Everybody's in despair, every girl and boy. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 81.2 max 118.4 mean 101.6 std 6.1 (n=359)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.71 (team entering with the better value wins 66% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Offensive Efficiency z Pctl GP
1 Gonzaga 118.4 +2.74 100 32
2 South Dakota State 117.9 +2.66 100 33
3 Purdue 117.5 +2.60 99 37
4 Iowa 117.3 +2.56 99 36
5 Duke 117.0 +2.52 99 39
6 Arizona 114.5 +2.10 99 37
7 Vermont 114.4 +2.09 98 33
8 Houston 113.9 +2.01 98 38
9 Kentucky 113.8 +1.99 98 34
10 Furman 113.8 +1.98 97 33
11 Davidson 113.3 +1.91 97 33
12 Princeton 113.0 +1.85 97 28
13 Toledo 112.9 +1.84 97 33
14 Oral Roberts 112.8 +1.83 96 28
15 Villanova 112.7 +1.81 96 38
16 Missouri State 112.3 +1.74 96 33
17 Murray State 112.1 +1.71 96 31
18 UAB 112.0 +1.70 95 33
19 Ohio State 111.7 +1.64 95 32
20 Kansas 111.5 +1.61 95 40
21 UCLA 111.5 +1.61 94 35
22 Baylor 111.3 +1.58 94 34
23 Virginia Tech 111.0 +1.52 94 36
24 Syracuse 110.7 +1.48 94 33
25 Colgate 110.7 +1.48 93 34
26 Colorado State 110.1 +1.39 93 30
27 VMI 110.0 +1.36 93 29
28 North Carolina 109.9 +1.36 92 39
29 Chattanooga 109.9 +1.36 92 33
30 UConn 109.9 +1.35 92 33
31 Illinois 109.3 +1.26 92 33
32 Belmont 109.3 +1.26 91 32
33 Buffalo 109.3 +1.26 91 28
34 South Dakota 109.0 +1.21 91 29
35 Miami 108.9 +1.20 91 37
36 Hofstra 108.9 +1.18 90 30
37 Northern Colorado 108.8 +1.17 90 35
38 Santa Clara 108.7 +1.15 90 33
39 Wake Forest 108.5 +1.13 89 35
40 Towson 108.5 +1.13 89 35
41 Drake 108.5 +1.13 89 34
42 Massachusetts 108.5 +1.12 89 32
43 Loyola Chicago 108.4 +1.10 88 32
44 Wofford 108.2 +1.08 88 30
45 Notre Dame 108.1 +1.06 88 34
46 Liberty 108.1 +1.06 87 30
47 Longwood 108.1 +1.05 87 29
48 Wright State 108.0 +1.05 87 35
49 St. Thomas 108.0 +1.03 87 27
50 Michigan 107.9 +1.03 86 34
51 Auburn 107.8 +1.01 86 34
52 Alabama 107.8 +1.01 86 33
53 Montana State 107.8 +1.00 85 33
54 Akron 107.7 +0.99 85 32
55 San Francisco 107.6 +0.98 85 33
56 Cleveland State 107.3 +0.93 85 29
57 Southern Utah 107.1 +0.90 84 33
58 Saint Louis 107.1 +0.89 84 34
59 Florida Atlantic 107.0 +0.88 84 31
60 Bellarmine 107.0 +0.88 84 29
61 Dayton 106.9 +0.86 83 35
62 Boston University 106.9 +0.86 83 34
63 Clemson 106.9 +0.86 83 33
64 Ohio 106.8 +0.85 82 34
65 Northern Iowa 106.8 +0.85 82 31
66 East Tennessee State 106.8 +0.84 82 30
67 Detroit Mercy 106.8 +0.84 82 29
68 Florida Gulf Coast 106.6 +0.81 81 32
69 Youngstown State 106.6 +0.81 81 32
70 New Hampshire 106.5 +0.80 81 26
71 Utah State 106.5 +0.80 80 33
72 Providence 106.5 +0.80 80 33
73 UMBC 106.5 +0.80 80 31
74 Saint Mary's 106.5 +0.80 80 33
75 Weber State 106.5 +0.79 79 31
76 USC 106.4 +0.79 79 34
77 Wyoming 106.4 +0.78 79 33
78 SMU 106.4 +0.78 78 33
79 Texas Tech 106.4 +0.78 78 37
80 Tennessee 106.3 +0.77 78 35
81 Michigan State 106.3 +0.76 78 36
82 Iona 106.1 +0.74 77 33
83 St. John's 106.1 +0.74 77 32
84 Miami (OH) 106.1 +0.74 77 29
85 UC Santa Barbara 106.1 +0.74 77 26
86 Xavier 106.1 +0.74 76 36
87 Middle Tennessee 106.0 +0.72 76 35
88 Louisiana Tech 106.0 +0.71 76 31
89 Stony Brook 105.9 +0.71 75 30
90 North Texas 105.9 +0.70 75 30
91 Texas 105.9 +0.69 75 34
92 BYU 105.9 +0.69 75 33
93 Winthrop 105.8 +0.69 74 29
94 Eastern Washington 105.7 +0.67 74 32
95 North Dakota State 105.6 +0.66 74 31
96 Wagner 105.6 +0.65 73 26
97 Memphis 105.6 +0.65 73 33
98 Delaware 105.5 +0.63 73 35
99 Jacksonville State 105.4 +0.62 73 30
100 Charlotte 105.4 +0.62 72 31
101 NC State 105.3 +0.60 72 32
102 Washington State 105.3 +0.60 72 37
103 Texas State 105.3 +0.60 72 26
104 Western Kentucky 105.2 +0.59 71 30
105 Oregon 105.2 +0.59 71 34
106 Western Illinois 105.2 +0.58 71 30
107 Mercer 105.2 +0.58 70 31
108 UNC Wilmington 105.1 +0.56 70 34
109 Rice 105.1 +0.56 70 31
110 St. Bonaventure 105.0 +0.55 70 33
111 Kennesaw State 105.0 +0.55 69 27
112 Richmond 104.9 +0.54 69 37
113 Oakland 104.8 +0.52 69 30
114 Drexel 104.8 +0.51 68 28
115 Grand Canyon 104.8 +0.51 68 29
116 Florida 104.7 +0.50 68 34
117 Bryant 104.6 +0.49 68 31
118 Wisconsin 104.6 +0.48 67 33
119 Charleston 104.5 +0.47 67 32
120 Nicholls 104.5 +0.47 67 29
121 Arkansas 104.5 +0.47 66 37
122 Cornell 104.4 +0.46 66 24
123 Bowling Green 104.4 +0.46 66 29
124 Tulane 104.4 +0.46 66 29
125 George Mason 104.4 +0.45 65 30
126 Samford 104.4 +0.45 65 29
127 Mississippi State 104.4 +0.45 65 34
128 Illinois State 104.3 +0.43 65 31
129 Southeast Missouri State 104.2 +0.42 64 30
130 Texas A&M 104.1 +0.41 64 39
131 New Mexico State 104.1 +0.40 64 31
132 Northern Kentucky 104.1 +0.40 63 30
133 Maryland 104.0 +0.39 63 32
134 Fresno State 103.9 +0.38 63 35
135 Virginia 103.9 +0.37 63 35
136 Kent State 103.9 +0.37 62 32
137 Hartford 103.8 +0.35 62 32
138 Morehead State 103.7 +0.33 62 31
139 Kansas City 103.6 +0.33 61 27
140 SE Louisiana 103.6 +0.32 61 30
141 Boise State 103.5 +0.31 61 34
142 Northwestern 103.5 +0.31 61 30
143 DePaul 103.5 +0.30 60 31
144 The Citadel 103.4 +0.29 60 28
145 Colorado 103.3 +0.28 60 33
146 Pennsylvania 103.3 +0.28 59 28
147 UNC Asheville 103.3 +0.27 59 29
148 Indiana 103.3 +0.27 59 35
149 Marquette 103.1 +0.24 59 32
150 Cal State Fullerton 103.0 +0.23 58 30
151 Bradley 103.0 +0.23 58 30
152 Sacred Heart 103.0 +0.22 58 29
153 Norfolk State 103.0 +0.22 58 28
154 Rutgers 102.9 +0.22 57 32
155 Oklahoma 102.9 +0.21 57 35
156 UNLV 102.9 +0.20 57 31
157 Montana 102.8 +0.19 56 29
158 Florida State 102.8 +0.18 56 31
159 Eastern Kentucky 102.7 +0.17 56 27
160 Denver 102.7 +0.17 56 30
161 Ball State 102.7 +0.17 55 30
162 Jacksonville 102.6 +0.16 55 27
163 New Mexico 102.6 +0.15 55 30
164 James Madison 102.5 +0.15 54 27
165 UCF 102.5 +0.14 54 30
166 Utah 102.4 +0.13 54 31
167 LSU 102.3 +0.12 54 34
168 Seton Hall 102.3 +0.11 53 31
169 Abilene Christian 102.3 +0.11 53 32
170 Coastal Carolina 102.3 +0.11 53 29
171 Hawai'i 102.3 +0.11 53 26
172 South Alabama 102.2 +0.10 52 30
173 Stephen F. Austin 102.2 +0.09 52 28
174 Quinnipiac 102.2 +0.09 52 30
175 Vanderbilt 102.2 +0.09 51 36
176 Purdue Fort Wayne 102.1 +0.08 51 31
177 UIC 101.9 +0.05 51 29
178 Seattle U 101.9 +0.04 51 30
179 Lipscomb 101.8 +0.03 50 30
180 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 101.8 +0.03 50 31
181 Penn State 101.8 +0.02 50 31
182 Bucknell 101.8 +0.02 49 32
183 UNC Greensboro 101.7 +0.02 49 31
184 Monmouth 101.7 +0.01 49 34
185 Portland 101.7 +0.01 49 32
186 Loyola Marymount 101.6 -0.00 48 28
187 Nevada 101.4 -0.03 48 30
188 Valparaiso 101.4 -0.03 48 30
189 Minnesota 101.3 -0.05 47 30
190 Kansas State 101.3 -0.05 47 31
191 Cincinnati 101.3 -0.05 47 32
192 Fairfield 101.3 -0.06 47 32
193 Utah Valley 101.3 -0.06 46 30
194 Howard 101.2 -0.06 46 26
195 Marist 101.2 -0.07 46 30
196 Long Beach State 101.2 -0.08 46 31
197 Southern Illinois 101.1 -0.08 45 30
198 Campbell 101.1 -0.09 45 26
199 TCU 101.0 -0.10 45 34
200 South Carolina Upstate 100.8 -0.13 44 30
201 Yale 100.8 -0.14 44 30
202 Idaho 100.7 -0.16 44 29
203 Ole Miss 100.6 -0.17 44 32
204 LSU New Orleans 100.5 -0.18 43 29
205 Wichita State 100.5 -0.18 43 28
206 Creighton 100.4 -0.20 43 35
207 Robert Morris 100.4 -0.20 42 31
208 Long Island University 100.3 -0.22 42 29
209 Nebraska 100.3 -0.22 42 32
210 Boston College 100.3 -0.22 42 33
211 Lafayette 100.2 -0.24 41 29
212 Marshall 100.1 -0.24 41 31
213 Brown 100.1 -0.25 41 27
214 UTEP 100.1 -0.25 41 32
215 App State 100.0 -0.26 40 31
216 Tulsa 100.0 -0.27 40 31
217 Georgia 100.0 -0.27 40 32
218 Arkansas State 99.9 -0.28 39 26
219 Lehigh 99.9 -0.29 39 31
220 UC San Diego 99.8 -0.30 39 27
221 West Virginia 99.8 -0.30 39 33
222 Manhattan 99.7 -0.31 38 29
223 Niagara 99.7 -0.32 38 29
224 California Baptist 99.6 -0.32 38 31
225 Old Dominion 99.6 -0.33 37 31
226 Tennessee Tech 99.6 -0.33 37 30
227 Western Carolina 99.5 -0.35 37 31
228 Louisiana 99.5 -0.35 37 29
229 Washington 99.3 -0.38 36 32
230 North Dakota 99.2 -0.39 36 29
231 Georgetown 99.2 -0.39 36 31
232 UC Riverside 99.2 -0.40 35 26
233 Tennessee State 99.2 -0.40 35 30
234 Army 99.1 -0.41 35 29
235 Georgia State 99.1 -0.42 35 26
236 Stanford 99.1 -0.42 34 32
237 Houston Christian 99.0 -0.43 34 25
238 Navy 99.0 -0.43 34 31
239 Oregon State 99.0 -0.43 34 31
240 San Diego State 98.9 -0.44 33 32
241 Louisville 98.9 -0.45 33 32
242 UC Davis 98.9 -0.45 33 22
243 Portland State 98.9 -0.45 32 29
244 Harvard 98.8 -0.46 32 23
245 East Carolina 98.8 -0.46 32 30
246 UL Monroe 98.8 -0.46 32 28
247 Sam Houston 98.8 -0.46 31 30
248 Gardner-Webb 98.7 -0.47 31 28
249 UMass Lowell 98.7 -0.48 31 28
250 Temple 98.7 -0.48 30 29
251 Saint Peter's 98.6 -0.50 30 33
252 Florida International 98.5 -0.52 30 30
253 Mount St. Mary's 98.5 -0.52 30 29
254 Rhode Island 98.4 -0.53 29 30
255 Dartmouth 98.2 -0.56 29 24
256 Texas Southern 98.1 -0.57 29 32
257 Loyola Maryland 98.1 -0.57 28 29
258 McNeese 98.1 -0.58 28 29
259 Stetson 98.0 -0.59 28 26
260 Omaha 97.9 -0.60 28 29
261 VCU 97.9 -0.60 27 32
262 La Salle 97.9 -0.61 27 30
263 UC Irvine 97.9 -0.62 27 23
264 Northwestern State 97.8 -0.63 27 29
265 Saint Francis 97.7 -0.63 26 29
266 Siena 97.7 -0.65 26 29
267 Southern 97.6 -0.66 26 29
268 Northeastern 97.5 -0.67 25 31
269 Troy 97.5 -0.67 25 29
270 Saint Joseph's 97.5 -0.68 25 30
271 High Point 97.4 -0.69 25 29
272 Sacramento State 97.4 -0.69 24 27
273 Tarleton State 97.3 -0.70 24 28
274 Georgia Tech 97.3 -0.71 24 31
275 Western Michigan 97.3 -0.71 23 28
276 UT Rio Grande Valley 97.1 -0.73 23 29
277 Binghamton 97.1 -0.74 23 27
278 Rider 97.0 -0.75 23 32
279 Elon 97.0 -0.75 22 30
280 Oklahoma State 97.0 -0.76 22 30
281 George Washington 96.9 -0.77 22 30
282 Iowa State 96.9 -0.77 22 35
283 Central Arkansas 96.7 -0.80 21 29
284 Canisius 96.6 -0.83 21 31
285 Butler 96.5 -0.83 21 31
286 South Carolina 96.4 -0.85 20 30
287 North Carolina A&T 96.4 -0.86 20 29
288 Northern Arizona 96.3 -0.86 20 30
289 California 96.3 -0.87 20 32
290 Indiana State 96.3 -0.87 19 28
291 Alabama State 96.2 -0.88 19 30
292 Duquesne 96.1 -0.90 19 30
293 Pittsburgh 95.9 -0.93 18 32
294 Missouri 95.8 -0.94 18 32
295 American University 95.8 -0.96 18 32
296 Cal State Bakersfield 95.7 -0.97 18 25
297 Alcorn State 95.6 -0.98 17 34
298 Incarnate Word 95.6 -0.98 17 29
299 Presbyterian 95.6 -0.99 17 29
300 St. Francis Brooklyn 95.6 -0.99 16 29
301 Central Michigan 95.4 -1.01 16 30
302 Prairie View A&M 95.4 -1.01 16 27
303 Merrimack 95.3 -1.03 16 29
304 UT Martin 95.3 -1.03 15 28
305 Milwaukee 95.2 -1.05 15 31
306 Eastern Michigan 95.0 -1.09 15 30
307 Fordham 94.9 -1.09 15 32
308 Georgia Southern 94.8 -1.11 14 26
309 Arizona State 94.7 -1.13 14 31
310 San Diego 94.7 -1.13 14 29
311 North Carolina Central 94.6 -1.15 13 27
312 Fairleigh Dickinson 94.6 -1.15 13 26
313 Idaho State 94.6 -1.15 13 28
314 UT Arlington 94.6 -1.15 13 27
315 SIU Edwardsville 94.6 -1.15 12 30
316 Little Rock 94.4 -1.18 12 25
317 San José State 94.3 -1.20 12 30
318 North Florida 94.3 -1.20 11 28
319 Green Bay 94.1 -1.24 11 29
320 Holy Cross 94.1 -1.24 11 29
321 Radford 94.0 -1.25 11 27
322 South Carolina State 93.9 -1.26 10 28
323 Austin Peay 93.9 -1.26 10 27
324 Morgan State 93.8 -1.28 10 24
325 Columbia 93.8 -1.29 9 25
326 Pepperdine 93.7 -1.29 9 31
327 Florida A&M 93.7 -1.29 9 28
328 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 93.7 -1.30 9 29
329 Pacific 93.6 -1.32 8 28
330 UAlbany 93.5 -1.33 8 31
331 Northern Illinois 93.2 -1.37 8 30
332 Utah Tech 92.9 -1.42 8 27
333 Air Force 92.9 -1.43 7 29
334 UTSA 92.8 -1.44 7 29
335 NJIT 92.6 -1.47 7 28
336 Jackson State 92.5 -1.49 6 30
337 Grambling 92.3 -1.52 6 30
338 Central Connecticut 92.3 -1.53 6 32
339 Bethune-Cookman 92.2 -1.53 6 29
340 Chicago State 92.1 -1.55 5 32
341 Cal Poly 92.1 -1.55 5 27
342 Cal State Northridge 92.0 -1.57 5 28
343 Maine 91.9 -1.58 4 26
344 Southern Miss 91.9 -1.59 4 31
345 North Alabama 91.3 -1.68 4 26
346 Charleston Southern 91.0 -1.73 4 28
347 Coppin State 90.5 -1.81 3 32
348 Mississippi Valley State 90.3 -1.85 3 28
349 Hampton 90.2 -1.86 3 26
350 Evansville 90.0 -1.89 3 29
351 Lamar 90.0 -1.90 2 27
352 William & Mary 89.8 -1.93 2 31
353 East Texas A&M 89.8 -1.93 2 2
354 Maryland Eastern Shore 89.1 -2.05 1 24
355 Alabama A&M 88.5 -2.14 1 30
356 South Florida 87.2 -2.35 1 31
357 Delaware State 85.2 -2.69 1 25
358 IU Indianapolis 81.6 -3.27 0 27
359 Eastern Illinois 81.2 -3.34 0 29