The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 13.3% max 31.1% mean 21.7% std 3.4% (n=359)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.58 (team entering with the better value wins 56% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Free Throw Rate z Pctl GP
1 LSU New Orleans 31.1% +2.76 100 29
2 Manhattan 30.5% +2.59 100 29
3 Montana 30.3% +2.54 99 29
4 Montana State 30.0% +2.44 99 33
5 SE Louisiana 29.6% +2.33 99 30
6 Abilene Christian 29.4% +2.27 99 32
7 Georgia 29.2% +2.20 98 32
8 East Texas A&M 28.7% +2.07 98 2
9 UT Rio Grande Valley 28.7% +2.05 98 29
10 Weber State 28.5% +2.00 97 31
11 Arkansas 28.2% +1.93 97 37
12 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 28.2% +1.92 97 31
13 Long Beach State 27.6% +1.74 97 31
14 Mississippi State 27.4% +1.69 96 34
15 Pittsburgh 27.4% +1.69 96 32
16 Akron 27.3% +1.64 96 32
17 Purdue 27.2% +1.61 96 37
18 UNC Asheville 27.2% +1.61 95 29
19 Howard 27.1% +1.58 95 26
20 Prairie View A&M 27.1% +1.58 95 27
21 Utah Valley 27.0% +1.56 94 30
22 Vanderbilt 27.0% +1.56 94 36
23 Houston Christian 27.0% +1.55 94 25
24 Providence 26.9% +1.55 94 33
25 Temple 26.9% +1.54 93 29
26 Monmouth 26.9% +1.53 93 34
27 Oakland 26.8% +1.51 93 30
28 Wyoming 26.8% +1.50 92 33
29 Cal State Fullerton 26.7% +1.48 92 30
30 SMU 26.7% +1.48 92 33
31 Southeast Missouri State 26.7% +1.48 92 30
32 Norfolk State 26.7% +1.47 91 28
33 Portland 26.6% +1.44 91 32
34 Ball State 26.6% +1.43 91 30
35 Cal Poly 26.5% +1.42 91 27
36 Saint Peter's 26.3% +1.35 90 33
37 South Dakota State 26.3% +1.34 90 33
38 UC Santa Barbara 26.2% +1.33 90 26
39 Northern Iowa 26.2% +1.33 89 31
40 Memphis 26.2% +1.33 89 33
41 Colorado 26.2% +1.32 89 33
42 West Virginia 26.2% +1.31 89 33
43 Winthrop 26.1% +1.28 88 29
44 Alabama State 26.0% +1.26 88 30
45 Middle Tennessee 25.9% +1.22 88 35
46 Arizona 25.8% +1.21 87 37
47 Iona 25.8% +1.21 87 33
48 South Dakota 25.7% +1.19 87 29
49 Maryland 25.7% +1.18 87 32
50 Arkansas State 25.7% +1.17 86 26
51 Longwood 25.7% +1.16 86 29
52 UNC Wilmington 25.5% +1.12 86 34
53 Hampton 25.4% +1.10 85 26
54 Troy 25.4% +1.10 85 29
55 Tarleton State 25.4% +1.10 85 28
56 Delaware 25.4% +1.09 85 35
57 North Dakota State 25.4% +1.08 84 31
58 East Carolina 25.3% +1.05 84 30
59 Ohio State 25.3% +1.05 84 32
60 Idaho 25.3% +1.05 84 29
61 Louisiana 25.3% +1.04 83 29
62 Tulane 25.2% +1.04 83 29
63 North Carolina Central 25.2% +1.03 83 27
64 Texas A&M 25.1% +1.00 82 39
65 California Baptist 25.0% +0.98 82 31
66 Saint Louis 24.9% +0.94 82 34
67 Eastern Washington 24.9% +0.93 82 32
68 Florida 24.8% +0.92 81 34
69 Massachusetts 24.8% +0.92 81 32
70 Villanova 24.7% +0.88 81 38
71 Stephen F. Austin 24.7% +0.87 80 28
72 Texas State 24.7% +0.87 80 26
73 Xavier 24.6% +0.86 80 36
74 North Texas 24.6% +0.85 80 30
75 Wake Forest 24.5% +0.83 79 35
76 Texas Tech 24.5% +0.83 79 37
77 Davidson 24.5% +0.82 79 33
78 McNeese 24.5% +0.82 78 29
79 New Mexico 24.5% +0.81 78 30
80 Lipscomb 24.5% +0.81 78 30
81 UC San Diego 24.4% +0.79 78 27
82 LSU 24.4% +0.79 77 34
83 Nebraska 24.4% +0.78 77 32
84 Washington 24.4% +0.78 77 32
85 Kent State 24.3% +0.77 77 32
86 UMBC 24.3% +0.76 76 31
87 Cleveland State 24.3% +0.76 76 29
88 Wright State 24.2% +0.73 76 35
89 New Mexico State 24.2% +0.73 75 31
90 Hawai'i 24.2% +0.72 75 26
91 Wisconsin 24.1% +0.70 75 33
92 SIU Edwardsville 24.1% +0.69 75 30
93 Towson 24.0% +0.66 74 35
94 Bryant 24.0% +0.66 74 31
95 Alabama 23.9% +0.65 74 33
96 Nevada 23.9% +0.65 73 30
97 Alabama A&M 23.9% +0.64 73 30
98 Wichita State 23.9% +0.63 73 28
99 Texas 23.9% +0.63 73 34
100 Grambling 23.8% +0.62 72 30
101 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 23.7% +0.60 72 29
102 Coppin State 23.7% +0.57 72 32
103 Bowling Green 23.7% +0.57 72 29
104 Little Rock 23.6% +0.57 71 25
105 Southern Utah 23.6% +0.56 71 33
106 Yale 23.6% +0.55 71 30
107 Southern 23.6% +0.54 70 29
108 Illinois State 23.5% +0.53 70 31
109 Portland State 23.5% +0.51 70 29
110 Utah Tech 23.4% +0.51 70 27
111 Indiana 23.4% +0.51 69 35
112 Youngstown State 23.4% +0.50 69 32
113 North Dakota 23.2% +0.45 69 29
114 Utah 23.2% +0.45 68 31
115 Kansas 23.2% +0.43 68 40
116 UC Irvine 23.2% +0.43 68 23
117 Wagner 23.2% +0.43 68 26
118 North Carolina 23.2% +0.42 67 39
119 DePaul 23.2% +0.42 67 31
120 Old Dominion 23.1% +0.40 67 31
121 Auburn 23.1% +0.40 66 34
122 UConn 23.0% +0.36 66 33
123 Seton Hall 22.9% +0.36 66 31
124 Boise State 22.9% +0.35 66 34
125 Ohio 22.9% +0.35 65 34
126 Colorado State 22.9% +0.35 65 30
127 Texas Southern 22.8% +0.32 65 32
128 Green Bay 22.8% +0.31 65 29
129 Mercer 22.7% +0.30 64 31
130 Louisiana Tech 22.7% +0.29 64 31
131 Cornell 22.7% +0.28 64 24
132 UNLV 22.7% +0.27 63 31
133 Illinois 22.6% +0.26 63 33
134 Idaho State 22.6% +0.26 63 28
135 Tulsa 22.5% +0.24 63 31
136 Iowa 22.5% +0.22 62 36
137 Northeastern 22.5% +0.22 62 31
138 Murray State 22.5% +0.22 62 31
139 Alcorn State 22.4% +0.21 61 34
140 Loyola Marymount 22.4% +0.21 61 28
141 Michigan State 22.4% +0.20 61 36
142 Loyola Chicago 22.4% +0.19 61 32
143 Northern Illinois 22.4% +0.19 60 30
144 Rice 22.3% +0.18 60 31
145 Rhode Island 22.3% +0.18 60 30
146 Western Kentucky 22.3% +0.18 59 30
147 Denver 22.3% +0.18 59 30
148 Fresno State 22.3% +0.17 59 35
149 Richmond 22.3% +0.16 59 37
150 Washington State 22.2% +0.14 58 37
151 North Florida 22.2% +0.13 58 28
152 South Carolina State 22.2% +0.13 58 28
153 Charleston 22.2% +0.13 58 32
154 Charlotte 22.1% +0.12 57 31
155 Missouri 22.1% +0.12 57 32
156 Missouri State 22.1% +0.11 57 33
157 South Carolina Upstate 22.1% +0.10 56 30
158 Pacific 22.1% +0.10 56 28
159 Incarnate Word 22.1% +0.10 56 29
160 Jacksonville State 22.1% +0.10 56 30
161 Oklahoma State 22.0% +0.08 55 30
162 Seattle U 22.0% +0.07 55 30
163 Brown 21.9% +0.06 55 27
164 Michigan 21.9% +0.06 54 34
165 Clemson 21.9% +0.05 54 33
166 Georgia State 21.9% +0.05 54 26
167 Gonzaga 21.9% +0.04 54 32
168 Wofford 21.8% +0.04 53 30
169 Delaware State 21.8% +0.03 53 25
170 UCLA 21.8% +0.02 53 35
171 VCU 21.8% +0.01 53 32
172 Northern Colorado 21.8% +0.01 52 35
173 High Point 21.8% +0.01 52 29
174 Liberty 21.7% +0.00 52 30
175 UAB 21.7% -0.00 51 33
176 Bucknell 21.7% -0.02 51 32
177 Coastal Carolina 21.6% -0.03 51 29
178 James Madison 21.6% -0.03 51 27
179 Fordham 21.6% -0.04 50 32
180 Georgetown 21.6% -0.05 50 31
181 San Diego State 21.5% -0.06 50 32
182 Tennessee State 21.5% -0.06 49 30
183 South Alabama 21.5% -0.07 49 30
184 Kansas State 21.5% -0.08 49 31
185 Boston University 21.4% -0.08 49 34
186 Florida State 21.4% -0.08 48 31
187 Robert Morris 21.4% -0.08 48 31
188 Miami 21.4% -0.10 48 37
189 UTEP 21.3% -0.12 47 32
190 Jacksonville 21.3% -0.14 47 27
191 Toledo 21.2% -0.14 47 33
192 Siena 21.2% -0.15 47 29
193 Georgia Southern 21.2% -0.15 46 26
194 William & Mary 21.2% -0.15 46 31
195 TCU 21.2% -0.16 46 34
196 Kansas City 21.1% -0.17 46 27
197 Duke 21.1% -0.18 45 39
198 Central Michigan 21.1% -0.18 45 30
199 UC Davis 21.1% -0.19 45 22
200 NC State 21.1% -0.19 44 32
201 Samford 21.1% -0.20 44 29
202 Florida A&M 21.0% -0.20 44 28
203 Western Illinois 21.0% -0.21 44 30
204 Canisius 21.0% -0.21 43 31
205 Cal State Bakersfield 21.0% -0.21 43 25
206 Santa Clara 21.0% -0.21 43 33
207 VMI 20.9% -0.24 42 29
208 Morgan State 20.9% -0.25 42 24
209 Syracuse 20.8% -0.26 42 33
210 Boston College 20.8% -0.26 42 33
211 Eastern Michigan 20.8% -0.27 41 30
212 Butler 20.8% -0.27 41 31
213 Dayton 20.8% -0.27 41 35
214 Grand Canyon 20.8% -0.27 41 29
215 Drake 20.8% -0.28 40 34
216 Stony Brook 20.8% -0.28 40 30
217 Utah State 20.8% -0.28 40 33
218 Presbyterian 20.7% -0.29 39 29
219 Long Island University 20.7% -0.30 39 29
220 Omaha 20.7% -0.30 39 29
221 Tennessee 20.7% -0.31 39 35
222 NJIT 20.6% -0.32 38 28
223 Niagara 20.6% -0.32 38 29
224 Valparaiso 20.6% -0.32 38 30
225 Central Connecticut 20.6% -0.33 37 32
226 Quinnipiac 20.6% -0.33 37 30
227 Florida Atlantic 20.6% -0.33 37 31
228 UT Arlington 20.6% -0.33 37 27
229 Notre Dame 20.6% -0.35 36 34
230 Virginia 20.5% -0.35 36 35
231 Indiana State 20.5% -0.35 36 28
232 USC 20.5% -0.35 35 34
233 Army 20.5% -0.36 35 29
234 Oklahoma 20.5% -0.36 35 35
235 Mississippi Valley State 20.5% -0.37 35 28
236 The Citadel 20.4% -0.38 34 28
237 Ole Miss 20.4% -0.39 34 32
238 Holy Cross 20.4% -0.40 34 29
239 Purdue Fort Wayne 20.4% -0.40 34 31
240 Kentucky 20.3% -0.41 33 34
241 Chattanooga 20.3% -0.41 33 33
242 Cal State Northridge 20.2% -0.44 33 28
243 Oregon 20.2% -0.44 32 34
244 Baylor 20.2% -0.45 32 34
245 Navy 20.2% -0.45 32 31
246 George Mason 20.2% -0.46 32 30
247 Southern Illinois 20.1% -0.48 31 30
248 UCF 20.1% -0.49 31 30
249 Rider 20.0% -0.50 31 32
250 Milwaukee 20.0% -0.50 30 31
251 Gardner-Webb 20.0% -0.52 30 28
252 Florida Gulf Coast 19.9% -0.53 30 32
253 Maryland Eastern Shore 19.9% -0.54 30 24
254 Cincinnati 19.9% -0.54 29 32
255 Eastern Illinois 19.9% -0.54 29 29
256 Vermont 19.8% -0.57 29 33
257 Creighton 19.7% -0.59 28 35
258 Stanford 19.7% -0.59 28 32
259 UNC Greensboro 19.7% -0.60 28 31
260 San Francisco 19.7% -0.60 28 33
261 Fairleigh Dickinson 19.7% -0.61 27 26
262 BYU 19.6% -0.62 27 33
263 Bethune-Cookman 19.6% -0.62 27 29
264 South Carolina 19.6% -0.62 27 30
265 UC Riverside 19.6% -0.63 26 26
266 Kennesaw State 19.6% -0.64 26 27
267 Oregon State 19.6% -0.64 26 31
268 Morehead State 19.5% -0.65 25 31
269 Sacramento State 19.5% -0.66 25 27
270 St. Bonaventure 19.5% -0.67 25 33
271 Marquette 19.4% -0.68 25 32
272 Houston 19.3% -0.71 24 38
273 Saint Francis 19.2% -0.74 24 29
274 Charleston Southern 19.2% -0.75 24 28
275 Chicago State 19.1% -0.77 23 32
276 Belmont 19.1% -0.78 23 32
277 Hartford 19.1% -0.79 23 32
278 Dartmouth 19.0% -0.80 23 24
279 Northern Kentucky 19.0% -0.81 22 30
280 Miami (OH) 18.9% -0.82 22 29
281 Radford 18.9% -0.83 22 27
282 Elon 18.9% -0.85 22 30
283 Western Carolina 18.9% -0.85 21 31
284 Northern Arizona 18.7% -0.88 21 30
285 Bradley 18.7% -0.89 21 30
286 UL Monroe 18.7% -0.90 20 28
287 Lehigh 18.7% -0.91 20 31
288 Fairfield 18.6% -0.91 20 32
289 North Carolina A&T 18.6% -0.92 20 29
290 Iowa State 18.5% -0.96 19 35
291 UMass Lowell 18.4% -0.98 19 28
292 California 18.4% -0.98 19 32
293 Virginia Tech 18.4% -0.99 18 36
294 Rutgers 18.4% -0.99 18 32
295 App State 18.4% -1.00 18 31
296 Southern Miss 18.3% -1.01 18 31
297 Buffalo 18.3% -1.01 17 28
298 Colgate 18.3% -1.02 17 34
299 St. Thomas 18.3% -1.02 17 27
300 UT Martin 18.3% -1.02 16 28
301 Sacred Heart 18.2% -1.03 16 29
302 George Washington 18.1% -1.06 16 30
303 San Diego 18.1% -1.07 16 29
304 Austin Peay 18.1% -1.08 15 27
305 Northwestern 18.1% -1.08 15 30
306 Drexel 18.0% -1.09 15 28
307 Mount St. Mary's 18.0% -1.10 15 29
308 Marist 18.0% -1.11 14 30
309 Lamar 17.9% -1.12 14 27
310 North Alabama 17.9% -1.14 14 26
311 Stetson 17.9% -1.14 13 26
312 Detroit Mercy 17.8% -1.16 13 29
313 Saint Mary's 17.8% -1.17 13 33
314 American University 17.7% -1.18 13 32
315 Campbell 17.7% -1.19 12 26
316 St. John's 17.6% -1.21 12 32
317 Furman 17.6% -1.21 12 33
318 UAlbany 17.6% -1.21 11 31
319 Merrimack 17.6% -1.22 11 29
320 Evansville 17.6% -1.22 11 29
321 Pennsylvania 17.6% -1.22 11 28
322 Northwestern State 17.5% -1.24 10 29
323 Central Arkansas 17.4% -1.27 10 29
324 Florida International 17.4% -1.27 10 30
325 Air Force 17.4% -1.28 9 29
326 UTSA 17.3% -1.30 9 29
327 Georgia Tech 17.3% -1.30 9 31
328 Hofstra 17.3% -1.31 9 30
329 Loyola Maryland 17.3% -1.32 8 29
330 La Salle 17.3% -1.32 8 30
331 Marshall 17.2% -1.33 8 31
332 Pepperdine 17.1% -1.38 8 31
333 New Hampshire 17.1% -1.38 7 26
334 Western Michigan 17.0% -1.39 7 28
335 Minnesota 17.0% -1.41 7 30
336 South Florida 16.9% -1.42 6 31
337 Louisville 16.9% -1.43 6 32
338 Jackson State 16.8% -1.46 6 30
339 IU Indianapolis 16.8% -1.46 6 27
340 St. Francis Brooklyn 16.6% -1.51 5 29
341 Oral Roberts 16.6% -1.52 5 28
342 Bellarmine 16.5% -1.55 5 29
343 Harvard 16.5% -1.55 4 23
344 Columbia 16.3% -1.59 4 25
345 UIC 16.2% -1.63 4 29
346 Penn State 16.0% -1.69 4 31
347 Tennessee Tech 15.9% -1.73 3 30
348 Eastern Kentucky 15.6% -1.82 3 27
349 Binghamton 15.5% -1.84 3 27
350 Duquesne 15.5% -1.85 3 30
351 East Tennessee State 15.3% -1.91 2 30
352 Sam Houston 15.1% -1.95 2 30
353 Saint Joseph's 15.0% -1.99 2 30
354 San José State 14.8% -2.06 1 30
355 Maine 14.4% -2.18 1 26
356 Lafayette 14.3% -2.20 1 29
357 Arizona State 14.0% -2.27 1 31
358 Princeton 13.6% -2.40 0 28
359 Nicholls 13.3% -2.49 0 29