But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
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Opponents' Opponents' Win Percentage (OOWP)

How good the opponents' opponents are — the second-order schedule strength in RPI.

The average OWP of every distinct opponent faced. Second-order strength of schedule: it credits playing teams that themselves played tough schedules. RPI weights it at 25%.

Higher is better  ·  league avg 49.8%  ·  as of 2022-04-05

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 44.8% max 54.9% mean 49.8% std 2.5% (n=359)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.67 (team entering with the better value wins 63% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Opponents' Opponents' Win Percentage (OOWP) z Pctl GP
1 Villanova 54.9% +2.06 100 38
2 Michigan 54.8% +2.04 100 34
3 Purdue 54.8% +2.00 99 37
4 Kansas 54.7% +2.00 99 40
5 Baylor 54.7% +1.98 99 34
6 UCLA 54.7% +1.97 99 35
7 Florida 54.6% +1.93 98 34
8 Tennessee 54.5% +1.92 98 35
9 Michigan State 54.5% +1.89 98 36
10 Arkansas 54.4% +1.87 97 37
11 Auburn 54.3% +1.80 97 34
12 Alabama 54.3% +1.80 97 33
13 North Carolina 54.2% +1.80 97 39
14 Marquette 54.1% +1.76 96 32
15 Illinois 54.1% +1.75 96 33
16 Kentucky 54.0% +1.70 96 34
17 Seton Hall 54.0% +1.70 96 31
18 Ohio State 54.0% +1.68 95 32
19 Wisconsin 53.9% +1.65 95 33
20 Butler 53.8% +1.63 95 31
21 Texas A&M 53.8% +1.62 94 39
22 Missouri 53.8% +1.61 94 32
23 Creighton 53.8% +1.60 94 35
24 San Diego State 53.7% +1.59 94 32
25 UConn 53.7% +1.58 93 33
26 Maryland 53.7% +1.58 93 32
27 Arizona State 53.6% +1.55 93 31
28 Colorado State 53.6% +1.52 92 30
29 Arizona 53.6% +1.52 92 37
30 Providence 53.5% +1.48 92 33
31 South Carolina 53.5% +1.48 92 30
32 Iowa State 53.4% +1.46 91 35
33 Oregon 53.4% +1.45 91 34
34 Nevada 53.4% +1.45 91 30
35 Syracuse 53.4% +1.44 91 33
36 Vanderbilt 53.4% +1.44 90 36
37 Miami 53.3% +1.43 90 37
38 Florida State 53.3% +1.43 90 31
39 Indiana 53.3% +1.42 89 35
40 LSU 53.3% +1.39 89 34
41 Ole Miss 53.2% +1.39 89 32
42 Kansas State 53.2% +1.39 89 31
43 SMU 53.2% +1.37 88 33
44 St. John's 53.2% +1.37 88 32
45 Oklahoma 53.2% +1.36 88 35
46 Mississippi State 53.2% +1.36 87 34
47 Notre Dame 53.2% +1.36 87 34
48 Houston 53.1% +1.34 87 38
49 Xavier 53.1% +1.33 87 36
50 Northwestern 53.1% +1.33 86 30
51 Penn State 53.1% +1.32 86 31
52 Oklahoma State 53.1% +1.31 86 30
53 TCU 53.0% +1.31 85 34
54 Virginia 53.0% +1.30 85 35
55 Boise State 53.0% +1.30 85 34
56 Texas 53.0% +1.28 85 34
57 Gonzaga 52.9% +1.26 84 32
58 USC 52.9% +1.25 84 34
59 West Virginia 52.9% +1.25 84 33
60 Stanford 52.9% +1.24 84 32
61 Davidson 52.9% +1.24 83 33
62 Rutgers 52.8% +1.20 83 32
63 Wake Forest 52.8% +1.19 83 35
64 Georgia 52.7% +1.19 82 32
65 Texas Tech 52.7% +1.18 82 37
66 Colorado 52.7% +1.18 82 33
67 California 52.7% +1.17 82 32
68 Memphis 52.7% +1.16 81 33
69 BYU 52.7% +1.16 81 33
70 St. Bonaventure 52.6% +1.14 81 33
71 Louisville 52.6% +1.11 80 32
72 Saint Mary's 52.5% +1.11 80 33
73 DePaul 52.5% +1.10 80 31
74 Duke 52.5% +1.08 80 39
75 Nebraska 52.4% +1.05 79 32
76 Pittsburgh 52.3% +1.02 79 32
77 Richmond 52.3% +1.02 79 37
78 Iowa 52.3% +1.02 78 36
79 UNLV 52.3% +1.01 78 31
80 Utah 52.3% +1.00 78 31
81 Virginia Tech 52.3% +1.00 78 36
82 Georgetown 52.2% +0.97 77 31
83 Washington 52.2% +0.96 77 32
84 Saint Louis 52.2% +0.96 77 34
85 Loyola Marymount 52.2% +0.96 77 28
86 George Mason 52.1% +0.94 76 30
87 Clemson 52.1% +0.92 76 33
88 Utah State 52.1% +0.91 76 33
89 Temple 52.0% +0.88 75 29
90 Boston College 52.0% +0.86 75 33
91 Wyoming 51.9% +0.86 75 33
92 Georgia Tech 51.9% +0.83 75 31
93 Tulsa 51.8% +0.79 74 31
94 Wichita State 51.8% +0.78 74 28
95 NC State 51.8% +0.78 74 32
96 San Diego 51.7% +0.78 73 29
97 Elon 51.7% +0.76 73 30
98 Minnesota 51.7% +0.75 73 30
99 Saint Joseph's 51.7% +0.75 73 30
100 VCU 51.6% +0.71 72 32
101 Loyola Chicago 51.5% +0.67 72 32
102 UCF 51.5% +0.66 72 30
103 Iona 51.4% +0.66 72 33
104 Washington State 51.4% +0.66 71 37
105 Oregon State 51.4% +0.65 71 31
106 Fresno State 51.4% +0.63 71 35
107 Dayton 51.4% +0.63 70 35
108 New Mexico State 51.3% +0.61 70 31
109 San José State 51.3% +0.61 70 30
110 Hofstra 51.3% +0.59 70 30
111 Chattanooga 51.2% +0.55 69 33
112 Santa Clara 51.2% +0.55 69 33
113 North Texas 51.1% +0.53 69 30
114 San Francisco 51.1% +0.52 68 33
115 Cincinnati 51.0% +0.49 68 32
116 Georgia State 51.0% +0.47 68 26
117 Towson 50.9% +0.46 68 35
118 Massachusetts 50.9% +0.45 67 32
119 Furman 50.8% +0.40 67 33
120 Missouri State 50.8% +0.40 67 33
121 Wofford 50.8% +0.39 66 30
122 Texas State 50.7% +0.37 66 26
123 Samford 50.7% +0.36 66 29
124 Saint Peter's 50.7% +0.36 66 33
125 East Tennessee State 50.7% +0.35 65 30
126 Murray State 50.6% +0.34 65 31
127 East Carolina 50.6% +0.32 65 30
128 Charleston 50.6% +0.32 65 32
129 Delaware 50.6% +0.31 64 35
130 La Salle 50.6% +0.31 64 30
131 Portland 50.6% +0.30 64 32
132 Northern Iowa 50.6% +0.30 63 31
133 UAB 50.5% +0.29 63 33
134 New Mexico 50.5% +0.28 63 30
135 Tulane 50.5% +0.27 63 29
136 Drexel 50.5% +0.27 62 28
137 Duquesne 50.5% +0.26 62 30
138 App State 50.4% +0.23 62 31
139 Pepperdine 50.3% +0.21 61 31
140 Louisiana Tech 50.3% +0.21 61 31
141 Valparaiso 50.3% +0.18 61 30
142 Western Kentucky 50.3% +0.18 61 30
143 Florida Atlantic 50.2% +0.16 60 31
144 Pennsylvania 50.2% +0.14 60 28
145 South Dakota State 50.2% +0.14 60 33
146 James Madison 50.2% +0.14 59 27
147 Rider 50.1% +0.13 59 32
148 Fordham 50.1% +0.13 59 32
149 UL Monroe 50.1% +0.12 59 28
150 Tarleton State 50.1% +0.12 58 28
151 George Washington 50.1% +0.12 58 30
152 UNC Wilmington 50.1% +0.12 58 34
153 UTEP 50.1% +0.11 58 32
154 Southern Illinois 50.0% +0.09 57 30
155 Drake 50.0% +0.08 57 34
156 South Florida 50.0% +0.07 57 31
157 Grand Canyon 49.9% +0.04 56 29
158 Winthrop 49.9% +0.02 56 29
159 Nicholls 49.9% +0.02 56 29
160 Charlotte 49.8% +0.01 56 31
161 Rhode Island 49.8% +0.00 55 30
162 Mercer 49.8% -0.01 55 31
163 UT Arlington 49.7% -0.03 55 27
164 Louisiana 49.7% -0.03 54 29
165 Princeton 49.7% -0.03 54 28
166 Toledo 49.7% -0.05 54 33
167 Little Rock 49.7% -0.05 54 25
168 Monmouth 49.7% -0.07 53 34
169 Northwestern State 49.7% -0.07 53 29
170 South Alabama 49.6% -0.08 53 30
171 Utah Valley 49.6% -0.09 53 30
172 Old Dominion 49.6% -0.10 52 31
173 Stephen F. Austin 49.5% -0.11 52 28
174 Buffalo 49.5% -0.11 52 28
175 Cal State Fullerton 49.5% -0.12 51 30
176 UC Riverside 49.5% -0.12 51 26
177 Prairie View A&M 49.5% -0.12 51 27
178 The Citadel 49.5% -0.14 51 28
179 Siena 49.5% -0.14 50 29
180 Long Beach State 49.5% -0.14 50 31
181 Air Force 49.4% -0.17 50 29
182 Seattle U 49.4% -0.17 49 30
183 Yale 49.4% -0.17 49 30
184 UC Irvine 49.3% -0.19 49 23
185 UNC Greensboro 49.3% -0.20 49 31
186 Belmont 49.3% -0.21 48 32
187 Vermont 49.3% -0.21 48 33
188 Bellarmine 49.3% -0.22 48 29
189 Northeastern 49.3% -0.22 47 31
190 Middle Tennessee 49.3% -0.23 47 35
191 LSU New Orleans 49.2% -0.23 47 29
192 Southern Utah 49.2% -0.24 47 33
193 Pacific 49.2% -0.25 46 28
194 Marshall 49.2% -0.27 46 31
195 Bradley 49.2% -0.27 46 30
196 Kent State 49.1% -0.28 46 32
197 UC Santa Barbara 49.1% -0.29 45 26
198 Jacksonville State 49.1% -0.29 45 30
199 Troy 49.1% -0.30 45 29
200 Rice 49.1% -0.30 44 31
201 Akron 49.0% -0.32 44 32
202 Weber State 49.0% -0.32 44 31
203 Portland State 49.0% -0.32 44 29
204 Liberty 49.0% -0.33 43 30
205 Manhattan 49.0% -0.33 43 29
206 Sam Houston 48.9% -0.36 43 30
207 Illinois State 48.9% -0.38 42 31
208 UC Davis 48.9% -0.38 42 22
209 Arkansas State 48.9% -0.38 42 26
210 Cornell 48.9% -0.39 42 24
211 Texas Southern 48.9% -0.39 41 32
212 Abilene Christian 48.9% -0.39 41 32
213 Georgia Southern 48.9% -0.39 41 26
214 Hawai'i 48.8% -0.40 41 26
215 North Florida 48.8% -0.40 40 28
216 Indiana State 48.8% -0.40 40 28
217 Coastal Carolina 48.8% -0.41 40 29
218 Western Carolina 48.8% -0.41 39 31
219 California Baptist 48.8% -0.43 39 31
220 Niagara 48.8% -0.43 39 29
221 Oakland 48.8% -0.43 39 30
222 North Dakota State 48.8% -0.43 38 31
223 Central Arkansas 48.7% -0.45 38 29
224 Northern Illinois 48.7% -0.45 38 30
225 Quinnipiac 48.6% -0.48 37 30
226 VMI 48.6% -0.48 37 29
227 Tennessee Tech 48.6% -0.49 37 30
228 Evansville 48.6% -0.49 37 29
229 Jacksonville 48.6% -0.50 36 27
230 Cal State Bakersfield 48.5% -0.52 36 25
231 UNC Asheville 48.5% -0.52 36 29
232 Montana 48.5% -0.53 35 29
233 Gardner-Webb 48.5% -0.53 35 28
234 Alcorn State 48.5% -0.54 35 34
235 Fairfield 48.5% -0.54 35 32
236 Ohio 48.4% -0.57 34 34
237 Eastern Washington 48.4% -0.58 34 32
238 Morehead State 48.4% -0.59 34 31
239 Jackson State 48.3% -0.61 34 30
240 Idaho 48.2% -0.64 33 29
241 Brown 48.2% -0.64 33 27
242 Western Michigan 48.2% -0.64 33 28
243 Radford 48.2% -0.65 32 27
244 South Carolina Upstate 48.2% -0.66 32 30
245 Northern Colorado 48.2% -0.66 32 35
246 Kennesaw State 48.2% -0.66 32 27
247 Central Michigan 48.2% -0.67 31 30
248 Incarnate Word 48.2% -0.67 31 29
249 Houston Christian 48.2% -0.67 31 25
250 Alabama State 48.2% -0.67 30 30
251 UT Rio Grande Valley 48.1% -0.68 30 29
252 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 48.1% -0.68 30 31
253 Utah Tech 48.1% -0.68 30 27
254 Montana State 48.1% -0.69 29 33
255 SE Louisiana 48.1% -0.69 29 30
256 Northern Arizona 48.1% -0.69 29 30
257 Lamar 48.1% -0.70 28 27
258 Canisius 48.1% -0.71 28 31
259 Florida International 48.1% -0.71 28 30
260 Florida Gulf Coast 48.1% -0.71 28 32
261 St. Francis Brooklyn 48.1% -0.72 27 29
262 Oral Roberts 48.0% -0.73 27 28
263 Howard 48.0% -0.74 27 26
264 William & Mary 48.0% -0.74 27 31
265 Cleveland State 48.0% -0.75 26 29
266 Bowling Green 48.0% -0.75 26 29
267 Longwood 47.9% -0.76 26 29
268 Norfolk State 47.9% -0.77 25 28
269 Austin Peay 47.9% -0.77 25 27
270 Detroit Mercy 47.9% -0.78 25 29
271 Presbyterian 47.9% -0.78 25 29
272 Miami (OH) 47.9% -0.78 24 29
273 Coppin State 47.9% -0.79 24 32
274 Colgate 47.9% -0.80 24 34
275 Dartmouth 47.8% -0.81 23 24
276 Long Island University 47.8% -0.82 23 29
277 Wright State 47.8% -0.82 23 35
278 High Point 47.8% -0.83 23 29
279 Cal State Northridge 47.8% -0.83 22 28
280 Eastern Illinois 47.8% -0.84 22 29
281 North Carolina Central 47.7% -0.84 22 27
282 Southern Miss 47.7% -0.84 22 31
283 Eastern Michigan 47.7% -0.85 21 30
284 UTSA 47.7% -0.86 21 29
285 Navy 47.6% -0.88 21 31
286 Stony Brook 47.6% -0.89 20 30
287 Ball State 47.6% -0.89 20 30
288 North Alabama 47.6% -0.89 20 26
289 Wagner 47.6% -0.91 20 26
290 Harvard 47.6% -0.91 19 23
291 Grambling 47.6% -0.91 19 30
292 McNeese 47.6% -0.92 19 29
293 Kansas City 47.6% -0.92 18 27
294 UC San Diego 47.5% -0.92 18 27
295 Lipscomb 47.5% -0.93 18 30
296 Southern 47.5% -0.94 18 29
297 Chicago State 47.4% -0.97 17 32
298 South Carolina State 47.4% -0.97 17 28
299 Youngstown State 47.4% -0.98 17 32
300 SIU Edwardsville 47.4% -0.98 16 30
301 Campbell 47.4% -0.98 16 26
302 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 47.3% -1.02 16 29
303 Eastern Kentucky 47.2% -1.06 16 27
304 Maryland Eastern Shore 47.2% -1.06 15 24
305 South Dakota 47.2% -1.08 15 29
306 Bethune-Cookman 47.1% -1.09 15 29
307 UT Martin 47.1% -1.10 15 28
308 Cal Poly 47.1% -1.11 14 27
309 Mississippi Valley State 47.0% -1.14 14 28
310 UMass Lowell 47.0% -1.15 14 28
311 Sacramento State 47.0% -1.16 13 27
312 Marist 47.0% -1.16 13 30
313 Bucknell 47.0% -1.16 13 32
314 Idaho State 46.9% -1.17 13 28
315 Central Connecticut 46.9% -1.17 12 32
316 UMBC 46.9% -1.19 12 32
317 New Hampshire 46.9% -1.20 12 26
318 Boston University 46.9% -1.20 11 34
319 Bryant 46.9% -1.20 11 31
320 Southeast Missouri State 46.8% -1.21 11 30
321 Western Illinois 46.8% -1.21 11 30
322 UAlbany 46.8% -1.24 10 31
323 Stetson 46.7% -1.25 10 26
324 North Carolina A&T 46.6% -1.29 10 29
325 Florida A&M 46.6% -1.30 9 28
326 UIC 46.6% -1.30 9 29
327 Green Bay 46.6% -1.30 9 29
328 East Texas A&M 46.5% -1.34 9 2
329 Milwaukee 46.5% -1.35 8 31
330 Northern Kentucky 46.5% -1.35 8 30
331 Lehigh 46.5% -1.37 8 31
332 Fairleigh Dickinson 46.4% -1.38 8 26
333 Denver 46.4% -1.39 7 30
334 Hampton 46.4% -1.39 7 26
335 Mount St. Mary's 46.4% -1.40 7 29
336 Purdue Fort Wayne 46.4% -1.40 6 31
337 NJIT 46.3% -1.42 6 28
338 Sacred Heart 46.3% -1.42 6 29
339 Army 46.3% -1.42 6 29
340 American University 46.2% -1.45 5 32
341 Charleston Southern 46.2% -1.45 5 28
342 Maine 46.2% -1.45 5 26
343 Columbia 46.2% -1.47 4 25
344 Loyola Maryland 46.2% -1.47 4 29
345 Omaha 46.2% -1.47 4 29
346 North Dakota 46.2% -1.49 4 29
347 Alabama A&M 46.1% -1.52 3 30
348 Merrimack 46.0% -1.54 3 30
349 Robert Morris 46.0% -1.55 3 31
350 Saint Francis 46.0% -1.57 3 29
351 Binghamton 45.8% -1.63 2 27
352 Lafayette 45.8% -1.63 2 29
353 Morgan State 45.6% -1.72 2 24
354 IU Indianapolis 45.5% -1.74 1 27
355 Tennessee State 45.5% -1.74 1 30
356 Hartford 45.4% -1.79 1 32
357 St. Thomas 45.3% -1.83 1 27
358 Holy Cross 45.2% -1.88 0 29
359 Delaware State 44.8% -2.05 0 25