I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 60.2 max 75.4 mean 68.7 std 2.6 (n=359)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Pace z Pctl GP
1 LSU New Orleans 75.4 +2.57 100 29
2 Charleston 74.9 +2.38 100 32
3 St. John's 74.8 +2.35 99 32
4 McNeese 74.7 +2.31 99 29
5 Morgan State 74.5 +2.23 99 24
6 Coppin State 74.4 +2.21 99 32
7 Bowling Green 74.3 +2.16 98 29
8 Mississippi Valley State 74.3 +2.16 98 28
9 South Carolina State 74.3 +2.16 98 28
10 Gonzaga 73.8 +1.98 97 32
11 Northwestern State 73.5 +1.86 97 29
12 Alabama 73.5 +1.86 97 33
13 Long Island University 73.5 +1.85 97 29
14 Central Arkansas 73.5 +1.84 96 29
15 Nebraska 73.4 +1.79 96 32
16 East Texas A&M 73.3 +1.79 96 2
17 Western Illinois 73.3 +1.79 96 30
18 SE Louisiana 73.3 +1.77 95 30
19 Cornell 73.2 +1.74 95 24
20 Arizona 73.2 +1.74 95 37
21 Eastern Kentucky 73.2 +1.73 94 27
22 Utah Tech 73.1 +1.70 94 27
23 Bryant 73.0 +1.65 94 31
24 UT Rio Grande Valley 72.8 +1.59 94 29
25 Marshall 72.8 +1.59 93 31
26 Southeast Missouri State 72.8 +1.58 93 30
27 Prairie View A&M 72.8 +1.56 93 27
28 Nicholls 72.7 +1.53 92 29
29 Howard 72.7 +1.53 92 26
30 Arkansas 72.4 +1.43 92 37
31 Houston Christian 72.4 +1.43 92 25
32 Eastern Michigan 72.4 +1.41 91 30
33 Oral Roberts 72.4 +1.41 91 28
34 South Carolina 72.4 +1.41 91 30
35 Auburn 72.3 +1.40 91 34
36 Wake Forest 72.3 +1.38 90 35
37 Portland State 72.3 +1.37 90 29
38 Seattle U 72.3 +1.36 90 30
39 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 72.2 +1.36 89 31
40 Abilene Christian 72.2 +1.35 89 32
41 Buffalo 72.1 +1.32 89 28
42 Marquette 72.1 +1.31 89 32
43 Ball State 72.0 +1.25 88 30
44 The Citadel 71.9 +1.24 88 28
45 Pepperdine 71.9 +1.22 88 31
46 Southern 71.9 +1.22 87 29
47 New Mexico 71.8 +1.19 87 30
48 Florida Gulf Coast 71.8 +1.19 87 32
49 Alabama State 71.8 +1.18 87 30
50 South Dakota State 71.6 +1.12 86 33
51 Long Beach State 71.6 +1.12 86 31
52 Santa Clara 71.5 +1.06 86 33
53 Idaho 71.4 +1.05 85 29
54 North Carolina Central 71.4 +1.02 85 27
55 Portland 71.3 +1.00 85 32
56 Omaha 71.3 +0.99 85 29
57 Washington 71.3 +0.98 84 32
58 Columbia 71.2 +0.95 84 25
59 Eastern Washington 71.1 +0.93 84 32
60 Fairleigh Dickinson 71.1 +0.90 84 26
61 Georgetown 71.0 +0.89 83 31
62 Stephen F. Austin 71.0 +0.89 83 28
63 Memphis 71.0 +0.89 83 33
64 Northern Colorado 71.0 +0.88 82 35
65 North Carolina 71.0 +0.88 82 39
66 LSU 70.9 +0.85 82 34
67 San Francisco 70.9 +0.85 82 33
68 Weber State 70.9 +0.85 81 31
69 Delaware State 70.8 +0.80 81 25
70 Louisiana 70.8 +0.80 81 29
71 UAB 70.8 +0.78 80 33
72 Southern Utah 70.7 +0.78 80 33
73 Iowa 70.7 +0.78 80 36
74 Iona 70.7 +0.78 80 33
75 SIU Edwardsville 70.7 +0.78 79 30
76 Nevada 70.7 +0.77 79 30
77 Hofstra 70.7 +0.76 79 30
78 DePaul 70.7 +0.75 78 31
79 Indiana State 70.6 +0.74 78 28
80 Illinois State 70.6 +0.73 78 31
81 Yale 70.5 +0.70 78 30
82 Oklahoma State 70.5 +0.70 77 30
83 George Washington 70.5 +0.69 77 30
84 Lipscomb 70.5 +0.69 77 30
85 Grambling 70.5 +0.68 77 30
86 Belmont 70.5 +0.67 76 32
87 James Madison 70.5 +0.67 76 27
88 Tennessee Tech 70.4 +0.66 76 30
89 Maryland Eastern Shore 70.4 +0.66 75 24
90 William & Mary 70.3 +0.60 75 31
91 Western Kentucky 70.2 +0.59 75 30
92 Norfolk State 70.2 +0.58 75 28
93 UT Martin 70.2 +0.58 74 28
94 Harvard 70.2 +0.57 74 23
95 Tulane 70.2 +0.57 74 29
96 Kansas 70.2 +0.56 73 40
97 North Alabama 70.2 +0.56 73 26
98 VMI 70.1 +0.54 73 29
99 Charleston Southern 70.1 +0.53 73 28
100 Manhattan 70.1 +0.53 72 29
101 Xavier 70.1 +0.53 72 36
102 Cleveland State 70.1 +0.52 72 29
103 Samford 70.0 +0.50 72 29
104 Texas Southern 70.0 +0.50 71 32
105 Massachusetts 70.0 +0.50 71 32
106 Toledo 70.0 +0.49 71 33
107 UL Monroe 69.9 +0.47 70 28
108 South Carolina Upstate 69.9 +0.46 70 30
109 Western Carolina 69.9 +0.45 70 31
110 Canisius 69.9 +0.44 70 31
111 BYU 69.9 +0.44 69 33
112 Purdue Fort Wayne 69.9 +0.44 69 31
113 Northwestern 69.9 +0.44 69 30
114 Army 69.8 +0.43 68 29
115 UIC 69.8 +0.43 68 29
116 Georgia 69.8 +0.42 68 32
117 Syracuse 69.8 +0.41 68 33
118 Hampton 69.8 +0.40 67 26
119 Kentucky 69.8 +0.40 67 34
120 Winthrop 69.8 +0.40 67 29
121 Bucknell 69.7 +0.39 66 32
122 Wright State 69.7 +0.39 66 35
123 Montana State 69.7 +0.38 66 33
124 UNC Asheville 69.7 +0.38 66 29
125 SMU 69.7 +0.38 65 33
126 Fordham 69.7 +0.37 65 32
127 Pennsylvania 69.7 +0.36 65 28
128 Princeton 69.7 +0.36 65 28
129 Georgia Tech 69.6 +0.35 64 31
130 Louisiana Tech 69.6 +0.33 64 31
131 Pacific 69.6 +0.32 64 28
132 Saint Louis 69.5 +0.31 63 34
133 Florida International 69.5 +0.30 63 30
134 UTSA 69.5 +0.29 63 29
135 Alabama A&M 69.4 +0.28 63 30
136 Miami (OH) 69.4 +0.28 62 29
137 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 69.4 +0.27 62 29
138 Vanderbilt 69.4 +0.27 62 36
139 Tennessee State 69.4 +0.26 61 30
140 East Carolina 69.4 +0.26 61 30
141 Wagner 69.4 +0.25 61 26
142 Middle Tennessee 69.4 +0.24 61 35
143 Texas A&M 69.3 +0.24 60 39
144 North Dakota 69.3 +0.24 60 29
145 Alcorn State 69.3 +0.24 60 34
146 Arkansas State 69.3 +0.21 59 26
147 NC State 69.3 +0.21 59 32
148 Quinnipiac 69.3 +0.21 59 30
149 Rice 69.2 +0.17 59 31
150 High Point 69.2 +0.17 58 29
151 Tennessee 69.2 +0.17 58 35
152 Sacred Heart 69.2 +0.17 58 29
153 Florida State 69.1 +0.16 58 31
154 Brown 69.1 +0.16 57 27
155 Saint Francis 69.1 +0.16 57 29
156 Central Michigan 69.1 +0.15 57 30
157 Rider 69.1 +0.15 56 32
158 North Florida 69.1 +0.15 56 28
159 Baylor 69.1 +0.15 56 34
160 La Salle 69.1 +0.14 56 30
161 North Dakota State 69.1 +0.13 55 31
162 Georgia State 69.1 +0.13 55 26
163 Saint Joseph's 69.0 +0.12 55 30
164 Arizona State 69.0 +0.12 54 31
165 California Baptist 69.0 +0.12 54 31
166 Ohio 69.0 +0.10 54 34
167 Northern Iowa 69.0 +0.10 54 31
168 Oakland 68.9 +0.08 53 30
169 Oregon State 68.9 +0.07 53 31
170 Florida Atlantic 68.9 +0.06 53 31
171 Utah Valley 68.9 +0.06 53 30
172 Colorado 68.9 +0.06 52 33
173 Northern Illinois 68.9 +0.05 52 30
174 VCU 68.9 +0.05 52 32
175 Oregon 68.9 +0.05 51 34
176 Creighton 68.9 +0.05 51 35
177 Seton Hall 68.8 +0.03 51 31
178 Denver 68.8 +0.02 51 30
179 Troy 68.8 +0.02 50 29
180 UMBC 68.7 +0.01 50 31
181 Wichita State 68.7 +0.00 50 28
182 Stony Brook 68.7 -0.02 49 30
183 Indiana 68.6 -0.06 49 35
184 Cincinnati 68.6 -0.07 49 32
185 Kansas City 68.5 -0.07 49 27
186 Lehigh 68.5 -0.08 48 31
187 West Virginia 68.5 -0.09 48 33
188 St. Francis Brooklyn 68.4 -0.11 48 29
189 North Carolina A&T 68.4 -0.11 47 29
190 Illinois 68.4 -0.11 47 33
191 Kennesaw State 68.4 -0.12 47 27
192 Drexel 68.4 -0.12 47 28
193 Duke 68.4 -0.12 46 39
194 UT Arlington 68.4 -0.13 46 27
195 UCF 68.3 -0.15 46 30
196 Gardner-Webb 68.3 -0.16 46 28
197 Utah State 68.3 -0.17 45 33
198 Missouri State 68.3 -0.18 45 33
199 UC Davis 68.2 -0.18 45 22
200 UC San Diego 68.2 -0.19 44 27
201 Southern Miss 68.2 -0.22 44 31
202 UMass Lowell 68.2 -0.22 44 28
203 Presbyterian 68.1 -0.23 44 29
204 UConn 68.1 -0.24 43 33
205 Miami 68.1 -0.25 43 37
206 Robert Morris 68.1 -0.25 43 31
207 Louisville 68.1 -0.25 42 32
208 Siena 68.1 -0.25 42 29
209 Little Rock 68.0 -0.26 42 25
210 Texas Tech 68.0 -0.27 42 37
211 Stetson 68.0 -0.28 41 26
212 New Mexico State 68.0 -0.28 41 31
213 Loyola Marymount 68.0 -0.28 41 28
214 Kansas State 68.0 -0.28 41 31
215 USC 68.0 -0.29 40 34
216 UTEP 68.0 -0.29 40 32
217 Duquesne 68.0 -0.29 40 30
218 Maryland 68.0 -0.29 39 32
219 Coastal Carolina 68.0 -0.30 39 29
220 Rhode Island 68.0 -0.30 39 30
221 Incarnate Word 68.0 -0.30 39 29
222 George Mason 67.9 -0.31 38 30
223 Bradley 67.9 -0.31 38 30
224 Michigan State 67.9 -0.33 38 36
225 UNC Wilmington 67.8 -0.34 37 34
226 South Dakota 67.8 -0.35 37 29
227 Bethune-Cookman 67.8 -0.36 37 29
228 Ole Miss 67.8 -0.37 37 32
229 Richmond 67.8 -0.37 36 37
230 Northern Arizona 67.8 -0.37 36 30
231 Marist 67.8 -0.37 36 30
232 Milwaukee 67.8 -0.37 35 31
233 Colgate 67.7 -0.38 35 34
234 Murray State 67.7 -0.38 35 31
235 Utah 67.7 -0.38 35 31
236 Longwood 67.7 -0.39 34 29
237 TCU 67.7 -0.39 34 34
238 South Alabama 67.7 -0.39 34 30
239 Iowa State 67.7 -0.40 34 35
240 Temple 67.7 -0.40 33 29
241 UCLA 67.7 -0.41 33 35
242 Washington State 67.7 -0.41 33 37
243 Monmouth 67.6 -0.43 32 34
244 Valparaiso 67.6 -0.44 32 30
245 San Diego 67.6 -0.45 32 29
246 NJIT 67.5 -0.46 32 28
247 Binghamton 67.5 -0.47 31 27
248 Drake 67.5 -0.48 31 34
249 Michigan 67.5 -0.49 31 34
250 Chicago State 67.4 -0.50 30 32
251 Dartmouth 67.4 -0.50 30 24
252 Missouri 67.4 -0.51 30 32
253 Lamar 67.4 -0.51 30 27
254 UC Santa Barbara 67.4 -0.51 29 26
255 Kent State 67.4 -0.53 29 32
256 Purdue 67.4 -0.53 29 37
257 Mississippi State 67.3 -0.53 28 34
258 Youngstown State 67.3 -0.54 28 32
259 Florida 67.3 -0.54 28 34
260 Tulsa 67.3 -0.54 28 31
261 Hartford 67.3 -0.54 27 32
262 Florida A&M 67.3 -0.55 27 28
263 Saint Peter's 67.3 -0.56 27 33
264 Grand Canyon 67.2 -0.58 27 29
265 Providence 67.2 -0.59 26 33
266 Wyoming 67.1 -0.61 26 33
267 Montana 67.1 -0.61 26 29
268 Clemson 67.1 -0.61 25 33
269 Furman 67.1 -0.63 25 33
270 Oklahoma 67.1 -0.64 25 35
271 Stanford 67.1 -0.64 25 32
272 Lafayette 67.0 -0.66 24 29
273 Delaware 67.0 -0.66 24 35
274 Georgia Southern 67.0 -0.66 24 26
275 Holy Cross 67.0 -0.67 23 29
276 Central Connecticut 67.0 -0.67 23 32
277 Wisconsin 67.0 -0.67 23 33
278 Western Michigan 67.0 -0.67 23 28
279 Elon 67.0 -0.67 22 30
280 Jacksonville State 67.0 -0.68 22 30
281 St. Thomas 67.0 -0.68 22 27
282 Loyola Maryland 66.9 -0.70 22 29
283 Notre Dame 66.7 -0.77 21 34
284 Austin Peay 66.7 -0.79 21 27
285 Charlotte 66.6 -0.81 21 31
286 UNLV 66.6 -0.82 20 31
287 Liberty 66.6 -0.83 20 30
288 Rutgers 66.6 -0.83 20 32
289 Loyola Chicago 66.5 -0.85 20 32
290 St. Bonaventure 66.5 -0.86 19 33
291 Boston College 66.5 -0.88 19 33
292 Sacramento State 66.5 -0.88 19 27
293 Cal State Fullerton 66.4 -0.88 18 30
294 Eastern Illinois 66.4 -0.89 18 29
295 Colorado State 66.4 -0.91 18 30
296 UC Riverside 66.3 -0.95 18 26
297 East Tennessee State 66.3 -0.96 17 30
298 Morehead State 66.2 -0.96 17 31
299 Mercer 66.2 -0.98 17 31
300 Sam Houston 66.2 -0.98 16 30
301 Jackson State 66.2 -0.99 16 30
302 Maine 66.2 -0.99 16 26
303 Northern Kentucky 66.1 -1.00 16 30
304 American University 66.1 -1.01 15 32
305 UAlbany 66.1 -1.02 15 31
306 Old Dominion 66.1 -1.03 15 31
307 San Diego State 66.1 -1.03 15 32
308 San José State 66.1 -1.03 14 30
309 Cal State Northridge 66.0 -1.05 14 28
310 Niagara 66.0 -1.05 14 29
311 Chattanooga 66.0 -1.07 13 33
312 Minnesota 65.9 -1.07 13 30
313 Northeastern 65.9 -1.08 13 31
314 Idaho State 65.9 -1.08 13 28
315 Cal Poly 65.9 -1.09 12 27
316 Fairfield 65.9 -1.09 12 32
317 Davidson 65.9 -1.10 12 33
318 South Florida 65.8 -1.12 11 31
319 Boston University 65.8 -1.15 11 34
320 Butler 65.7 -1.17 11 31
321 Houston 65.7 -1.18 11 38
322 Radford 65.7 -1.18 10 27
323 Ohio State 65.6 -1.20 10 32
324 Evansville 65.6 -1.22 10 29
325 Hawai'i 65.5 -1.24 9 26
326 Mount St. Mary's 65.5 -1.25 9 29
327 Detroit Mercy 65.5 -1.25 9 29
328 Boise State 65.5 -1.26 9 34
329 California 65.5 -1.26 8 32
330 Vermont 65.4 -1.28 8 33
331 Saint Mary's 65.4 -1.30 8 33
332 Towson 65.3 -1.33 8 35
333 App State 65.2 -1.35 7 31
334 Wofford 65.1 -1.40 7 30
335 UC Irvine 65.0 -1.43 7 23
336 Texas State 65.0 -1.44 6 26
337 Navy 65.0 -1.45 6 31
338 Green Bay 65.0 -1.46 6 29
339 Tarleton State 64.9 -1.48 6 28
340 Texas 64.9 -1.48 5 34
341 Dayton 64.6 -1.58 5 35
342 Cal State Bakersfield 64.6 -1.59 5 25
343 Pittsburgh 64.2 -1.75 4 32
344 Merrimack 64.1 -1.78 4 29
345 Akron 63.9 -1.88 4 32
346 Villanova 63.8 -1.90 4 38
347 Virginia Tech 63.8 -1.91 3 36
348 UNC Greensboro 63.8 -1.92 3 31
349 Campbell 63.7 -1.95 3 26
350 Bellarmine 63.6 -1.99 3 29
351 Penn State 63.6 -2.00 2 31
352 Fresno State 63.5 -2.00 2 35
353 Air Force 63.4 -2.05 2 29
354 IU Indianapolis 63.1 -2.19 1 27
355 New Hampshire 62.9 -2.27 1 26
356 Southern Illinois 62.8 -2.29 1 30
357 Jacksonville 62.6 -2.37 1 27
358 North Texas 60.7 -3.10 0 30
359 Virginia 60.2 -3.31 0 35