Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 14.4% max 37.9% mean 27.9% std 4.0% (n=359)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.61 (team entering with the better value wins 58% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Offensive Rebound Percentage z Pctl GP
1 TCU 37.9% +2.49 100 34
2 UConn 37.7% +2.45 100 33
3 Houston 37.7% +2.43 99 38
4 Kentucky 37.7% +2.43 99 34
5 Memphis 37.4% +2.36 99 33
6 Buffalo 37.0% +2.26 99 28
7 Baylor 36.3% +2.10 98 34
8 Northern Kentucky 36.1% +2.04 98 30
9 Charleston 35.9% +1.99 98 32
10 Towson 35.8% +1.95 97 35
11 Alabama 35.3% +1.85 97 33
12 Murray State 35.3% +1.84 97 31
13 Purdue 35.2% +1.82 97 37
14 Grand Canyon 35.1% +1.80 96 29
15 Arizona 34.7% +1.68 96 37
16 Stephen F. Austin 34.5% +1.64 96 28
17 South Carolina State 34.3% +1.59 96 28
18 Mississippi State 34.1% +1.53 95 34
19 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 34.0% +1.52 95 31
20 Cleveland State 33.9% +1.50 95 29
21 LSU 33.9% +1.48 94 34
22 Navy 33.8% +1.47 94 31
23 Saint Louis 33.8% +1.47 94 34
24 Stanford 33.8% +1.45 94 32
25 Longwood 33.6% +1.42 93 29
26 Jacksonville 33.6% +1.42 93 27
27 Louisiana 33.6% +1.41 93 29
28 Auburn 33.6% +1.41 92 34
29 South Carolina 33.6% +1.41 92 30
30 Texas A&M 33.5% +1.40 92 39
31 Wagner 33.5% +1.38 92 26
32 USC 33.5% +1.38 91 34
33 Presbyterian 33.4% +1.37 91 29
34 Washington State 33.3% +1.34 91 37
35 McNeese 33.3% +1.34 91 29
36 UAB 33.2% +1.32 90 33
37 Texas Tech 33.1% +1.29 90 37
38 Illinois 33.1% +1.29 90 33
39 Texas Southern 33.0% +1.26 89 32
40 Kansas 32.9% +1.23 89 40
41 Bryant 32.8% +1.21 89 31
42 Coastal Carolina 32.7% +1.20 89 29
43 Temple 32.7% +1.19 88 29
44 Chattanooga 32.7% +1.19 88 33
45 North Carolina Central 32.7% +1.18 88 27
46 Tennessee 32.5% +1.14 87 35
47 Georgia State 32.5% +1.13 87 26
48 New Mexico State 32.4% +1.12 87 31
49 UNC Greensboro 32.4% +1.12 87 31
50 Old Dominion 32.4% +1.11 86 31
51 Wichita State 32.3% +1.09 86 28
52 Iowa 32.3% +1.08 86 36
53 Oklahoma State 32.3% +1.08 85 30
54 Seton Hall 32.3% +1.08 85 31
55 Georgetown 32.3% +1.08 85 31
56 Utah Valley 32.1% +1.04 85 30
57 Cal State Bakersfield 32.0% +1.01 84 25
58 Alcorn State 31.9% +1.00 84 34
59 Iona 31.9% +0.98 84 33
60 North Carolina 31.9% +0.98 84 39
61 Bradley 31.8% +0.96 83 30
62 Prairie View A&M 31.7% +0.94 83 27
63 DePaul 31.7% +0.94 83 31
64 North Texas 31.7% +0.93 82 30
65 Chicago State 31.6% +0.93 82 32
66 Texas 31.6% +0.92 82 34
67 Duke 31.6% +0.92 82 39
68 Troy 31.6% +0.92 81 29
69 Florida State 31.6% +0.91 81 31
70 Florida 31.5% +0.89 81 34
71 Morgan State 31.4% +0.87 80 24
72 Jackson State 31.4% +0.86 80 30
73 Missouri 31.4% +0.86 80 32
74 UCLA 31.4% +0.86 80 35
75 Villanova 31.2% +0.81 79 38
76 Florida Atlantic 31.1% +0.79 79 31
77 Boston University 31.1% +0.78 79 34
78 Mount St. Mary's 31.0% +0.76 78 29
79 Michigan 31.0% +0.76 78 34
80 Tennessee Tech 31.0% +0.76 78 30
81 Wright State 31.0% +0.75 78 35
82 Sacred Heart 31.0% +0.75 77 29
83 SIU Edwardsville 30.9% +0.74 77 30
84 Saint Peter's 30.9% +0.73 77 33
85 Kent State 30.8% +0.72 77 32
86 UCF 30.8% +0.72 76 30
87 Oakland 30.7% +0.69 76 30
88 Texas State 30.7% +0.69 76 26
89 Michigan State 30.7% +0.68 75 36
90 Morehead State 30.7% +0.68 75 31
91 St. John's 30.7% +0.68 75 32
92 BYU 30.6% +0.67 75 33
93 Boise State 30.6% +0.67 74 34
94 East Tennessee State 30.6% +0.66 74 30
95 Long Island University 30.6% +0.66 74 29
96 UT Arlington 30.5% +0.65 73 27
97 Sam Houston 30.5% +0.64 73 30
98 Saint Francis 30.5% +0.63 73 29
99 Pittsburgh 30.5% +0.63 73 32
100 Providence 30.3% +0.60 72 33
101 Toledo 30.3% +0.59 72 33
102 Norfolk State 30.2% +0.58 72 28
103 Drake 30.2% +0.56 72 34
104 NC State 30.2% +0.56 71 32
105 Cincinnati 30.1% +0.54 71 32
106 Dayton 30.1% +0.54 71 35
107 Samford 30.0% +0.52 70 29
108 Boston College 30.0% +0.52 70 33
109 Middle Tennessee 30.0% +0.52 70 35
110 IU Indianapolis 30.0% +0.52 70 27
111 Lamar 30.0% +0.51 69 27
112 Colorado 30.0% +0.51 69 33
113 UT Martin 30.0% +0.50 69 28
114 Manhattan 30.0% +0.50 68 29
115 Bowling Green 30.0% +0.50 68 29
116 San Francisco 29.9% +0.50 68 33
117 West Virginia 29.9% +0.50 68 33
118 Oregon 29.9% +0.49 67 34
119 UC Irvine 29.9% +0.49 67 23
120 Army 29.9% +0.49 67 29
121 Florida Gulf Coast 29.9% +0.48 66 32
122 South Florida 29.8% +0.47 66 31
123 Nicholls 29.7% +0.44 66 29
124 Youngstown State 29.7% +0.44 66 32
125 UTSA 29.6% +0.42 65 29
126 Tennessee State 29.6% +0.42 65 30
127 Alabama State 29.6% +0.41 65 30
128 Rutgers 29.6% +0.40 65 32
129 Arkansas 29.6% +0.40 64 37
130 Austin Peay 29.5% +0.39 64 27
131 St. Francis Brooklyn 29.5% +0.39 64 29
132 San Diego State 29.5% +0.39 63 32
133 Houston Christian 29.5% +0.38 63 25
134 Rider 29.4% +0.37 63 32
135 Monmouth 29.4% +0.36 63 34
136 Massachusetts 29.3% +0.35 62 32
137 Duquesne 29.3% +0.35 62 30
138 Ohio State 29.3% +0.35 62 32
139 Xavier 29.3% +0.34 61 36
140 Washington 29.3% +0.34 61 32
141 UMass Lowell 29.3% +0.34 61 28
142 Utah 29.3% +0.34 61 31
143 Arkansas State 29.2% +0.32 60 26
144 Syracuse 29.2% +0.31 60 33
145 Gonzaga 29.1% +0.29 60 32
146 Cal State Fullerton 29.1% +0.28 59 30
147 Hawai'i 29.0% +0.27 59 26
148 North Carolina A&T 29.0% +0.26 59 29
149 Northern Arizona 28.9% +0.25 59 30
150 Radford 28.9% +0.25 58 27
151 La Salle 28.9% +0.25 58 30
152 Akron 28.9% +0.24 58 32
153 Western Illinois 28.8% +0.21 58 30
154 Kennesaw State 28.7% +0.20 57 27
155 Alabama A&M 28.7% +0.19 57 30
156 Eastern Kentucky 28.7% +0.18 57 27
157 Penn State 28.6% +0.17 56 31
158 Quinnipiac 28.6% +0.16 56 30
159 Illinois State 28.6% +0.16 56 31
160 Rhode Island 28.6% +0.16 56 30
161 Western Carolina 28.6% +0.16 55 31
162 Georgia Southern 28.5% +0.14 55 26
163 Iowa State 28.4% +0.11 55 35
164 UC Santa Barbara 28.4% +0.11 54 26
165 Creighton 28.4% +0.10 54 35
166 Jacksonville State 28.2% +0.08 54 30
167 Brown 28.2% +0.07 54 27
168 Robert Morris 28.2% +0.06 53 31
169 Stetson 28.2% +0.05 53 26
170 California Baptist 28.1% +0.05 53 31
171 UNC Wilmington 28.0% +0.02 53 34
172 Canisius 28.0% +0.02 52 31
173 New Hampshire 28.0% +0.02 52 26
174 Howard 28.0% +0.01 52 26
175 Bethune-Cookman 27.9% -0.01 51 29
176 Detroit Mercy 27.9% -0.01 51 29
177 Virginia Tech 27.9% -0.02 51 36
178 Abilene Christian 27.8% -0.03 51 32
179 Southern Utah 27.8% -0.03 50 33
180 Fairleigh Dickinson 27.8% -0.04 50 26
181 Virginia 27.8% -0.04 50 35
182 Northwestern State 27.8% -0.04 49 29
183 SMU 27.7% -0.07 49 33
184 East Carolina 27.6% -0.08 49 30
185 Idaho State 27.6% -0.10 49 28
186 Southern 27.5% -0.12 48 29
187 Vanderbilt 27.5% -0.12 48 36
188 Grambling 27.4% -0.13 48 30
189 Fairfield 27.4% -0.13 47 32
190 Furman 27.4% -0.13 47 33
191 High Point 27.4% -0.13 47 29
192 Columbia 27.4% -0.14 47 25
193 Stony Brook 27.4% -0.14 46 30
194 Western Michigan 27.3% -0.15 46 28
195 Cal Poly 27.3% -0.16 46 27
196 Saint Mary's 27.3% -0.16 46 33
197 Fresno State 27.3% -0.16 45 35
198 Maryland 27.3% -0.16 45 32
199 Louisville 27.3% -0.16 45 32
200 Holy Cross 27.3% -0.17 44 29
201 Marshall 27.3% -0.17 44 31
202 Maryland Eastern Shore 27.3% -0.17 44 24
203 Long Beach State 27.1% -0.21 44 31
204 Butler 27.1% -0.21 43 31
205 Indiana 27.1% -0.21 43 35
206 UNLV 27.1% -0.21 43 31
207 Ohio 27.1% -0.22 42 34
208 William & Mary 27.1% -0.22 42 31
209 Fordham 27.1% -0.22 42 32
210 Florida International 27.0% -0.23 42 30
211 Saint Joseph's 27.0% -0.23 41 30
212 Tarleton State 27.0% -0.23 41 28
213 Delaware State 27.0% -0.24 41 25
214 Utah Tech 27.0% -0.25 41 27
215 Delaware 27.0% -0.25 40 35
216 Gardner-Webb 26.9% -0.25 40 28
217 St. Bonaventure 26.9% -0.25 40 33
218 Wofford 26.9% -0.26 39 30
219 North Dakota 26.9% -0.26 39 29
220 South Alabama 26.8% -0.28 39 30
221 Ball State 26.8% -0.28 39 30
222 Cal State Northridge 26.8% -0.29 38 28
223 Montana State 26.8% -0.29 38 33
224 Wake Forest 26.8% -0.30 38 35
225 Colgate 26.7% -0.30 37 34
226 Tulsa 26.7% -0.31 37 31
227 Green Bay 26.7% -0.31 37 29
228 Oral Roberts 26.7% -0.32 37 28
229 Ole Miss 26.7% -0.32 36 32
230 South Dakota 26.7% -0.32 36 29
231 Binghamton 26.7% -0.32 36 27
232 VCU 26.6% -0.33 35 32
233 UNC Asheville 26.6% -0.33 35 29
234 Marist 26.5% -0.36 35 30
235 Northeastern 26.3% -0.40 35 31
236 Charleston Southern 26.3% -0.40 34 28
237 App State 26.3% -0.41 34 31
238 San Diego 26.3% -0.41 34 29
239 Pepperdine 26.3% -0.41 34 31
240 Central Connecticut 26.3% -0.42 33 32
241 Oregon State 26.2% -0.43 33 31
242 Portland State 26.2% -0.43 33 29
243 Central Arkansas 26.2% -0.44 32 29
244 UC Davis 26.2% -0.45 32 22
245 UAlbany 26.1% -0.45 32 31
246 Rice 26.1% -0.46 32 31
247 Seattle U 26.0% -0.48 31 30
248 Cornell 26.0% -0.48 31 24
249 Utah State 26.0% -0.48 31 33
250 Wisconsin 26.0% -0.48 30 33
251 LSU New Orleans 26.0% -0.49 30 29
252 Louisiana Tech 26.0% -0.50 30 31
253 Miami (OH) 26.0% -0.50 30 29
254 SE Louisiana 25.9% -0.50 29 30
255 James Madison 25.9% -0.51 29 27
256 Milwaukee 25.9% -0.52 29 31
257 Georgia 25.8% -0.53 28 32
258 Clemson 25.8% -0.54 28 33
259 Missouri State 25.8% -0.54 28 33
260 Southeast Missouri State 25.8% -0.54 28 30
261 Oklahoma 25.8% -0.54 27 35
262 Northwestern 25.7% -0.55 27 30
263 Florida A&M 25.7% -0.56 27 28
264 Drexel 25.6% -0.58 27 28
265 North Alabama 25.6% -0.59 26 26
266 Yale 25.6% -0.59 26 30
267 Wyoming 25.5% -0.61 26 33
268 Elon 25.4% -0.63 25 30
269 Central Michigan 25.3% -0.65 25 30
270 California 25.3% -0.66 25 32
271 Winthrop 25.3% -0.66 25 29
272 George Mason 25.3% -0.67 24 30
273 Eastern Washington 25.3% -0.67 24 32
274 Kansas State 25.3% -0.67 24 31
275 Pennsylvania 25.2% -0.69 23 28
276 North Florida 25.2% -0.69 23 28
277 Loyola Maryland 25.2% -0.70 23 29
278 Harvard 25.1% -0.70 23 23
279 Loyola Chicago 25.1% -0.71 22 32
280 American University 25.1% -0.72 22 32
281 Western Kentucky 25.1% -0.72 22 30
282 Georgia Tech 25.0% -0.73 22 31
283 UIC 25.0% -0.75 21 29
284 Arizona State 24.9% -0.77 21 31
285 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 24.8% -0.78 21 29
286 Princeton 24.8% -0.79 20 28
287 North Dakota State 24.8% -0.79 20 31
288 Mercer 24.8% -0.80 20 31
289 UL Monroe 24.7% -0.82 20 28
290 UT Rio Grande Valley 24.7% -0.82 19 29
291 Omaha 24.6% -0.84 19 29
292 Nevada 24.5% -0.85 19 30
293 Siena 24.5% -0.86 18 29
294 Loyola Marymount 24.4% -0.88 18 28
295 Belmont 24.4% -0.90 18 32
296 Northern Illinois 24.3% -0.92 18 30
297 Maine 24.0% -0.98 17 26
298 New Mexico 24.0% -0.99 17 30
299 Portland 23.9% -1.02 17 32
300 Hartford 23.8% -1.05 16 32
301 Southern Miss 23.7% -1.06 16 31
302 The Citadel 23.7% -1.06 16 28
303 South Dakota State 23.7% -1.07 16 33
304 Vermont 23.7% -1.07 15 33
305 Dartmouth 23.6% -1.08 15 24
306 Davidson 23.6% -1.09 15 33
307 Denver 23.6% -1.09 15 30
308 Little Rock 23.5% -1.11 14 25
309 Mississippi Valley State 23.5% -1.12 14 28
310 Santa Clara 23.4% -1.14 14 33
311 Eastern Michigan 23.3% -1.15 13 30
312 Idaho 23.3% -1.16 13 29
313 George Washington 23.3% -1.17 13 30
314 Hofstra 23.3% -1.17 13 30
315 NJIT 23.2% -1.18 12 28
316 Southern Illinois 23.2% -1.20 12 30
317 Niagara 23.1% -1.22 12 29
318 VMI 22.8% -1.29 11 29
319 Incarnate Word 22.7% -1.31 11 29
320 Charlotte 22.7% -1.32 11 31
321 Lipscomb 22.7% -1.32 11 30
322 Merrimack 22.7% -1.32 10 29
323 UTEP 22.6% -1.33 10 32
324 Purdue Fort Wayne 22.6% -1.33 10 31
325 Pacific 22.6% -1.35 9 28
326 Marquette 22.5% -1.35 9 32
327 Lafayette 22.4% -1.39 9 29
328 Bellarmine 22.4% -1.39 9 29
329 Miami 22.4% -1.39 8 37
330 South Carolina Upstate 22.4% -1.39 8 30
331 UC Riverside 22.4% -1.39 8 26
332 Richmond 22.3% -1.40 8 37
333 Campbell 22.2% -1.43 7 26
334 Liberty 22.2% -1.44 7 30
335 Notre Dame 22.1% -1.47 7 34
336 San José State 22.0% -1.50 6 30
337 Hampton 21.9% -1.50 6 26
338 Northern Colorado 21.9% -1.52 6 35
339 UMBC 21.9% -1.52 6 31
340 Colorado State 21.8% -1.53 5 30
341 Bucknell 21.8% -1.53 5 32
342 Kansas City 21.6% -1.58 5 27
343 Lehigh 21.5% -1.61 4 31
344 Sacramento State 21.4% -1.64 4 27
345 Northern Iowa 20.8% -1.79 4 31
346 St. Thomas 20.7% -1.81 4 27
347 Eastern Illinois 20.6% -1.84 3 29
348 Nebraska 20.6% -1.84 3 32
349 Valparaiso 20.3% -1.92 3 30
350 Tulane 20.1% -1.95 3 29
351 Coppin State 20.1% -1.97 2 32
352 Weber State 20.0% -1.98 2 31
353 East Texas A&M 20.0% -1.99 2 2
354 Air Force 19.6% -2.10 1 29
355 UC San Diego 18.6% -2.35 1 27
356 Montana 18.1% -2.46 1 29
357 Minnesota 17.7% -2.56 1 30
358 Indiana State 17.3% -2.66 0 28
359 Evansville 14.4% -3.38 0 29