 31
26 Wagner 94.3 -1.43 93 26
27 Norfolk State 94.5 -1.39 93 28
28 Arkansas 94.7 -1.36 92 37
29 UC Irvine 94.8 -1.34 92 23
30 Texas Southern 94.9 -1.33 92 32
31 Dayton 94.9 -1.31 92 35
32 San Francisco 95.1 -1.28 91 33
33 UCLA 95.2 -1.26 91 35
34 Southern 95.2 -1.26 91 29
35 Utah Valley 95.3 -1.25 91 30
36 Gardner-Webb 95.3 -1.24 90 28
37 New Mexico State 95.3 -1.24 90 31
38 Texas A&M 95.5 -1.22 90 39
39 Kentucky 95.5 -1.22 89 34
40 Towson 95.5 -1.20 89 35
41 Bradley 95.7 -1.18 89 30
42 Wichita State 95.7 -1.18 89 28
43 Fordham 95.8 -1.16 88 32
44 Kansas 95.8 -1.15 88 40
45 UConn 95.8 -1.15 88 33
46 SMU 95.9 -1.14 87 33
47 TCU 96.0 -1.13 87 34
48 UAB 96.0 -1.12 87 33
49 Washington State 96.2 -1.09 87 37
50 Abilene Christian 96.3 -1.07 86 32
51 Alabama A&M 96.4 -1.04 86 30
52 Rhode Island 96.4 -1.04 86 30
53 Memphis 96.5 -1.03 85 33
54 Indiana 96.5 -1.03 85 35
55 Cincinnati 96.5 -1.03 85 32
56 UC Riverside 96.5 -1.03 85 26
57 Creighton 96.5 -1.02 84 35
58 Belmont 96.7 -0.98 84 32
59 Seton Hall 96.8 -0.98 84 31
60 Stephen F. Austin 97.0 -0.94 84 28
61 Oklahoma 97.0 -0.93 83 35
62 Wake Forest 97.0 -0.93 83 35
63 Morehead State 97.0 -0.92 83 31
64 USC 97.1 -0.92 82 34
65 Iona 97.1 -0.91 82 33
66 Sam Houston 97.4 -0.87 82 30
67 Arizona State 97.4 -0.86 82 31
68 Vanderbilt 97.5 -0.83 81 36
69 South Alabama 97.5 -0.83 81 30
70 Jacksonville 97.6 -0.83 81 27
71 Maryland Eastern Shore 97.6 -0.83 80 24
72 UC Santa Barbara 97.6 -0.82 80 26
73 Troy 97.6 -0.82 80 29
74 Colorado 97.7 -0.81 80 33
75 Coastal Carolina 97.7 -0.81 79 29
76 Illinois 97.7 -0.80 79 33
77 Wyoming 97.9 -0.78 79 33
78 South Carolina 97.9 -0.78 78 30
79 Villanova 98.1 -0.74 78 38
80 Temple 98.1 -0.73 78 29
81 Middle Tennessee 98.1 -0.73 78 35
82 Utah State 98.2 -0.71 77 33
83 Southern Illinois 98.2 -0.71 77 30
84 Wisconsin 98.3 -0.69 77 33
85 UC Davis 98.3 -0.69 77 22
86 Ohio 98.4 -0.68 76 34
87 Providence 98.4 -0.67 76 33
88 Jackson State 98.4 -0.67 76 30
89 Xavier 98.4 -0.67 75 36
90 Liberty 98.4 -0.67 75 30
91 Louisiana Tech 98.4 -0.67 75 31
92 Hawai'i 98.5 -0.66 75 26
93 Virginia Tech 98.5 -0.66 74 36
94 Saint Louis 98.5 -0.65 74 34
95 Mississippi State 98.6 -0.64 74 34
96 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 98.6 -0.63 73 31
97 BYU 98.7 -0.63 73 33
98 South Florida 98.7 -0.63 73 31
99 Louisiana 98.8 -0.60 73 29
100 Georgia State 98.9 -0.59 72 26
101 Kent State 98.9 -0.58 72 32
102 Howard 98.9 -0.58 72 26
103 Florida 98.9 -0.58 72 34
104 Marquette 98.9 -0.58 71 32
105 Duke 99.1 -0.55 71 39
106 UTEP 99.1 -0.54 71 32
107 Chattanooga 99.1 -0.54 70 33
108 Arkansas State 99.2 -0.53 70 26
109 Longwood 99.2 -0.52 70 29
110 Drake 99.3 -0.52 70 34
111 Kansas State 99.3 -0.50 69 31
112 St. John's 99.4 -0.50 69 32
113 Monmouth 99.4 -0.50 69 34
114 Colorado State 99.4 -0.49 68 30
115 Northern Kentucky 99.4 -0.48 68 30
116 Yale 99.5 -0.47 68 30
117 UCF 99.6 -0.47 68 30
118 Toledo 99.6 -0.46 67 33
119 Mount St. Mary's 99.7 -0.44 67 29
120 Coppin State 99.7 -0.44 67 32
121 Virginia 99.8 -0.43 66 35
122 UAlbany 99.8 -0.43 66 31
123 Montana State 99.8 -0.43 66 33
124 Colgate 99.8 -0.42 66 34
125 Loyola Maryland 99.9 -0.40 65 29
126 Rutgers 99.9 -0.40 65 32
127 Florida Atlantic 100.0 -0.39 65 31
128 Campbell 100.0 -0.38 65 26
129 UMass Lowell 100.0 -0.38 64 28
130 UNLV 100.0 -0.38 64 31
131 Niagara 100.1 -0.37 64 29
132 South Carolina State 100.1 -0.37 63 28
133 Harvard 100.1 -0.37 63 23
134 Akron 100.1 -0.37 63 32
135 California Baptist 100.1 -0.36 63 31
136 Santa Clara 100.1 -0.36 62 33
137 Morgan State 100.1 -0.36 62 24
138 St. Bonaventure 100.2 -0.35 62 33
139 App State 100.2 -0.35 61 31
140 Texas State 100.2 -0.35 61 26
141 Cal State Fullerton 100.2 -0.35 61 30
142 Davidson 100.2 -0.35 61 33
143 Jacksonville State 100.2 -0.35 60 30
144 North Carolina 100.2 -0.34 60 39
145 Fairfield 100.3 -0.33 60 32
146 Saint Joseph's 100.5 -0.29 59 30
147 Notre Dame 100.6 -0.28 59 34
148 Nicholls 100.7 -0.26 59 29
149 George Mason 100.7 -0.26 59 30
150 Weber State 100.7 -0.25 58 31
151 Richmond 100.8 -0.23 58 37
152 Iowa 100.9 -0.22 58 36
153 West Virginia 100.9 -0.22 58 33
154 California 100.9 -0.22 57 32
155 Marist 100.9 -0.22 57 30
156 Merrimack 100.9 -0.21 57 29
157 Cleveland State 101.0 -0.21 56 29
158 Western Kentucky 101.0 -0.20 56 30
159 Georgia Southern 101.0 -0.19 56 26
160 Dartmouth 101.1 -0.17 56 24
161 North Carolina Central 101.2 -0.17 55 27
162 Northwestern 101.2 -0.16 55 30
163 Long Island University 101.2 -0.16 55 29
164 Ole Miss 101.2 -0.16 54 32
165 Rider 101.2 -0.16 54 32
166 Purdue Fort Wayne 101.2 -0.15 54 31
167 Oakland 101.2 -0.15 54 30
168 Washington 101.3 -0.15 53 32
169 Siena 101.3 -0.14 53 29
170 Missouri State 101.3 -0.14 53 33
171 Tarleton State 101.4 -0.12 53 28
172 UT Arlington 101.5 -0.10 52 27
173 San Diego 101.6 -0.09 52 29
174 North Dakota State 101.7 -0.08 52 31
175 Hampton 101.7 -0.07 51 26
176 Bryant 101.7 -0.07 51 31
177 UNC Greensboro 101.7 -0.07 51 31
178 Purdue 101.9 -0.04 51 37
179 Michigan State 101.9 -0.04 50 36
180 Buffalo 101.9 -0.03 50 28
181 Clemson 101.9 -0.03 50 33
182 Oregon 102.0 -0.02 49 34
183 Tennessee State 102.0 -0.02 49 30
184 Tulane 102.0 -0.02 49 29
185 LSU New Orleans 102.0 -0.02 49 29
186 Georgia Tech 102.0 -0.01 48 31
187 Charleston 102.0 -0.01 48 32
188 Wofford 102.0 -0.01 48 30
189 Portland State 102.1 +0.00 47 29
190 Penn State 102.1 +0.01 47 31
191 SIU Edwardsville 102.1 +0.01 47 30
192 Old Dominion 102.2 +0.02 47 31
193 UNC Asheville 102.3 +0.03 46 29
194 Portland 102.3 +0.04 46 32
195 Stanford 102.3 +0.04 46 32
196 Delaware 102.4 +0.05 46 35
197 Winthrop 102.4 +0.05 45 29
198 Radford 102.4 +0.06 45 27
199 DePaul 102.4 +0.06 45 31
200 Brown 102.4 +0.06 44 27
201 Long Beach State 102.5 +0.07 44 31
202 Grambling 102.5 +0.07 44 30
203 Ohio State 102.5 +0.07 44 32
204 East Carolina 102.5 +0.08 43 30
205 Butler 102.5 +0.08 43 31
206 Furman 102.6 +0.10 43 33
207 Drexel 102.7 +0.10 42 28
208 Cal Poly 102.7 +0.11 42 27
209 Michigan 102.7 +0.11 42 34
210 UNC Wilmington 102.8 +0.13 42 34
211 Alcorn State 102.9 +0.14 41 34
212 High Point 102.9 +0.14 41 29
213 Presbyterian 102.9 +0.15 41 29
214 Army 102.9 +0.16 41 29
215 Louisville 103.0 +0.16 40 32
216 Boston College 103.0 +0.16 40 33
217 Boston University 103.0 +0.17 40 34
218 Miami 103.0 +0.17 39 37
219 Kansas City 103.0 +0.18 39 27
220 Southern Utah 103.1 +0.18 39 33
221 North Alabama 103.1 +0.19 39 26
222 Princeton 103.3 +0.22 38 28
223 George Washington 103.3 +0.22 38 30
224 La Salle 103.4 +0.23 38 30
225 Florida A&M 103.4 +0.23 37 28
226 North Carolina A&T 103.5 +0.27 37 29
227 Canisius 103.5 +0.27 37 31
228 Florida International 103.5 +0.27 37 30
229 Northern Illinois 103.7 +0.30 36 30
230 Binghamton 103.7 +0.30 36 27
231 Cornell 103.7 +0.31 36 24
232 Northern Iowa 103.8 +0.31 35 31
233 Austin Peay 103.9 +0.34 35 27
234 Tulsa 103.9 +0.34 35 31
235 Florida State 104.0 +0.35 35 31
236 South Dakota State 104.0 +0.35 34 33
237 Florida Gulf Coast 104.0 +0.35 34 32
238 Bethune-Cookman 104.0 +0.36 34 29
239 Wright State 104.0 +0.36 34 35
240 Quinnipiac 104.1 +0.38 33 30
241 Utah Tech 104.2 +0.39 33 27
242 Cal State Bakersfield 104.2 +0.40 33 25
243 Alabama 104.3 +0.41 32 33
244 Air Force 104.3 +0.41 32 29
245 New Hampshire 104.4 +0.42 32 26
246 St. Francis Brooklyn 104.4 +0.43 32 29
247 Maryland 104.4 +0.43 31 32
248 Indiana State 104.5 +0.44 31 28
249 Lehigh 104.5 +0.45 31 31
250 Montana 104.5 +0.45 30 29
251 Nevada 104.7 +0.48 30 30
252 Northeastern 104.8 +0.49 30 31
253 Youngstown State 104.8 +0.50 30 32
254 Prairie View A&M 104.9 +0.52 29 27
255 NJIT 105.0 +0.54 29 28
256 Eastern Kentucky 105.0 +0.54 29 27
257 Valparaiso 105.1 +0.55 28 30
258 Hofstra 105.1 +0.55 28 30
259 Missouri 105.1 +0.56 28 32
260 Utah 105.1 +0.56 28 31
261 Manhattan 105.1 +0.56 27 29
262 Alabama State 105.1 +0.56 27 30
263 Minnesota 105.2 +0.57 27 30
264 Milwaukee 105.2 +0.58 27 31
265 Tennessee Tech 105.4 +0.60 26 30
266 UC San Diego 105.4 +0.61 26 27
267 Western Illinois 105.5 +0.63 26 30
268 UIC 105.8 +0.68 25 29
269 Pittsburgh 105.9 +0.70 25 32
270 Eastern Washington 105.9 +0.70 25 32
271 Eastern Michigan 106.0 +0.71 25 30
272 Pacific 106.1 +0.74 24 28
273 UMBC 106.2 +0.76 24 31
274 Samford 106.4 +0.79 24 29
275 UT Martin 106.5 +0.80 23 28
276 James Madison 106.5 +0.81 23 27
277 UTSA 106.5 +0.82 23 29
278 South Dakota 106.6 +0.83 23 29
279 Charlotte 106.6 +0.83 22 31
280 North Florida 106.7 +0.84 22 28
281 Nebraska 106.7 +0.84 22 32
282 Illinois State 106.7 +0.85 22 31
283 Marshall 106.7 +0.85 21 31
284 Rice 106.8 +0.87 21 31
285 Sacramento State 106.9 +0.88 21 27
286 Stony Brook 106.9 +0.88 20 30
287 William & Mary 106.9 +0.89 20 31
288 New Mexico 106.9 +0.89 20 30
289 Kennesaw State 107.1 +0.91 20 27
290 Hartford 107.1 +0.93 19 32
291 Southeast Missouri State 107.2 +0.94 19 30
292 Saint Francis 107.2 +0.94 19 29
293 Oral Roberts 107.3 +0.96 18 28
294 Green Bay 107.4 +0.98 18 29
295 Cal State Northridge 107.5 +1.00 18 28
296 American University 107.6 +1.00 18 32
297 McNeese 107.6 +1.01 17 29
298 Central Connecticut 107.6 +1.01 17 32
299 Holy Cross 107.6 +1.01 17 29
300 Delaware State 107.6 +1.02 16 25
301 South Carolina Upstate 107.6 +1.02 16 30
302 Ball State 107.7 +1.03 16 30
303 Syracuse 107.7 +1.03 16 33
304 Duquesne 107.8 +1.05 15 30
305 Stetson 107.8 +1.05 15 26
306 SE Louisiana 107.9 +1.06 15 30
307 UL Monroe 108.0 +1.08 15 28
308 Evansville 108.1 +1.11 14 29
309 Eastern Illinois 108.1 +1.11 14 29
310 Pepperdine 108.1 +1.11 14 31
311 IU Indianapolis 108.1 +1.11 13 27
312 Elon 108.4 +1.17 13 30
313 Pennsylvania 108.5 +1.17 13 28
314 Detroit Mercy 108.6 +1.19 13 29
315 Mercer 108.7 +1.21 12 31
316 Denver 108.7 +1.21 12 30
317 The Citadel 108.7 +1.22 12 28
318 Georgetown 108.8 +1.23 11 31
319 Lipscomb 109.0 +1.27 11 30
320 Lafayette 109.0 +1.27 11 29
321 NC State 109.2 +1.30 11 32
322 Idaho State 109.3 +1.32 10 28
323 Loyola Marymount 109.4 +1.34 10 28
324 UT Rio Grande Valley 109.4 +1.35 10 29
325 Houston Christian 109.5 +1.36 9 25
326 Miami (OH) 109.5 +1.36 9 29
327 Northern Colorado 109.7 +1.40 9 35
328 Chicago State 110.2 +1.49 9 32
329 Sacred Heart 110.2 +1.49 8 29
330 Charleston Southern 110.3 +1.50 8 28
331 VMI 110.3 +1.50 8 29
332 Lamar 110.4 +1.53 8 27
333 Little Rock 110.5 +1.55 7 25
334 East Tennessee State 110.6 +1.56 7 30
335 Northern Arizona 110.6 +1.57 7 30
336 Bellarmine 110.7 +1.59 6 29
337 Robert Morris 110.9 +1.62 6 31
338 Bowling Green 111.1 +1.65 6 29
339 Massachusetts 111.1 +1.66 6 32
340 Central Michigan 111.3 +1.70 5 30
341 Maine 111.3 +1.70 5 26
342 San José State 111.4 +1.71 5 30
343 Columbia 111.4 +1.72 4 25
344 Fairleigh Dickinson 111.4 +1.72 4 26
345 Southern Miss 111.6 +1.75 4 31
346 Mississippi Valley State 111.9 +1.79 4 28
347 Northwestern State 111.9 +1.81 3 29
348 Western Carolina 112.1 +1.84 3 31
349 Idaho 112.3 +1.87 3 29
350 Georgia 112.5 +1.91 3 32
351 Central Arkansas 113.2 +2.04 2 29
352 Oregon State 113.5 +2.10 2 31
353 Western Michigan 113.6 +2.11 2 28
354 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 114.1 +2.20 1 29
355 Bucknell 114.2 +2.22 1 32
356 Incarnate Word 114.3 +2.24 1 29
357 North Dakota 115.6 +2.48 1 29
358 St. Thomas 117.4 +2.81 0 27
359 Omaha 118.2 +2.95 0 29