I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
← Four Factors

Effective Field Goal Percentage

Field-goal shooting that credits a 3-pointer as 1.5 made shots.

(FGM + 0.5×3PM) ÷ FGA. A made three is worth 1.5 times a made two, so it counts as 1.5 makes; plain FG% undervalues teams that shoot a lot of threes.

Higher is better  ·  league avg 49.9%  ·  as of 2022-04-05

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 41.2% max 59.2% mean 49.9% std 2.9% (n=359)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.66 (team entering with the better value wins 62% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Effective Field Goal Percentage z Pctl GP
1 South Dakota State 59.2% +3.20 100 33
2 Gonzaga 58.7% +3.00 100 32
3 Vermont 57.1% +2.47 99 33
4 Princeton 56.7% +2.31 99 28
5 Purdue 56.5% +2.27 99 37
6 Winthrop 56.4% +2.21 99 29
7 Northern Colorado 56.2% +2.15 98 35
8 Belmont 55.7% +1.98 98 32
9 Duke 55.7% +1.97 98 39
10 Davidson 55.7% +1.97 97 33
11 Furman 55.6% +1.97 97 33
12 Colgate 55.6% +1.95 97 34
13 Wake Forest 55.6% +1.94 97 35
14 Loyola Chicago 55.6% +1.94 96 32
15 Arizona 55.6% +1.94 96 37
16 Liberty 55.5% +1.93 96 30
17 VMI 55.3% +1.85 96 29
18 Virginia Tech 55.1% +1.80 95 36
19 Colorado State 54.8% +1.67 95 30
20 Oklahoma 54.8% +1.66 95 35
21 Missouri State 54.6% +1.62 94 33
22 Santa Clara 54.5% +1.58 94 33
23 Ohio State 54.3% +1.50 94 32
24 Utah State 54.1% +1.45 94 33
25 Notre Dame 54.0% +1.39 93 34
26 Dayton 53.9% +1.38 93 35
27 Wofford 53.9% +1.37 93 30
28 Oral Roberts 53.9% +1.37 92 28
29 Kansas 53.8% +1.33 92 40
30 Montana State 53.6% +1.26 92 33
31 Jacksonville State 53.6% +1.26 92 30
32 UC Santa Barbara 53.5% +1.25 91 26
33 Weber State 53.5% +1.24 91 31
34 Delaware 53.5% +1.23 91 35
35 Cornell 53.5% +1.22 91 24
36 Hofstra 53.4% +1.21 90 30
37 Miami 53.3% +1.18 90 37
38 Bellarmine 53.3% +1.17 90 29
39 Hartford 53.3% +1.16 89 32
40 Florida Gulf Coast 53.3% +1.15 89 32
41 Iowa 53.3% +1.15 89 36
42 Florida Atlantic 53.2% +1.13 89 31
43 Cleveland State 53.2% +1.12 88 29
44 Kentucky 53.1% +1.10 88 34
45 Purdue Fort Wayne 53.1% +1.10 88 31
46 San Francisco 53.1% +1.10 87 33
47 Houston 53.1% +1.09 87 38
48 Northern Iowa 53.0% +1.05 87 31
49 Toledo 53.0% +1.05 87 33
50 Rice 52.9% +1.03 86 31
51 Mercer 52.9% +1.02 86 31
52 Eastern Washington 52.9% +1.02 86 32
53 George Mason 52.9% +1.02 85 30
54 Charlotte 52.9% +1.01 85 31
55 UAB 52.8% +1.01 85 33
56 Bucknell 52.8% +0.98 85 32
57 Baylor 52.8% +0.98 84 34
58 Denver 52.7% +0.98 84 30
59 Saint Mary's 52.7% +0.96 84 33
60 Western Kentucky 52.7% +0.96 84 30
61 Murray State 52.6% +0.94 83 31
62 Detroit Mercy 52.6% +0.94 83 29
63 Texas Tech 52.6% +0.94 83 37
64 Southern Utah 52.6% +0.93 82 33
65 UMBC 52.6% +0.91 82 31
66 Akron 52.5% +0.89 82 32
67 Illinois 52.5% +0.89 82 33
68 Syracuse 52.5% +0.89 81 33
69 Morehead State 52.4% +0.87 81 31
70 Clemson 52.4% +0.86 81 33
71 Memphis 52.3% +0.83 80 33
72 Wyoming 52.3% +0.83 80 33
73 Lipscomb 52.3% +0.83 80 30
74 Kansas City 52.3% +0.83 80 27
75 Chattanooga 52.2% +0.79 79 33
76 Michigan 52.1% +0.77 79 34
77 Marquette 52.1% +0.77 79 32
78 Lehigh 52.1% +0.75 78 31
79 Nicholls 52.1% +0.74 78 29
80 St. Thomas 52.0% +0.73 78 27
81 Drexel 52.0% +0.72 78 28
82 South Dakota 52.0% +0.72 77 29
83 UC San Diego 52.0% +0.72 77 27
84 Michigan State 52.0% +0.71 77 36
85 New Mexico State 52.0% +0.71 77 31
86 The Citadel 52.0% +0.71 76 28
87 Loyola Marymount 51.9% +0.68 76 28
88 Louisiana Tech 51.9% +0.68 76 31
89 South Alabama 51.9% +0.67 75 30
90 Kennesaw State 51.8% +0.67 75 27
91 BYU 51.8% +0.67 75 33
92 North Dakota State 51.8% +0.66 75 31
93 Boston University 51.8% +0.66 74 34
94 SE Louisiana 51.8% +0.65 74 30
95 Illinois State 51.8% +0.65 74 31
96 Wright State 51.7% +0.63 73 35
97 East Tennessee State 51.7% +0.63 73 30
98 Samford 51.7% +0.62 73 29
99 Buffalo 51.6% +0.58 73 28
100 Villanova 51.5% +0.57 72 38
101 Towson 51.5% +0.57 72 35
102 SMU 51.5% +0.55 72 33
103 Southeast Missouri State 51.5% +0.55 72 30
104 Southern Illinois 51.5% +0.54 71 30
105 North Carolina 51.5% +0.54 71 39
106 Middle Tennessee 51.4% +0.52 71 35
107 VCU 51.4% +0.51 70 32
108 Drake 51.4% +0.51 70 34
109 North Texas 51.4% +0.50 70 30
110 Pennsylvania 51.3% +0.50 70 28
111 Ball State 51.3% +0.50 69 30
112 South Carolina Upstate 51.3% +0.49 69 30
113 Alabama 51.3% +0.48 69 33
114 Longwood 51.3% +0.48 68 29
115 Campbell 51.3% +0.48 68 26
116 Massachusetts 51.3% +0.48 68 32
117 Stephen F. Austin 51.3% +0.48 68 28
118 Tulane 51.2% +0.46 67 29
119 USC 51.2% +0.45 67 34
120 UIC 51.1% +0.43 67 29
121 Oregon 51.1% +0.43 66 34
122 Bradley 51.1% +0.41 66 30
123 Richmond 51.1% +0.41 66 37
124 James Madison 51.1% +0.41 66 27
125 Fresno State 51.1% +0.40 65 35
126 Valparaiso 51.0% +0.39 65 30
127 Youngstown State 51.0% +0.37 65 32
128 Texas State 50.9% +0.35 65 26
129 Norfolk State 50.9% +0.35 64 28
130 Robert Morris 50.9% +0.35 64 31
131 New Hampshire 50.9% +0.34 64 26
132 Air Force 50.9% +0.34 63 29
133 Xavier 50.9% +0.33 63 36
134 Sacred Heart 50.8% +0.31 63 29
135 St. John's 50.8% +0.30 63 32
136 Boise State 50.7% +0.29 62 34
137 Minnesota 50.7% +0.27 62 30
138 UC Riverside 50.7% +0.27 62 26
139 Iona 50.7% +0.27 61 33
140 Saint Louis 50.6% +0.26 61 34
141 Tennessee 50.6% +0.26 61 35
142 Nevada 50.6% +0.26 61 30
143 Creighton 50.6% +0.25 60 35
144 Lafayette 50.6% +0.25 60 29
145 Ohio 50.6% +0.25 60 34
146 Utah Valley 50.6% +0.25 59 30
147 Indiana State 50.6% +0.24 59 28
148 Indiana 50.6% +0.24 59 35
149 Rhode Island 50.6% +0.23 59 30
150 UCLA 50.5% +0.22 58 35
151 Penn State 50.5% +0.21 58 31
152 St. Bonaventure 50.5% +0.21 58 33
153 East Texas A&M 50.5% +0.21 58 2
154 UNC Asheville 50.5% +0.20 57 29
155 Howard 50.4% +0.19 57 26
156 Hawai'i 50.4% +0.19 57 26
157 Marist 50.4% +0.18 56 30
158 Loyola Maryland 50.4% +0.17 56 29
159 Colorado 50.4% +0.17 56 33
160 Nebraska 50.3% +0.16 56 32
161 Stony Brook 50.3% +0.15 55 30
162 Miami (OH) 50.3% +0.13 55 29
163 Charleston 50.3% +0.13 55 32
164 Montana 50.2% +0.12 54 29
165 UL Monroe 50.2% +0.11 54 28
166 Idaho 50.2% +0.11 54 29
167 Vanderbilt 50.2% +0.10 54 36
168 Georgia 50.2% +0.10 53 32
169 Northeastern 50.1% +0.08 53 31
170 Texas 50.1% +0.07 53 34
171 Providence 50.0% +0.04 53 33
172 Quinnipiac 50.0% +0.04 52 30
173 Portland 50.0% +0.03 52 32
174 Florida International 49.9% +0.02 52 30
175 Gardner-Webb 49.9% +0.02 51 28
176 Wagner 49.9% +0.02 51 26
177 UCF 49.9% -0.00 51 30
178 California Baptist 49.9% -0.00 51 31
179 Coastal Carolina 49.9% -0.00 50 29
180 Rutgers 49.9% -0.01 50 32
181 Auburn 49.9% -0.01 50 34
182 Kent State 49.8% -0.03 49 32
183 Stanford 49.8% -0.03 49 32
184 UNC Greensboro 49.8% -0.03 49 31
185 San José State 49.8% -0.03 49 30
186 Grand Canyon 49.8% -0.04 48 29
187 Virginia 49.7% -0.06 48 35
188 Yale 49.7% -0.06 48 30
189 Saint Joseph's 49.7% -0.08 47 30
190 Harvard 49.6% -0.08 47 23
191 Western Illinois 49.6% -0.09 47 30
192 Mississippi State 49.6% -0.09 47 34
193 Bryant 49.6% -0.09 46 31
194 UConn 49.6% -0.10 46 33
195 American University 49.6% -0.10 46 32
196 Georgia Tech 49.6% -0.10 46 31
197 Tulsa 49.6% -0.11 45 31
198 Ole Miss 49.6% -0.11 45 32
199 Florida 49.6% -0.11 45 34
200 Texas A&M 49.6% -0.11 44 39
201 Northern Kentucky 49.5% -0.13 44 30
202 UT Rio Grande Valley 49.5% -0.14 44 29
203 Northwestern State 49.5% -0.14 44 29
204 Marshall 49.4% -0.16 43 31
205 Brown 49.4% -0.17 43 27
206 LSU New Orleans 49.4% -0.17 43 29
207 Maryland 49.4% -0.18 42 32
208 New Mexico 49.4% -0.18 42 30
209 Kansas State 49.4% -0.18 42 31
210 LSU 49.3% -0.19 42 34
211 Arkansas State 49.3% -0.20 41 26
212 Western Michigan 49.3% -0.20 41 28
213 Omaha 49.3% -0.21 41 29
214 Niagara 49.3% -0.22 41 29
215 Tennessee Tech 49.2% -0.23 40 30
216 Fairfield 49.2% -0.23 40 32
217 Oregon State 49.2% -0.24 40 31
218 Southern 49.2% -0.24 39 29
219 UTEP 49.2% -0.24 39 32
220 Oakland 49.2% -0.25 39 30
221 UNLV 49.1% -0.26 39 31
222 Tennessee State 49.1% -0.28 38 30
223 Iowa State 49.1% -0.28 38 35
224 Northwestern 49.0% -0.29 38 30
225 Florida State 49.0% -0.30 37 31
226 Elon 49.0% -0.31 37 30
227 High Point 48.9% -0.33 37 29
228 Cal State Fullerton 48.9% -0.33 37 30
229 George Washington 48.9% -0.34 36 30
230 Stetson 48.8% -0.36 36 26
231 Binghamton 48.8% -0.37 36 27
232 Sacramento State 48.8% -0.38 35 27
233 Louisville 48.8% -0.38 35 32
234 Long Beach State 48.8% -0.38 35 31
235 Army 48.8% -0.38 35 29
236 DePaul 48.8% -0.39 34 31
237 Houston Christian 48.7% -0.39 34 25
238 TCU 48.7% -0.41 34 34
239 Siena 48.7% -0.42 34 29
240 San Diego State 48.7% -0.42 33 32
241 Louisiana 48.6% -0.42 33 29
242 Jacksonville 48.6% -0.43 33 27
243 Mount St. Mary's 48.6% -0.44 32 29
244 Bowling Green 48.6% -0.44 32 29
245 UC Davis 48.6% -0.44 32 22
246 McNeese 48.6% -0.45 32 29
247 Arkansas 48.6% -0.45 31 37
248 Merrimack 48.6% -0.45 31 29
249 Columbia 48.5% -0.47 31 25
250 Utah 48.4% -0.49 30 31
251 Prairie View A&M 48.4% -0.50 30 27
252 Long Island University 48.4% -0.51 30 29
253 App State 48.4% -0.53 30 31
254 Abilene Christian 48.3% -0.53 29 32
255 Eastern Kentucky 48.3% -0.53 29 27
256 Seattle U 48.3% -0.53 29 30
257 Sam Houston 48.3% -0.54 28 30
258 Manhattan 48.3% -0.54 28 29
259 Incarnate Word 48.2% -0.58 28 29
260 Dartmouth 48.2% -0.59 28 24
261 Eastern Michigan 48.2% -0.59 27 30
262 Central Arkansas 48.2% -0.59 27 29
263 Texas Southern 48.1% -0.60 27 32
264 North Florida 48.1% -0.60 27 28
265 UNC Wilmington 48.1% -0.61 26 34
266 Oklahoma State 48.0% -0.63 26 30
267 UMass Lowell 48.0% -0.63 26 28
268 NC State 47.9% -0.66 25 32
269 Washington State 47.9% -0.66 25 37
270 Northern Arizona 47.9% -0.67 25 30
271 Little Rock 47.9% -0.68 25 25
272 Western Carolina 47.9% -0.68 24 31
273 Georgia Southern 47.9% -0.69 24 26
274 Boston College 47.8% -0.70 24 33
275 Central Michigan 47.8% -0.73 23 30
276 La Salle 47.7% -0.73 23 30
277 Wisconsin 47.7% -0.74 23 33
278 Alabama State 47.7% -0.74 23 30
279 North Carolina Central 47.7% -0.75 22 27
280 Milwaukee 47.7% -0.76 22 31
281 Troy 47.6% -0.78 22 29
282 UC Irvine 47.6% -0.79 22 23
283 Navy 47.5% -0.82 21 31
284 Saint Peter's 47.5% -0.82 21 33
285 Pepperdine 47.5% -0.82 21 31
286 Monmouth 47.5% -0.83 20 34
287 Idaho State 47.4% -0.85 20 28
288 South Carolina 47.3% -0.89 20 30
289 Northern Illinois 47.2% -0.91 20 30
290 Seton Hall 47.2% -0.91 19 31
291 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 47.2% -0.94 19 31
292 East Carolina 47.1% -0.94 19 30
293 North Dakota 47.1% -0.95 18 29
294 Arizona State 47.1% -0.96 18 31
295 Butler 47.1% -0.96 18 31
296 Portland State 47.1% -0.96 18 29
297 Missouri 47.1% -0.97 17 32
298 Evansville 47.0% -0.99 17 29
299 Old Dominion 46.9% -1.01 17 31
300 California 46.9% -1.02 16 32
301 Saint Francis 46.9% -1.03 16 29
302 Southern Miss 46.9% -1.03 16 31
303 Cincinnati 46.9% -1.04 16 32
304 Maine 46.9% -1.04 15 26
305 West Virginia 46.8% -1.04 15 33
306 Wichita State 46.7% -1.08 15 28
307 San Diego 46.7% -1.08 15 29
308 Pittsburgh 46.7% -1.09 14 32
309 North Carolina A&T 46.6% -1.12 14 29
310 Austin Peay 46.6% -1.13 14 27
311 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 46.6% -1.14 13 29
312 Utah Tech 46.5% -1.15 13 27
313 Radford 46.5% -1.15 13 27
314 Green Bay 46.5% -1.15 13 29
315 NJIT 46.5% -1.16 12 28
316 SIU Edwardsville 46.4% -1.18 12 30
317 Washington 46.4% -1.19 12 32
318 Fairleigh Dickinson 46.4% -1.20 11 26
319 Tarleton State 46.3% -1.23 11 28
320 UAlbany 46.2% -1.25 11 31
321 Pacific 46.2% -1.26 11 28
322 Georgetown 46.2% -1.27 10 31
323 Cal Poly 46.1% -1.28 10 27
324 Charleston Southern 46.1% -1.28 10 28
325 UT Martin 46.1% -1.28 9 28
326 Morgan State 46.1% -1.30 9 24
327 Florida A&M 46.1% -1.30 9 28
328 Coppin State 46.0% -1.32 9 32
329 Central Connecticut 46.0% -1.32 8 32
330 William & Mary 46.0% -1.34 8 31
331 St. Francis Brooklyn 45.9% -1.35 8 29
332 Alcorn State 45.8% -1.39 8 34
333 Fordham 45.7% -1.41 7 32
334 UT Arlington 45.7% -1.44 7 27
335 Chicago State 45.6% -1.45 7 32
336 Rider 45.6% -1.46 6 32
337 Canisius 45.4% -1.52 6 31
338 Bethune-Cookman 45.4% -1.52 6 29
339 Temple 45.4% -1.53 6 29
340 Maryland Eastern Shore 45.4% -1.54 5 24
341 Duquesne 45.4% -1.55 5 30
342 Jackson State 45.3% -1.56 5 30
343 Presbyterian 45.3% -1.57 4 29
344 Holy Cross 45.1% -1.64 4 29
345 Delaware State 45.0% -1.68 4 25
346 Georgia State 44.7% -1.77 4 26
347 Grambling 44.6% -1.81 3 30
348 Lamar 44.5% -1.85 3 27
349 Cal State Northridge 44.4% -1.88 3 28
350 Mississippi Valley State 44.4% -1.89 3 28
351 Cal State Bakersfield 44.4% -1.89 2 25
352 Eastern Illinois 44.2% -1.94 2 29
353 Hampton 44.1% -1.99 2 26
354 UTSA 43.6% -2.16 1 29
355 South Carolina State 43.3% -2.25 1 28
356 North Alabama 43.2% -2.28 1 26
357 IU Indianapolis 42.4% -2.56 1 27
358 South Florida 41.3% -2.94 0 31
359 Alabama A&M 41.2% -2.96 0 30