Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 56.5 max 84.4 mean 70.2 std 4.8 (n=359)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.66 (team entering with the better value wins 62% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Opponent Points Per Game z Pctl GP
1 North Texas 56.5 -2.82 100 30
2 San Diego State 58.1 -2.49 100 32
3 Houston 58.8 -2.36 99 38
4 Fresno State 59.6 -2.19 99 35
5 Virginia 60.1 -2.08 99 35
6 Texas 60.6 -1.97 99 34
7 Texas Tech 60.6 -1.97 98 37
8 Navy 60.8 -1.94 98 31
9 Boise State 61.0 -1.90 98 34
10 Jacksonville 61.1 -1.88 97 27
11 Vermont 61.1 -1.87 97 33
12 Dayton 61.2 -1.85 97 35
13 Saint Mary's 61.3 -1.84 97 33
14 UC Irvine 61.4 -1.81 96 23
15 Southern Illinois 61.6 -1.78 96 30
16 Loyola Chicago 61.9 -1.71 96 32
17 Grand Canyon 62.0 -1.69 96 29
18 VCU 62.4 -1.60 95 32
19 Towson 62.4 -1.60 95 35
20 Iowa State 62.5 -1.57 95 35
21 Villanova 62.7 -1.54 94 38
22 Merrimack 62.8 -1.53 94 30
23 Virginia Tech 62.8 -1.52 94 36
24 Saint Peter's 62.9 -1.49 94 33
25 Tennessee 62.9 -1.49 93 35
26 Murray State 63.4 -1.41 93 31
27 LSU 63.4 -1.39 93 34
28 Campbell 63.6 -1.36 92 26
29 Akron 63.9 -1.29 92 32
30 Baylor 64.1 -1.26 92 34
31 Sam Houston 64.3 -1.21 92 30
32 UC Riverside 64.3 -1.20 91 26
33 Morehead State 64.4 -1.20 91 31
34 UCLA 64.5 -1.18 91 35
35 Hawai'i 64.5 -1.17 91 26
36 Washington State 64.9 -1.09 90 37
37 New Mexico State 64.9 -1.09 90 31
38 South Florida 64.9 -1.09 90 31
39 TCU 64.9 -1.08 89 34
40 Penn State 65.0 -1.07 89 31
41 Oklahoma 65.0 -1.06 89 35
42 UNC Greensboro 65.1 -1.05 89 31
43 Bradley 65.2 -1.03 88 30
44 Gardner-Webb 65.3 -1.01 88 28
45 Texas State 65.3 -1.01 88 26
46 App State 65.3 -1.01 87 31
47 UConn 65.3 -1.00 87 33
48 Rhode Island 65.3 -1.00 87 30
49 Mount St. Mary's 65.4 -0.99 87 29
50 Wagner 65.4 -0.98 86 26
51 Chattanooga 65.4 -0.98 86 33
52 Jackson State 65.4 -0.98 86 30
53 East Texas A&M 65.5 -0.96 85 2
54 Oklahoma State 65.7 -0.93 85 30
55 Wyoming 65.7 -0.92 85 33
56 Utah Valley 65.7 -0.92 85 30
57 South Alabama 65.7 -0.91 84 30
58 UC Santa Barbara 65.8 -0.91 84 26
59 Liberty 65.8 -0.90 84 30
60 Northern Kentucky 65.8 -0.90 84 30
61 Tarleton State 65.8 -0.90 83 28
62 New Hampshire 65.8 -0.89 83 26
63 UAlbany 65.9 -0.89 83 31
64 Niagara 66.0 -0.87 82 29
65 Wisconsin 66.0 -0.87 82 33
66 USC 66.0 -0.87 82 34
67 Air Force 66.0 -0.85 82 29
68 Davidson 66.1 -0.85 81 33
69 California 66.1 -0.85 81 32
70 Texas Southern 66.1 -0.84 81 32
71 Colorado State 66.2 -0.83 80 30
72 Indiana 66.2 -0.82 80 35
73 Providence 66.2 -0.82 80 33
74 Cincinnati 66.2 -0.81 80 32
75 Gonzaga 66.2 -0.81 79 32
76 Mississippi State 66.2 -0.81 79 34
77 UNLV 66.3 -0.81 79 31
78 Fairfield 66.3 -0.80 78 32
79 Wichita State 66.4 -0.79 78 28
80 Seton Hall 66.4 -0.78 78 31
81 Cal State Fullerton 66.4 -0.78 78 30
82 Creighton 66.4 -0.78 77 35
83 Coastal Carolina 66.4 -0.77 77 29
84 Texas A&M 66.4 -0.77 77 39
85 Temple 66.4 -0.77 77 29
86 Loyola Maryland 66.5 -0.76 76 29
87 St. Bonaventure 66.5 -0.76 76 33
88 Florida 66.5 -0.76 76 34
89 Rutgers 66.5 -0.75 75 32
90 Kentucky 66.6 -0.74 75 34
91 Norfolk State 66.6 -0.73 75 28
92 Wofford 66.7 -0.72 75 30
93 Fordham 66.8 -0.70 74 32
94 Kent State 66.8 -0.69 74 32
95 Utah State 67.0 -0.66 74 33
96 Drake 67.0 -0.66 73 34
97 Alabama A&M 67.0 -0.65 73 30
98 UC Davis 67.0 -0.65 73 22
99 Jacksonville State 67.1 -0.64 73 30
100 Troy 67.1 -0.63 72 29
101 SMU 67.1 -0.63 72 33
102 Radford 67.1 -0.62 72 27
103 Auburn 67.2 -0.61 72 34
104 Notre Dame 67.2 -0.61 71 34
105 Illinois 67.2 -0.61 71 33
106 Arizona State 67.2 -0.61 71 31
107 Kansas 67.3 -0.60 70 40
108 Old Dominion 67.3 -0.60 70 31
109 Longwood 67.3 -0.60 70 29
110 Monmouth 67.3 -0.59 70 34
111 UTEP 67.3 -0.58 69 32
112 Cal State Bakersfield 67.4 -0.58 69 25
113 Colorado 67.4 -0.57 69 33
114 Kansas State 67.5 -0.56 68 31
115 San Francisco 67.5 -0.56 68 33
116 Seattle U 67.5 -0.56 68 30
117 Georgia Southern 67.6 -0.53 68 26
118 Colgate 67.6 -0.53 67 34
119 Ohio State 67.7 -0.51 67 32
120 Duke 67.8 -0.49 67 39
121 Butler 67.8 -0.49 66 31
122 Vanderbilt 67.8 -0.48 66 36
123 Cal Poly 67.9 -0.48 66 27
124 Boston University 67.9 -0.47 66 34
125 UMass Lowell 67.9 -0.46 65 28
126 Ohio 67.9 -0.46 65 34
127 Dartmouth 68.0 -0.46 65 24
128 Middle Tennessee 68.0 -0.45 65 35
129 Arizona 68.1 -0.44 64 37
130 UAB 68.1 -0.43 64 33
131 Belmont 68.1 -0.43 64 32
132 Pittsburgh 68.1 -0.43 63 32
133 Boston College 68.1 -0.42 63 33
134 Marist 68.2 -0.41 63 30
135 Georgia State 68.2 -0.40 63 26
136 UCF 68.2 -0.40 62 30
137 Saint Louis 68.3 -0.39 62 34
138 Arkansas 68.3 -0.39 62 37
139 Memphis 68.3 -0.38 61 33
140 IU Indianapolis 68.4 -0.36 61 27
141 Southern 68.4 -0.36 61 29
142 Purdue 68.4 -0.36 61 37
143 Richmond 68.4 -0.36 60 37
144 Clemson 68.5 -0.35 60 33
145 George Mason 68.5 -0.34 60 30
146 Louisiana Tech 68.5 -0.33 59 31
147 Delaware 68.6 -0.32 59 35
148 Iona 68.6 -0.32 59 33
149 Ole Miss 68.7 -0.31 59 32
150 Stanford 68.7 -0.30 58 32
151 Maryland Eastern Shore 68.7 -0.30 58 24
152 Stephen F. Austin 68.7 -0.30 58 28
153 San Diego 68.7 -0.30 58 29
154 Furman 68.8 -0.28 57 33
155 Arkansas State 68.8 -0.27 57 26
156 Florida A&M 69.0 -0.25 57 28
157 West Virginia 69.0 -0.25 56 33
158 Michigan State 69.0 -0.23 56 36
159 BYU 69.0 -0.23 56 33
160 California Baptist 69.0 -0.23 56 31
161 Florida Atlantic 69.1 -0.23 55 31
162 Saint Joseph's 69.1 -0.23 55 30
163 Northeastern 69.1 -0.22 55 31
164 Siena 69.2 -0.20 54 29
165 Minnesota 69.2 -0.20 54 30
166 Xavier 69.2 -0.19 54 36
167 Austin Peay 69.3 -0.19 54 27
168 Missouri State 69.3 -0.18 53 33
169 UT Arlington 69.3 -0.17 53 27
170 Michigan 69.4 -0.15 53 34
171 UNC Wilmington 69.4 -0.15 53 34
172 Abilene Christian 69.5 -0.13 52 32
173 Toledo 69.6 -0.11 52 33
174 Green Bay 69.7 -0.10 52 29
175 Rider 69.7 -0.10 51 32
176 Montana State 69.7 -0.10 51 33
177 Montana 69.7 -0.09 51 29
178 Oakland 69.8 -0.08 51 30
179 Binghamton 69.9 -0.06 50 27
180 Tulsa 69.9 -0.05 50 31
181 Yale 70.0 -0.03 50 30
182 Presbyterian 70.0 -0.03 49 29
183 Harvard 70.0 -0.02 49 23
184 Wake Forest 70.1 -0.02 49 35
185 North Dakota State 70.1 -0.02 49 31
186 Louisiana 70.1 -0.02 48 29
187 Louisville 70.1 -0.01 48 32
188 Drexel 70.1 -0.00 48 28
189 Oregon 70.3 +0.03 47 34
190 Miami 70.4 +0.04 47 37
191 Bellarmine 70.4 +0.06 47 29
192 Purdue Fort Wayne 70.5 +0.07 47 31
193 Bethune-Cookman 70.5 +0.07 46 29
194 Northwestern 70.6 +0.09 46 30
195 UMBC 70.7 +0.10 46 32
196 Brown 70.7 +0.11 46 27
197 Maryland 70.7 +0.12 45 32
198 Hampton 70.7 +0.12 45 26
199 Youngstown State 70.8 +0.12 45 32
200 Tennessee State 70.8 +0.13 44 30
201 Missouri 70.8 +0.13 44 32
202 High Point 70.8 +0.14 44 29
203 Utah 70.9 +0.15 44 31
204 South Carolina 70.9 +0.15 43 30
205 Western Kentucky 70.9 +0.15 43 30
206 East Carolina 70.9 +0.16 43 30
207 American University 70.9 +0.16 42 32
208 Kansas City 71.0 +0.17 42 27
209 NJIT 71.0 +0.17 42 28
210 Valparaiso 71.0 +0.17 42 30
211 Cleveland State 71.0 +0.18 41 29
212 Alcorn State 71.1 +0.19 41 34
213 North Carolina A&T 71.1 +0.20 41 29
214 Iowa 71.2 +0.21 41 36
215 Detroit Mercy 71.2 +0.21 40 29
216 Evansville 71.2 +0.21 40 29
217 Cal State Northridge 71.2 +0.21 40 28
218 St. Francis Brooklyn 71.2 +0.22 39 29
219 Sacramento State 71.2 +0.22 39 27
220 Charlotte 71.2 +0.22 39 31
221 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 71.2 +0.22 39 31
222 UNC Asheville 71.3 +0.23 38 29
223 North Carolina 71.3 +0.23 38 39
224 Georgia Tech 71.3 +0.24 38 31
225 Milwaukee 71.4 +0.25 37 31
226 Eastern Illinois 71.4 +0.25 37 29
227 Northern Iowa 71.5 +0.27 37 31
228 La Salle 71.5 +0.28 37 30
229 Northern Illinois 71.5 +0.28 36 30
230 Winthrop 71.6 +0.29 36 29
231 Marquette 71.6 +0.30 36 32
232 UC San Diego 71.6 +0.30 35 27
233 Lehigh 71.6 +0.31 35 31
234 Weber State 71.7 +0.32 35 31
235 Tulane 71.7 +0.32 35 29
236 Florida International 71.8 +0.34 34 30
237 North Carolina Central 71.8 +0.34 34 27
238 Howard 71.8 +0.35 34 26
239 Mercer 71.9 +0.36 34 31
240 Santa Clara 71.9 +0.36 33 33
241 Florida State 71.9 +0.37 33 31
242 Princeton 72.0 +0.38 33 28
243 Holy Cross 72.0 +0.39 32 29
244 Idaho State 72.0 +0.39 32 28
245 Army 72.1 +0.39 32 29
246 Central Connecticut 72.1 +0.41 32 32
247 Quinnipiac 72.1 +0.41 31 30
248 Hartford 72.2 +0.41 31 32
249 DePaul 72.2 +0.42 31 31
250 Grambling 72.3 +0.43 30 30
251 North Alabama 72.3 +0.44 30 26
252 Washington 72.3 +0.44 30 32
253 Wright State 72.3 +0.45 30 35
254 SIU Edwardsville 72.4 +0.46 29 30
255 Canisius 72.5 +0.49 29 31
256 South Dakota 72.5 +0.49 29 29
257 Elon 72.6 +0.50 28 30
258 Southern Utah 72.8 +0.55 28 33
259 George Washington 72.8 +0.55 28 30
260 Portland 73.0 +0.59 28 32
261 Lafayette 73.1 +0.60 27 29
262 Stetson 73.1 +0.61 27 26
263 East Tennessee State 73.2 +0.63 27 30
264 San José State 73.3 +0.65 27 30
265 Duquesne 73.4 +0.67 26 30
266 Nicholls 73.4 +0.67 26 29
267 Long Beach State 73.4 +0.67 26 31
268 Kennesaw State 73.5 +0.69 25 27
269 UTSA 73.6 +0.71 25 29
270 Buffalo 73.6 +0.71 25 28
271 Indiana State 73.6 +0.71 25 28
272 Portland State 73.6 +0.71 24 29
273 North Florida 73.6 +0.72 24 28
274 Pacific 73.6 +0.72 24 28
275 Stony Brook 73.7 +0.72 23 30
276 Manhattan 73.7 +0.73 23 29
277 UIC 73.7 +0.74 23 29
278 Maine 73.8 +0.75 23 26
279 Bryant 74.0 +0.79 22 31
280 Rice 74.1 +0.81 22 31
281 Nevada 74.1 +0.81 22 30
282 Lamar 74.1 +0.82 22 27
283 St. John's 74.2 +0.83 21 32
284 Saint Francis 74.2 +0.83 21 29
285 Tennessee Tech 74.3 +0.86 21 30
286 South Dakota State 74.3 +0.86 20 33
287 Loyola Marymount 74.3 +0.86 20 28
288 Long Island University 74.3 +0.86 20 29
289 Chicago State 74.4 +0.87 20 32
290 South Carolina State 74.4 +0.87 19 28
291 Samford 74.4 +0.88 19 29
292 Hofstra 74.4 +0.88 19 30
293 Morgan State 74.5 +0.90 18 24
294 Florida Gulf Coast 74.7 +0.93 18 32
295 Coppin State 74.7 +0.94 18 32
296 Denver 74.8 +0.95 18 30
297 Northern Arizona 74.8 +0.97 17 30
298 UT Martin 74.9 +0.98 17 28
299 Syracuse 75.1 +1.01 17 33
300 James Madison 75.1 +1.03 16 27
301 William & Mary 75.2 +1.03 16 31
302 Illinois State 75.2 +1.05 16 31
303 Eastern Washington 75.3 +1.06 16 32
304 South Carolina Upstate 75.3 +1.07 15 30
305 UL Monroe 75.4 +1.07 15 28
306 Little Rock 75.4 +1.08 15 25
307 Robert Morris 75.5 +1.09 15 31
308 Pennsylvania 75.5 +1.10 14 28
309 Alabama State 75.6 +1.12 14 30
310 NC State 75.6 +1.12 14 32
311 Delaware State 75.8 +1.17 13 25
312 Southern Miss 75.9 +1.19 13 31
313 Miami (OH) 76.0 +1.20 13 29
314 Sacred Heart 76.0 +1.21 13 29
315 Utah Tech 76.1 +1.22 12 27
316 Cornell 76.2 +1.25 12 24
317 Western Michigan 76.3 +1.26 12 28
318 Prairie View A&M 76.3 +1.26 11 27
319 Charleston 76.4 +1.30 11 32
320 Alabama 76.5 +1.30 11 33
321 Eastern Michigan 76.6 +1.34 11 30
322 LSU New Orleans 76.7 +1.35 10 29
323 Eastern Kentucky 76.7 +1.35 10 27
324 New Mexico 76.7 +1.36 10 30
325 Lipscomb 76.9 +1.39 9 30
326 Central Michigan 77.0 +1.41 9 30
327 Georgetown 77.0 +1.42 9 31
328 Charleston Southern 77.2 +1.46 9 28
329 Ball State 77.4 +1.50 8 30
330 VMI 77.4 +1.50 8 29
331 Incarnate Word 77.7 +1.55 8 29
332 Western Illinois 77.7 +1.55 8 30
333 Marshall 77.7 +1.55 7 31
334 Pepperdine 77.8 +1.57 7 31
335 Oral Roberts 77.8 +1.58 7 28
336 Northern Colorado 78.0 +1.62 6 35
337 Massachusetts 78.1 +1.63 6 32
338 Oregon State 78.1 +1.65 6 31
339 Southeast Missouri State 78.2 +1.66 6 30
340 St. Thomas 78.2 +1.67 5 27
341 Western Carolina 78.2 +1.67 5 31
342 Georgia 78.5 +1.72 5 32
343 Nebraska 78.5 +1.73 4 32
344 The Citadel 78.7 +1.77 4 28
345 SE Louisiana 79.1 +1.85 4 30
346 Fairleigh Dickinson 79.2 +1.86 4 26
347 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 79.3 +1.89 3 29
348 Houston Christian 79.4 +1.90 3 25
349 Bucknell 79.4 +1.91 3 32
350 Columbia 79.5 +1.93 3 25
351 UT Rio Grande Valley 79.7 +1.97 2 29
352 North Dakota 80.1 +2.06 2 29
353 McNeese 80.2 +2.07 2 29
354 Idaho 80.3 +2.09 1 29
355 Bowling Green 82.2 +2.50 1 29
356 Northwestern State 82.6 +2.56 1 29
357 Mississippi Valley State 83.0 +2.65 1 28
358 Central Arkansas 83.2 +2.69 0 29
359 Omaha 84.4 +2.94 0 29