The name is Big Daddy, yes big not little. "Ain't No Half Steppin'" - Big Daddy Kane

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 34.1% max 66.5% mean 49.6% std 5.3% (n=359)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

Loading…
# Team Opponents' Win Percentage (OWP) z Pctl GP
1 Alabama 66.5% +3.21 100 33
2 Kansas 63.6% +2.67 100 40
3 Michigan 62.1% +2.39 99 34
4 Villanova 61.4% +2.24 99 38
5 Saint Mary's 61.1% +2.19 99 33
6 Washington State 60.0% +1.99 99 37
7 Providence 59.8% +1.94 98 33
8 New Mexico 59.7% +1.92 98 30
9 Michigan State 59.4% +1.87 98 36
10 North Carolina 59.2% +1.82 97 39
11 Houston 59.0% +1.79 97 38
12 Ohio State 59.0% +1.78 97 32
13 Xavier 58.6% +1.72 97 36
14 Saint Peter's 58.6% +1.71 96 33
15 Arizona State 58.5% +1.70 96 31
16 Oregon 58.4% +1.68 96 34
17 VCU 58.3% +1.66 96 32
18 Tennessee 58.3% +1.66 95 35
19 San Francisco 58.2% +1.64 95 33
20 West Virginia 58.2% +1.64 95 33
21 UCLA 58.2% +1.64 94 35
22 Vanderbilt 58.2% +1.63 94 36
23 Oklahoma State 58.0% +1.60 94 30
24 Auburn 57.4% +1.49 94 34
25 Wisconsin 57.4% +1.48 93 33
26 Memphis 57.4% +1.48 93 33
27 Utah State 57.3% +1.47 93 33
28 Arkansas 57.1% +1.42 92 37
29 Northern Iowa 56.9% +1.38 92 31
30 Marquette 56.8% +1.37 92 32
31 Illinois 56.7% +1.36 92 33
32 Miami 56.6% +1.33 91 37
33 Kentucky 56.5% +1.31 91 34
34 Oregon State 56.4% +1.30 91 31
35 Minnesota 56.4% +1.29 91 30
36 Duke 56.3% +1.28 90 39
37 BYU 56.2% +1.26 90 33
38 Maryland 56.2% +1.26 90 32
39 Pittsburgh 56.2% +1.26 89 32
40 Baylor 56.2% +1.25 89 34
41 LSU 56.1% +1.24 89 34
42 Arizona 56.0% +1.23 89 37
43 Notre Dame 56.0% +1.22 88 34
44 Nevada 56.0% +1.21 88 30
45 App State 55.9% +1.21 88 31
46 Creighton 55.9% +1.20 87 35
47 Penn State 55.9% +1.19 87 31
48 South Carolina 55.9% +1.19 87 30
49 Seton Hall 55.9% +1.19 87 31
50 Wichita State 55.8% +1.19 86 28
51 Georgetown 55.8% +1.18 86 31
52 Mississippi State 55.8% +1.18 86 34
53 Yale 55.6% +1.14 85 30
54 San Diego State 55.6% +1.13 85 32
55 Missouri 55.5% +1.13 85 32
56 UConn 55.5% +1.13 85 33
57 Butler 55.5% +1.12 84 31
58 St. Bonaventure 55.5% +1.11 84 33
59 Washington 55.4% +1.11 84 32
60 Elon 55.4% +1.11 84 30
61 North Texas 55.4% +1.10 83 30
62 UNLV 55.4% +1.10 83 31
63 Louisville 55.4% +1.10 83 32
64 Syracuse 55.3% +1.09 82 33
65 Saint Louis 55.2% +1.07 82 34
66 Oklahoma 55.1% +1.05 82 35
67 Iona 55.1% +1.05 82 33
68 Tulane 55.1% +1.05 81 29
69 Iowa 54.9% +1.01 81 36
70 Chattanooga 54.9% +1.01 81 33
71 Long Beach State 54.9% +1.01 80 31
72 Texas Tech 54.9% +1.00 80 37
73 Coastal Carolina 54.8% +1.00 80 29
74 East Tennessee State 54.8% +0.99 80 30
75 Richmond 54.8% +0.98 79 37
76 Indiana 54.7% +0.97 79 35
77 Purdue 54.5% +0.94 79 37
78 Georgia 54.5% +0.92 78 32
79 Virginia 54.4% +0.92 78 35
80 Loyola Marymount 54.4% +0.91 78 28
81 Ole Miss 54.2% +0.88 78 32
82 Texas 54.1% +0.86 77 34
83 Virginia Tech 54.1% +0.85 77 36
84 New Mexico State 53.9% +0.82 77 31
85 Texas A&M 53.9% +0.81 77 39
86 Nebraska 53.9% +0.81 76 32
87 Hofstra 53.9% +0.81 76 30
88 Clemson 53.8% +0.80 76 33
89 Canisius 53.8% +0.80 75 31
90 Mercer 53.7% +0.77 75 31
91 NC State 53.7% +0.77 75 32
92 Dayton 53.6% +0.77 75 35
93 Florida 53.6% +0.77 74 34
94 Gonzaga 53.6% +0.76 74 32
95 TCU 53.6% +0.76 74 34
96 Stanford 53.4% +0.72 73 32
97 Iowa State 53.1% +0.67 73 35
98 Marshall 53.1% +0.66 73 31
99 George Mason 53.1% +0.66 73 30
100 Wyoming 53.0% +0.65 72 33
101 Monmouth 52.9% +0.63 72 34
102 Boise State 52.9% +0.63 72 34
103 Murray State 52.8% +0.61 72 31
104 St. John's 52.8% +0.60 71 32
105 Stephen F. Austin 52.8% +0.60 71 28
106 Middle Tennessee 52.7% +0.60 71 35
107 Florida State 52.7% +0.59 70 31
108 Rhode Island 52.5% +0.55 70 30
109 VMI 52.5% +0.55 70 29
110 Colorado State 52.4% +0.54 70 30
111 Santa Clara 52.4% +0.52 69 33
112 Furman 52.0% +0.47 69 33
113 Northeastern 52.0% +0.46 69 31
114 Saint Joseph's 52.0% +0.46 68 30
115 Northwestern State 52.0% +0.46 68 29
116 South Florida 52.0% +0.46 68 31
117 Belmont 52.0% +0.45 68 32
118 Massachusetts 51.9% +0.44 67 32
119 Incarnate Word 51.9% +0.44 67 29
120 Tarleton State 51.7% +0.39 67 28
121 Northwestern 51.6% +0.38 66 30
122 UT Rio Grande Valley 51.6% +0.38 66 29
123 Western Michigan 51.6% +0.38 66 28
124 Cal State Northridge 51.5% +0.37 66 28
125 Charlotte 51.5% +0.37 65 31
126 Loyola Chicago 51.5% +0.36 65 32
127 Utah 51.5% +0.36 65 31
128 California 51.5% +0.35 65 32
129 Bellarmine 51.5% +0.35 64 29
130 Old Dominion 51.4% +0.35 64 31
131 Northern Colorado 51.2% +0.31 64 35
132 San José State 51.2% +0.30 63 30
133 Rutgers 51.2% +0.30 63 32
134 James Madison 51.2% +0.30 63 27
135 DePaul 51.1% +0.29 63 31
136 UT Arlington 51.1% +0.29 62 27
137 North Florida 51.1% +0.29 62 28
138 Delaware 51.1% +0.28 62 35
139 Little Rock 50.9% +0.24 61 25
140 Omaha 50.8% +0.22 61 29
141 Pepperdine 50.8% +0.22 61 31
142 USC 50.8% +0.22 61 34
143 Davidson 50.7% +0.22 60 33
144 Cincinnati 50.7% +0.22 60 32
145 South Dakota State 50.6% +0.20 60 33
146 Duquesne 50.6% +0.19 59 30
147 George Washington 50.5% +0.17 59 30
148 Utah Tech 50.4% +0.16 59 27
149 UNC Greensboro 50.3% +0.14 59 31
150 Kansas State 50.3% +0.14 58 31
151 Missouri State 50.3% +0.13 58 33
152 Towson 50.2% +0.11 58 35
153 Utah Valley 50.2% +0.11 58 30
154 Southern Miss 50.2% +0.10 57 31
155 UAB 50.1% +0.10 57 33
156 UCF 50.1% +0.10 57 30
157 Pacific 50.1% +0.10 56 28
158 Brown 50.1% +0.10 56 27
159 Temple 50.1% +0.10 56 29
160 SMU 50.1% +0.09 56 33
161 Pennsylvania 50.1% +0.09 55 28
162 UC Irvine 50.0% +0.09 55 23
163 William & Mary 50.0% +0.08 55 31
164 Central Arkansas 50.0% +0.08 54 29
165 Toledo 50.0% +0.07 54 33
166 UTEP 50.0% +0.07 54 32
167 Stony Brook 50.0% +0.07 54 30
168 Indiana State 49.9% +0.06 53 28
169 Delaware State 49.9% +0.05 53 25
170 Southern Utah 49.9% +0.05 53 33
171 Sam Houston 49.8% +0.05 53 30
172 Vermont 49.8% +0.04 52 33
173 Buffalo 49.8% +0.03 52 28
174 UC Riverside 49.7% +0.01 52 26
175 The Citadel 49.7% +0.01 51 28
176 Illinois State 49.7% +0.01 51 31
177 Kent State 49.7% +0.01 51 32
178 McNeese 49.6% +0.00 51 29
179 Georgia Tech 49.6% -0.00 50 31
180 Colorado 49.6% -0.01 50 33
181 Fresno State 49.5% -0.01 50 35
182 Drake 49.4% -0.03 49 34
183 South Alabama 49.4% -0.04 49 30
184 Northern Arizona 49.4% -0.04 49 30
185 Oakland 49.4% -0.04 49 30
186 Idaho 49.2% -0.07 48 29
187 Central Michigan 49.2% -0.08 48 30
188 Bradley 49.2% -0.08 48 30
189 High Point 49.1% -0.10 47 29
190 South Carolina Upstate 49.0% -0.11 47 30
191 Wake Forest 49.0% -0.11 47 35
192 Abilene Christian 49.0% -0.11 47 32
193 East Carolina 49.0% -0.12 46 30
194 Western Carolina 49.0% -0.12 46 31
195 Rice 49.0% -0.12 46 31
196 Coppin State 48.9% -0.13 46 32
197 Lipscomb 48.8% -0.14 45 30
198 UT Martin 48.8% -0.16 45 28
199 Drexel 48.7% -0.17 45 28
200 Charleston 48.7% -0.17 44 32
201 Fordham 48.6% -0.18 44 32
202 La Salle 48.6% -0.18 44 30
203 Niagara 48.6% -0.19 44 29
204 San Diego 48.6% -0.20 43 29
205 UL Monroe 48.6% -0.20 43 28
206 Prairie View A&M 48.5% -0.22 43 27
207 Robert Morris 48.4% -0.23 42 31
208 Cal State Bakersfield 48.4% -0.23 42 25
209 SE Louisiana 48.4% -0.24 42 30
210 Western Kentucky 48.3% -0.25 42 30
211 Louisiana Tech 48.2% -0.27 41 31
212 Wright State 48.1% -0.28 41 35
213 Boston College 48.1% -0.29 41 33
214 Tennessee Tech 48.1% -0.29 41 30
215 Evansville 48.1% -0.29 40 29
216 Air Force 48.0% -0.30 40 29
217 Montana State 48.0% -0.31 40 33
218 Ohio 47.9% -0.32 39 34
219 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 47.9% -0.33 39 29
220 Akron 47.8% -0.34 39 32
221 Long Island University 47.8% -0.35 39 29
222 Cal Poly 47.8% -0.35 38 27
223 Louisiana 47.8% -0.35 38 29
224 Tulsa 47.7% -0.36 38 31
225 Arkansas State 47.7% -0.36 37 26
226 North Alabama 47.6% -0.39 37 26
227 Georgia State 47.5% -0.40 37 26
228 Siena 47.4% -0.41 37 29
229 Eastern Michigan 47.4% -0.42 36 30
230 UNC Wilmington 47.4% -0.42 36 34
231 Alcorn State 47.4% -0.43 36 34
232 Kennesaw State 47.4% -0.43 35 27
233 Marist 47.3% -0.43 35 30
234 Presbyterian 47.3% -0.43 35 29
235 St. Thomas 47.3% -0.44 35 27
236 Valparaiso 47.2% -0.46 34 30
237 Mount St. Mary's 47.1% -0.48 34 29
238 Dartmouth 47.0% -0.49 34 24
239 Morehead State 47.0% -0.49 34 31
240 Texas State 47.0% -0.49 33 26
241 Portland 47.0% -0.50 33 32
242 Florida Atlantic 46.9% -0.51 33 31
243 Wofford 46.8% -0.54 32 30
244 Oral Roberts 46.6% -0.58 32 28
245 Fairfield 46.5% -0.58 32 32
246 Jacksonville State 46.4% -0.61 32 30
247 Fairleigh Dickinson 46.4% -0.62 31 26
248 Lafayette 46.3% -0.62 31 29
249 Cal State Fullerton 46.3% -0.62 31 30
250 Radford 46.3% -0.63 30 27
251 Harvard 46.3% -0.64 30 23
252 Detroit Mercy 46.2% -0.64 30 29
253 Winthrop 46.2% -0.65 30 29
254 North Carolina A&T 46.1% -0.66 29 29
255 Nicholls 46.1% -0.66 29 29
256 Austin Peay 46.1% -0.66 29 27
257 Sacramento State 46.1% -0.68 28 27
258 Hawai'i 46.0% -0.68 28 26
259 Troy 46.0% -0.69 28 29
260 UNC Asheville 46.0% -0.69 28 29
261 Gardner-Webb 45.9% -0.71 27 28
262 Hartford 45.9% -0.71 27 32
263 Morgan State 45.8% -0.72 27 24
264 North Carolina Central 45.8% -0.72 27 27
265 Eastern Washington 45.8% -0.73 26 32
266 Maryland Eastern Shore 45.7% -0.75 26 24
267 Green Bay 45.6% -0.76 26 29
268 California Baptist 45.5% -0.77 25 31
269 Navy 45.4% -0.79 25 31
270 Grambling 45.4% -0.80 25 30
271 Cleveland State 45.4% -0.80 25 29
272 Merrimack 45.4% -0.81 24 30
273 Army 45.4% -0.81 24 29
274 Southern Illinois 45.4% -0.81 24 30
275 Colgate 45.3% -0.81 23 34
276 Northern Illinois 45.3% -0.82 23 30
277 Southeast Missouri State 45.3% -0.83 23 30
278 Georgia Southern 45.2% -0.84 23 26
279 Liberty 45.2% -0.84 22 30
280 Samford 45.1% -0.86 22 29
281 Bowling Green 45.0% -0.88 22 29
282 Maine 44.9% -0.90 22 26
283 Florida A&M 44.9% -0.90 21 28
284 SIU Edwardsville 44.9% -0.90 21 30
285 Bucknell 44.7% -0.93 21 32
286 Grand Canyon 44.7% -0.93 20 29
287 Bryant 44.7% -0.94 20 31
288 New Hampshire 44.7% -0.94 20 26
289 North Dakota State 44.6% -0.94 20 31
290 Texas Southern 44.6% -0.95 19 32
291 Campbell 44.6% -0.95 19 26
292 Rider 44.6% -0.95 19 32
293 Alabama State 44.6% -0.95 18 30
294 UMass Lowell 44.6% -0.95 18 28
295 Houston Christian 44.6% -0.96 18 25
296 UIC 44.5% -0.97 18 29
297 Jackson State 44.5% -0.97 17 30
298 Idaho State 44.5% -0.98 17 28
299 Weber State 44.4% -0.98 17 31
300 Binghamton 44.2% -1.02 16 27
301 Florida Gulf Coast 44.2% -1.03 16 32
302 Chicago State 44.2% -1.04 16 32
303 UC San Diego 44.1% -1.04 16 27
304 UMBC 44.1% -1.05 15 32
305 Princeton 44.0% -1.07 15 28
306 South Dakota 44.0% -1.07 15 29
307 Charleston Southern 43.9% -1.08 15 28
308 Stetson 43.8% -1.11 14 26
309 UTSA 43.6% -1.13 14 29
310 Southern 43.5% -1.16 14 29
311 Denver 43.5% -1.16 13 30
312 Central Connecticut 43.5% -1.16 13 32
313 Seattle U 43.4% -1.18 13 30
314 Boston University 43.3% -1.19 13 34
315 Kansas City 43.3% -1.20 12 27
316 Milwaukee 43.2% -1.21 12 31
317 Loyola Maryland 43.2% -1.22 12 29
318 Hampton 43.2% -1.23 11 26
319 Saint Francis 43.0% -1.25 11 29
320 Quinnipiac 43.0% -1.26 11 30
321 Holy Cross 43.0% -1.26 11 29
322 UAlbany 43.0% -1.26 10 31
323 Lehigh 43.0% -1.27 10 31
324 North Dakota 42.9% -1.28 10 29
325 Ball State 42.8% -1.29 9 30
326 Purdue Fort Wayne 42.8% -1.30 9 31
327 Cornell 42.8% -1.30 9 24
328 Eastern Kentucky 42.7% -1.32 9 27
329 Manhattan 42.6% -1.33 8 29
330 Miami (OH) 42.6% -1.34 8 29
331 Lamar 42.4% -1.37 8 27
332 Northern Kentucky 42.3% -1.39 8 30
333 Mississippi Valley State 42.2% -1.40 7 28
334 Portland State 42.2% -1.42 7 29
335 Wagner 42.1% -1.42 7 26
336 NJIT 42.1% -1.42 6 28
337 Longwood 42.0% -1.45 6 29
338 Columbia 41.9% -1.47 6 25
339 East Texas A&M 41.8% -1.48 6 2
340 LSU New Orleans 41.8% -1.48 5 29
341 Western Illinois 41.7% -1.50 5 30
342 Norfolk State 41.6% -1.53 5 28
343 Florida International 41.5% -1.54 4 30
344 Bethune-Cookman 41.5% -1.55 4 29
345 IU Indianapolis 41.3% -1.59 4 27
346 Sacred Heart 41.0% -1.64 4 29
347 Montana 41.0% -1.64 3 29
348 American University 41.0% -1.64 3 32
349 Alabama A&M 40.7% -1.70 3 30
350 St. Francis Brooklyn 40.3% -1.77 3 29
351 Youngstown State 40.3% -1.77 2 32
352 Eastern Illinois 40.1% -1.81 2 29
353 UC Santa Barbara 40.0% -1.83 2 26
354 UC Davis 39.6% -1.90 1 22
355 Tennessee State 39.5% -1.91 1 30
356 Howard 39.4% -1.93 1 26
357 Jacksonville 39.2% -1.97 1 27
358 South Carolina State 38.3% -2.15 0 28
359 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 34.1% -2.95 0 31