You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 60.5% max 83.0% mean 71.6% std 3.7% (n=359)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.55 (team entering with the better value wins 54% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Free Throw Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Villanova 83.0% +3.09 100 38
2 Incarnate Word 80.9% +2.52 100 29
3 Miami (OH) 80.0% +2.27 99 29
4 Missouri State 79.9% +2.25 99 33
5 Portland 79.7% +2.20 99 32
6 Hofstra 79.7% +2.19 99 30
7 VMI 79.6% +2.17 98 29
8 Charlotte 79.2% +2.06 98 31
9 Northern Iowa 79.0% +2.00 98 31
10 Oakland 78.8% +1.96 97 30
11 Montana 78.8% +1.95 97 29
12 UMBC 78.2% +1.80 97 31
13 UC Irvine 78.0% +1.76 97 23
14 Detroit Mercy 77.9% +1.72 96 29
15 Indiana State 77.8% +1.68 96 28
16 Dartmouth 77.6% +1.63 96 24
17 Mercer 77.5% +1.60 96 31
18 Utah 77.4% +1.58 95 31
19 Wofford 77.3% +1.56 95 30
20 Colorado State 77.3% +1.55 95 30
21 St. Thomas 77.1% +1.50 94 27
22 Youngstown State 77.0% +1.47 94 32
23 Cal State Fullerton 76.7% +1.40 94 30
24 Valparaiso 76.7% +1.40 94 30
25 Liberty 76.7% +1.39 93 30
26 UTEP 76.7% +1.39 93 32
27 Wright State 76.6% +1.37 93 35
28 Bucknell 76.5% +1.34 92 32
29 North Carolina 76.4% +1.32 92 39
30 Quinnipiac 76.4% +1.32 92 30
31 Seattle U 76.4% +1.31 92 30
32 SE Louisiana 76.3% +1.29 91 30
33 Saint Mary's 76.3% +1.27 91 33
34 Santa Clara 76.2% +1.24 91 33
35 Saint Louis 76.1% +1.24 91 34
36 Robert Morris 76.1% +1.22 90 31
37 Drake 76.0% +1.21 90 34
38 South Carolina Upstate 76.0% +1.21 90 30
39 Arkansas 76.0% +1.20 89 37
40 North Dakota State 76.0% +1.20 89 31
41 Toledo 76.0% +1.19 89 33
42 South Dakota State 75.9% +1.17 89 33
43 Maryland 75.9% +1.17 88 32
44 Chattanooga 75.9% +1.17 88 33
45 Furman 75.8% +1.15 88 33
46 Massachusetts 75.8% +1.14 87 32
47 Ohio State 75.7% +1.13 87 32
48 Eastern Washington 75.7% +1.12 87 32
49 Tulane 75.6% +1.10 87 29
50 Colorado 75.6% +1.10 86 33
51 Middle Tennessee 75.6% +1.10 86 35
52 Tarleton State 75.4% +1.05 86 28
53 South Dakota 75.4% +1.05 85 29
54 East Carolina 75.4% +1.05 85 30
55 Central Arkansas 75.4% +1.04 85 29
56 Notre Dame 75.4% +1.03 85 34
57 Weber State 75.4% +1.03 84 31
58 Davidson 75.4% +1.03 84 33
59 UConn 75.3% +1.02 84 33
60 Wichita State 75.3% +1.01 84 28
61 Seton Hall 75.2% +0.99 83 31
62 Stony Brook 75.2% +0.97 83 30
63 Montana State 75.1% +0.97 83 33
64 Illinois State 75.1% +0.97 82 31
65 North Alabama 75.1% +0.95 82 26
66 Texas State 75.1% +0.95 82 26
67 Virginia Tech 75.1% +0.94 82 36
68 St. Bonaventure 75.1% +0.94 81 33
69 SMU 75.0% +0.94 81 33
70 Bellarmine 75.0% +0.93 81 29
71 Michigan State 75.0% +0.92 80 36
72 Iowa 74.9% +0.90 80 36
73 Abilene Christian 74.9% +0.89 80 32
74 Nevada 74.9% +0.89 80 30
75 New Mexico 74.8% +0.87 79 30
76 Georgia 74.7% +0.86 79 32
77 Howard 74.7% +0.86 79 26
78 Oklahoma 74.7% +0.85 78 35
79 Idaho 74.7% +0.85 78 29
80 UC San Diego 74.7% +0.84 78 27
81 Boston University 74.6% +0.83 78 34
82 Texas 74.6% +0.83 77 34
83 Kent State 74.6% +0.83 77 32
84 Michigan 74.6% +0.82 77 34
85 Arkansas State 74.5% +0.79 77 26
86 Washington State 74.4% +0.77 76 37
87 Hawai'i 74.4% +0.77 76 26
88 Delaware 74.4% +0.76 76 35
89 Purdue Fort Wayne 74.4% +0.76 75 31
90 Georgetown 74.4% +0.76 75 31
91 Wisconsin 74.3% +0.74 75 33
92 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 74.3% +0.73 75 31
93 Lehigh 74.2% +0.71 74 31
94 Portland State 74.2% +0.71 74 29
95 Miami 74.2% +0.71 74 37
96 Bowling Green 74.2% +0.70 73 29
97 Vermont 74.1% +0.70 73 33
98 UNC Wilmington 74.1% +0.69 73 34
99 Marquette 74.1% +0.69 73 32
100 Missouri 74.1% +0.68 72 32
101 UCLA 74.1% +0.67 72 35
102 UAB 74.0% +0.67 72 33
103 LSU New Orleans 74.0% +0.66 72 29
104 Arizona 73.9% +0.63 71 37
105 Creighton 73.8% +0.61 71 35
106 North Dakota 73.8% +0.61 71 29
107 UNLV 73.8% +0.61 70 31
108 Duke 73.8% +0.60 70 39
109 Syracuse 73.7% +0.58 70 33
110 Belmont 73.7% +0.57 70 32
111 Manhattan 73.6% +0.56 69 29
112 Rider 73.6% +0.56 69 32
113 Clemson 73.6% +0.54 69 33
114 Florida 73.5% +0.54 68 34
115 Penn State 73.5% +0.51 68 31
116 Northeastern 73.4% +0.51 68 31
117 Niagara 73.4% +0.50 68 29
118 Siena 73.3% +0.48 67 29
119 Yale 73.3% +0.48 67 30
120 UNC Asheville 73.2% +0.45 67 29
121 Bryant 73.2% +0.45 66 31
122 Little Rock 73.2% +0.45 66 25
123 Cal Poly 73.1% +0.43 66 27
124 Nebraska 73.1% +0.42 66 32
125 Auburn 73.1% +0.42 65 34
126 LSU 73.1% +0.41 65 34
127 Sacred Heart 73.1% +0.41 65 29
128 North Florida 73.1% +0.41 65 28
129 Virginia 73.0% +0.40 64 35
130 Charleston 73.0% +0.39 64 32
131 Southeast Missouri State 73.0% +0.39 64 30
132 Wake Forest 73.0% +0.38 63 35
133 Omaha 73.0% +0.38 63 29
134 Troy 73.0% +0.38 63 29
135 UC Riverside 72.9% +0.37 63 26
136 Elon 72.9% +0.37 62 30
137 Monmouth 72.8% +0.35 62 34
138 Pennsylvania 72.8% +0.35 62 28
139 Alabama 72.8% +0.34 61 33
140 Louisiana Tech 72.8% +0.34 61 31
141 Providence 72.8% +0.34 61 33
142 Samford 72.8% +0.34 61 29
143 California 72.7% +0.32 60 32
144 Longwood 72.7% +0.32 60 29
145 Fordham 72.7% +0.30 60 32
146 Ohio 72.6% +0.29 59 34
147 Kansas State 72.6% +0.29 59 31
148 Tulsa 72.6% +0.28 59 31
149 Kentucky 72.6% +0.27 59 34
150 Long Beach State 72.5% +0.25 58 31
151 NC State 72.5% +0.24 58 32
152 West Virginia 72.4% +0.22 58 33
153 Wyoming 72.3% +0.21 58 33
154 BYU 72.3% +0.19 57 33
155 Lipscomb 72.2% +0.18 57 30
156 Oral Roberts 72.2% +0.17 57 28
157 Loyola Marymount 72.1% +0.15 56 28
158 Wagner 72.1% +0.14 56 26
159 Mississippi State 72.1% +0.14 56 34
160 Utah State 72.1% +0.14 56 33
161 Georgia State 72.0% +0.12 55 26
162 Northwestern 71.9% +0.10 55 30
163 Marist 71.9% +0.09 55 30
164 Towson 71.9% +0.09 54 35
165 Florida Atlantic 71.8% +0.08 54 31
166 Minnesota 71.8% +0.07 54 30
167 UNC Greensboro 71.8% +0.06 54 31
168 Eastern Kentucky 71.8% +0.05 53 27
169 Richmond 71.8% +0.05 53 37
170 Kansas 71.7% +0.04 53 40
171 UL Monroe 71.7% +0.04 53 28
172 Rice 71.7% +0.03 52 31
173 UC Davis 71.6% +0.02 52 22
174 Western Kentucky 71.6% +0.01 52 30
175 Buffalo 71.6% -0.00 51 28
176 Milwaukee 71.5% -0.00 51 31
177 Evansville 71.5% -0.01 51 29
178 Tennessee 71.5% -0.02 51 35
179 Houston Christian 71.5% -0.03 50 25
180 Western Illinois 71.5% -0.03 50 30
181 Fresno State 71.4% -0.05 50 35
182 Grambling 71.4% -0.06 49 30
183 Gonzaga 71.3% -0.06 49 32
184 San Diego 71.3% -0.06 49 29
185 Cal State Bakersfield 71.3% -0.06 49 25
186 Pepperdine 71.3% -0.07 48 31
187 Alabama A&M 71.3% -0.08 48 30
188 Holy Cross 71.2% -0.09 48 29
189 Northern Kentucky 71.2% -0.09 47 30
190 Ole Miss 71.1% -0.12 47 32
191 Purdue 71.1% -0.12 47 37
192 Green Bay 71.1% -0.13 47 29
193 Louisiana 71.1% -0.13 46 29
194 Loyola Chicago 71.1% -0.14 46 32
195 Drexel 71.1% -0.14 46 28
196 St. Francis Brooklyn 70.9% -0.17 46 29
197 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 70.9% -0.17 45 29
198 Oregon State 70.9% -0.18 45 31
199 Marshall 70.9% -0.18 45 31
200 Utah Valley 70.9% -0.19 44 30
201 Central Connecticut 70.8% -0.20 44 32
202 Fairleigh Dickinson 70.8% -0.20 44 26
203 Florida International 70.8% -0.20 44 30
204 Florida State 70.8% -0.21 43 31
205 UIC 70.8% -0.22 43 29
206 Duquesne 70.7% -0.23 43 30
207 Tennessee State 70.7% -0.24 42 30
208 Northern Colorado 70.6% -0.25 42 35
209 Illinois 70.6% -0.26 42 33
210 Southern Utah 70.6% -0.26 42 33
211 Florida A&M 70.6% -0.27 41 28
212 Alabama State 70.5% -0.28 41 30
213 James Madison 70.5% -0.28 41 27
214 UC Santa Barbara 70.5% -0.28 41 26
215 Maine 70.5% -0.30 40 26
216 UAlbany 70.4% -0.31 40 31
217 Boston College 70.4% -0.31 40 33
218 East Tennessee State 70.4% -0.33 39 30
219 VCU 70.4% -0.33 39 32
220 Texas A&M 70.3% -0.33 39 39
221 UCF 70.3% -0.33 39 30
222 Austin Peay 70.3% -0.33 38 27
223 Cornell 70.3% -0.33 38 24
224 Prairie View A&M 70.3% -0.33 38 27
225 Saint Peter's 70.3% -0.35 37 33
226 Fairfield 70.2% -0.37 37 32
227 Northwestern State 70.2% -0.37 37 29
228 Southern 70.2% -0.37 37 29
229 Washington 70.1% -0.38 36 32
230 William & Mary 70.0% -0.41 36 31
231 Rutgers 70.0% -0.42 36 32
232 Western Michigan 70.0% -0.43 35 28
233 Indiana 70.0% -0.43 35 35
234 Gardner-Webb 69.9% -0.44 35 28
235 Eastern Michigan 69.9% -0.45 35 30
236 Stetson 69.9% -0.46 34 26
237 New Mexico State 69.8% -0.47 34 31
238 Denver 69.8% -0.47 34 30
239 Texas Tech 69.8% -0.48 34 37
240 Xavier 69.8% -0.48 33 36
241 Jacksonville 69.7% -0.50 33 27
242 Norfolk State 69.7% -0.50 33 28
243 Baylor 69.7% -0.50 32 34
244 Hampton 69.7% -0.51 32 26
245 Vanderbilt 69.7% -0.51 32 36
246 George Washington 69.6% -0.52 32 30
247 Canisius 69.6% -0.52 31 31
248 Pittsburgh 69.6% -0.52 31 32
249 Ball State 69.6% -0.53 31 30
250 SIU Edwardsville 69.6% -0.53 30 30
251 Coastal Carolina 69.6% -0.54 30 29
252 Brown 69.5% -0.55 30 27
253 South Alabama 69.5% -0.55 30 30
254 Colgate 69.5% -0.56 29 34
255 Winthrop 69.5% -0.56 29 29
256 South Carolina State 69.5% -0.57 29 28
257 Murray State 69.4% -0.57 28 31
258 UT Martin 69.4% -0.58 28 28
259 Akron 69.4% -0.58 28 32
260 Memphis 69.4% -0.58 28 33
261 UMass Lowell 69.4% -0.58 27 28
262 UT Arlington 69.4% -0.59 27 27
263 George Mason 69.4% -0.59 27 30
264 American University 69.4% -0.59 27 32
265 Iona 69.3% -0.61 26 33
266 DePaul 69.3% -0.61 26 31
267 Georgia Tech 69.3% -0.62 26 31
268 Central Michigan 69.2% -0.63 25 30
269 UT Rio Grande Valley 69.2% -0.63 25 29
270 Alcorn State 69.2% -0.64 25 34
271 San Diego State 69.2% -0.65 25 32
272 Loyola Maryland 69.1% -0.66 24 29
273 Hartford 69.0% -0.68 24 32
274 Southern Illinois 69.0% -0.69 24 30
275 San Francisco 69.0% -0.69 23 33
276 Sacramento State 68.9% -0.73 23 27
277 Butler 68.9% -0.73 23 31
278 Jacksonville State 68.8% -0.74 23 30
279 La Salle 68.7% -0.77 22 30
280 Southern Miss 68.7% -0.78 22 31
281 Presbyterian 68.7% -0.78 22 29
282 Florida Gulf Coast 68.6% -0.81 22 32
283 Mount St. Mary's 68.5% -0.82 21 29
284 Bradley 68.5% -0.83 21 30
285 Lamar 68.5% -0.83 21 27
286 Cal State Northridge 68.5% -0.83 20 28
287 Coppin State 68.4% -0.85 20 32
288 Idaho State 68.4% -0.85 20 28
289 Pacific 68.3% -0.87 20 28
290 Dayton 68.3% -0.89 19 35
291 Iowa State 68.3% -0.89 19 35
292 Lafayette 68.3% -0.89 19 29
293 Oregon 68.1% -0.93 18 34
294 Bethune-Cookman 68.1% -0.94 18 29
295 Long Island University 68.1% -0.95 18 29
296 California Baptist 68.0% -0.95 18 31
297 The Citadel 68.0% -0.96 17 28
298 Radford 68.0% -0.98 17 27
299 Temple 67.9% -0.98 17 29
300 Merrimack 67.9% -0.99 16 29
301 Texas Southern 67.9% -0.99 16 32
302 Western Carolina 67.7% -1.03 16 31
303 Charleston Southern 67.7% -1.05 16 28
304 St. John's 67.7% -1.05 15 32
305 UTSA 67.7% -1.05 15 29
306 Stephen F. Austin 67.6% -1.06 15 28
307 Northern Arizona 67.6% -1.08 15 30
308 Morehead State 67.5% -1.11 14 31
309 Delaware State 67.4% -1.12 14 25
310 TCU 67.4% -1.12 14 34
311 Northern Illinois 67.4% -1.13 13 30
312 Louisville 67.4% -1.13 13 32
313 IU Indianapolis 67.4% -1.14 13 27
314 Cleveland State 67.3% -1.14 13 29
315 Campbell 67.3% -1.15 12 26
316 New Hampshire 67.3% -1.15 12 26
317 Morgan State 67.2% -1.17 12 24
318 Grand Canyon 67.2% -1.17 11 29
319 Old Dominion 67.2% -1.18 11 31
320 Cincinnati 67.2% -1.19 11 32
321 Harvard 67.2% -1.19 11 23
322 Georgia Southern 67.1% -1.20 10 26
323 South Carolina 67.1% -1.21 10 30
324 Kansas City 66.9% -1.27 10 27
325 Binghamton 66.8% -1.30 9 27
326 North Carolina Central 66.7% -1.31 9 27
327 Houston 66.7% -1.33 9 38
328 NJIT 66.7% -1.33 9 28
329 Oklahoma State 66.7% -1.33 8 30
330 Utah Tech 66.7% -1.33 8 27
331 App State 66.6% -1.34 8 31
332 South Florida 66.6% -1.35 8 31
333 USC 66.4% -1.40 7 34
334 Arizona State 66.1% -1.48 7 31
335 Tennessee Tech 66.1% -1.49 7 30
336 North Carolina A&T 66.0% -1.49 6 29
337 East Texas A&M 65.9% -1.53 6 2
338 Kennesaw State 65.9% -1.54 6 27
339 Stanford 65.9% -1.55 6 32
340 Navy 65.6% -1.61 5 31
341 San José State 65.6% -1.62 5 30
342 Chicago State 65.5% -1.63 5 32
343 Mississippi Valley State 65.5% -1.64 4 28
344 McNeese 65.4% -1.67 4 29
345 North Texas 65.4% -1.67 4 30
346 Saint Joseph's 65.4% -1.68 4 30
347 Boise State 65.1% -1.74 3 34
348 Air Force 64.9% -1.79 3 29
349 Saint Francis 64.5% -1.90 3 29
350 Maryland Eastern Shore 64.2% -1.99 3 24
351 High Point 64.2% -1.99 2 29
352 Army 64.0% -2.06 2 29
353 Princeton 64.0% -2.06 2 28
354 Eastern Illinois 63.8% -2.10 1 29
355 Jackson State 63.4% -2.21 1 30
356 Columbia 62.7% -2.41 1 25
357 Rhode Island 61.9% -2.61 1 30
358 Nicholls 61.8% -2.65 0 29
359 Sam Houston 60.5% -3.01 0 30