What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 11.3 max 22.4 mean 16.9 std 1.8 (n=359)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.55 (team entering with the better value wins 54% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Personal Fouls Per Game z Pctl GP
1 Western Kentucky 11.3 -3.19 100 30
2 Notre Dame 12.9 -2.28 100 34
3 App State 13.2 -2.07 99 31
4 St. Bonaventure 13.3 -2.03 99 33
5 Lipscomb 13.5 -1.89 99 30
6 UMBC 13.6 -1.87 99 31
7 Creighton 13.6 -1.84 98 35
8 Valparaiso 13.7 -1.82 98 30
9 Duke 13.7 -1.80 98 39
10 Belmont 13.7 -1.79 97 32
11 New Hampshire 13.7 -1.78 97 26
12 Virginia 13.7 -1.77 97 35
13 Richmond 13.9 -1.70 97 37
14 Duquesne 13.9 -1.68 96 30
15 Campbell 13.9 -1.67 96 26
16 Northern Iowa 13.9 -1.66 96 31
17 Dayton 14.0 -1.64 96 35
18 Princeton 14.0 -1.61 95 28
19 Minnesota 14.1 -1.59 95 30
20 Oakland 14.1 -1.59 95 30
21 Charlotte 14.1 -1.57 94 31
22 Rice 14.1 -1.55 94 31
23 Lafayette 14.2 -1.51 94 29
24 Vermont 14.2 -1.51 94 33
25 Syracuse 14.2 -1.49 93 33
26 Kentucky 14.3 -1.44 93 34
27 Purdue 14.5 -1.37 93 37
28 North Carolina 14.5 -1.36 92 39
29 Stony Brook 14.5 -1.36 92 30
30 Ohio 14.6 -1.29 92 34
31 Florida Gulf Coast 14.6 -1.29 92 32
32 Colgate 14.6 -1.28 91 34
33 Wright State 14.7 -1.25 91 35
34 Eastern Illinois 14.7 -1.23 91 29
35 Furman 14.7 -1.21 91 33
36 Jacksonville State 14.7 -1.21 90 30
37 Coastal Carolina 14.8 -1.18 90 29
38 Virginia Tech 14.9 -1.14 90 36
39 Miami 14.9 -1.13 89 37
40 Villanova 14.9 -1.12 89 38
41 Army 14.9 -1.12 89 29
42 American University 14.9 -1.11 89 32
43 Saint Francis 14.9 -1.10 88 29
44 Davidson 14.9 -1.09 88 33
45 UC San Diego 15.0 -1.08 88 27
46 Evansville 15.0 -1.08 87 29
47 East Tennessee State 15.0 -1.08 87 30
48 Tennessee Tech 15.0 -1.08 87 30
49 Hartford 15.0 -1.08 87 32
50 Santa Clara 15.0 -1.06 86 33
51 Boise State 15.0 -1.04 86 34
52 Georgia 15.0 -1.04 86 32
53 Louisiana Tech 15.1 -1.02 85 31
54 Toledo 15.1 -0.99 85 33
55 Colorado State 15.1 -0.98 85 30
56 Bellarmine 15.1 -0.98 85 29
57 Maryland 15.2 -0.97 84 32
58 Ole Miss 15.2 -0.95 84 32
59 Northeastern 15.2 -0.93 84 31
60 VMI 15.2 -0.92 84 29
61 SMU 15.2 -0.92 83 33
62 Morehead State 15.3 -0.91 83 31
63 Michigan 15.3 -0.91 83 34
64 Wofford 15.3 -0.89 82 30
65 Bucknell 15.3 -0.88 82 32
66 Pittsburgh 15.3 -0.88 82 32
67 Drexel 15.3 -0.87 82 28
68 Missouri State 15.3 -0.87 81 33
69 Northern Kentucky 15.3 -0.87 81 30
70 Southern Illinois 15.3 -0.87 81 30
71 Murray State 15.4 -0.86 80 31
72 Purdue Fort Wayne 15.4 -0.86 80 31
73 Xavier 15.4 -0.85 80 36
74 Wyoming 15.4 -0.83 80 33
75 Penn State 15.4 -0.82 79 31
76 UNC Greensboro 15.4 -0.82 79 31
77 Loyola Maryland 15.4 -0.80 79 29
78 Liberty 15.5 -0.79 78 30
79 Niagara 15.5 -0.78 78 29
80 Oklahoma 15.5 -0.78 78 35
81 Florida International 15.5 -0.77 78 30
82 Hofstra 15.5 -0.77 77 30
83 TCU 15.5 -0.77 77 34
84 Delaware 15.5 -0.76 77 35
85 Fresno State 15.5 -0.76 77 35
86 Mercer 15.5 -0.76 76 31
87 Jacksonville 15.6 -0.74 76 27
88 Gonzaga 15.6 -0.74 76 32
89 Marist 15.6 -0.73 75 30
90 The Citadel 15.6 -0.73 75 28
91 Green Bay 15.6 -0.72 75 29
92 Boston College 15.6 -0.71 75 33
93 Saint Mary's 15.6 -0.71 74 33
94 South Dakota State 15.6 -0.71 74 33
95 Detroit Mercy 15.6 -0.70 74 29
96 Colorado 15.6 -0.70 73 33
97 Indiana State 15.6 -0.69 73 28
98 USC 15.6 -0.69 73 34
99 Stetson 15.7 -0.69 73 26
100 Longwood 15.7 -0.68 72 29
101 Boston University 15.7 -0.67 72 34
102 Mount St. Mary's 15.7 -0.66 72 29
103 UCF 15.7 -0.66 72 30
104 Mississippi State 15.7 -0.66 71 34
105 Robert Morris 15.7 -0.65 71 31
106 DePaul 15.7 -0.63 71 31
107 Seton Hall 15.7 -0.63 70 31
108 Sacred Heart 15.8 -0.63 70 29
109 Weber State 15.8 -0.62 70 31
110 Rutgers 15.8 -0.59 70 32
111 Clemson 15.8 -0.59 69 33
112 UCLA 15.8 -0.59 69 35
113 Oral Roberts 15.9 -0.57 69 28
114 San Diego 15.9 -0.53 68 29
115 Marshall 15.9 -0.52 68 31
116 Florida 15.9 -0.52 68 34
117 Kansas 16.0 -0.52 68 40
118 NJIT 16.0 -0.51 67 28
119 Wichita State 16.0 -0.51 67 28
120 Akron 16.0 -0.51 67 32
121 Providence 16.0 -0.51 66 33
122 Chattanooga 16.0 -0.49 66 33
123 Siena 16.0 -0.49 66 29
124 Tulsa 16.0 -0.49 66 31
125 Wake Forest 16.0 -0.49 65 35
126 UNC Asheville 16.0 -0.47 65 29
127 Navy 16.1 -0.45 65 31
128 Cal State Fullerton 16.1 -0.45 65 30
129 George Mason 16.1 -0.45 64 30
130 Tulane 16.1 -0.45 64 29
131 Central Connecticut 16.1 -0.43 64 32
132 Fairfield 16.1 -0.43 63 32
133 Alabama A&M 16.1 -0.43 63 30
134 North Texas 16.1 -0.43 63 30
135 North Florida 16.1 -0.43 63 28
136 Baylor 16.1 -0.42 62 34
137 Dartmouth 16.1 -0.42 62 24
138 North Dakota State 16.1 -0.41 62 31
139 Saint Joseph's 16.1 -0.41 61 30
140 Merrimack 16.1 -0.41 61 29
141 Charleston Southern 16.1 -0.41 61 28
142 Texas Tech 16.2 -0.40 61 37
143 Old Dominion 16.2 -0.38 60 31
144 Georgetown 16.2 -0.36 60 31
145 East Carolina 16.2 -0.35 60 30
146 Iowa 16.3 -0.35 59 36
147 New Mexico State 16.3 -0.34 59 31
148 UC Riverside 16.3 -0.31 59 26
149 Florida State 16.3 -0.30 59 31
150 Southern Miss 16.3 -0.30 58 31
151 Illinois 16.4 -0.28 58 33
152 Arkansas State 16.4 -0.25 58 26
153 San José State 16.4 -0.24 58 30
154 Ohio State 16.4 -0.24 57 32
155 Miami (OH) 16.4 -0.23 57 29
156 Portland 16.5 -0.22 57 32
157 St. Francis Brooklyn 16.5 -0.21 56 29
158 NC State 16.5 -0.20 56 32
159 Utah 16.5 -0.19 56 31
160 Harvard 16.5 -0.19 56 23
161 UMass Lowell 16.6 -0.16 55 28
162 Utah State 16.6 -0.16 55 33
163 Long Beach State 16.6 -0.16 55 31
164 California 16.6 -0.15 54 32
165 Eastern Kentucky 16.6 -0.13 54 27
166 James Madison 16.7 -0.11 54 27
167 South Alabama 16.7 -0.11 54 30
168 Washington 16.7 -0.10 53 32
169 Oregon 16.7 -0.09 53 34
170 Central Arkansas 16.7 -0.08 53 29
171 Arizona 16.7 -0.07 53 37
172 Binghamton 16.8 -0.04 52 27
173 Wisconsin 16.8 -0.04 52 33
174 UConn 16.8 -0.02 52 33
175 Western Michigan 16.8 -0.02 51 28
176 Utah Valley 16.8 -0.01 51 30
177 Columbia 16.8 -0.01 51 25
178 UTSA 16.9 +0.00 51 29
179 Quinnipiac 16.9 +0.01 50 30
180 SE Louisiana 16.9 +0.01 50 30
181 Butler 16.9 +0.01 50 31
182 William & Mary 16.9 +0.01 49 31
183 Southern Utah 16.9 +0.01 49 33
184 UAB 16.9 +0.01 49 33
185 Georgia State 16.9 +0.02 49 26
186 Arkansas 16.9 +0.02 48 37
187 Bradley 16.9 +0.03 48 30
188 Western Carolina 16.9 +0.03 48 31
189 Tennessee 16.9 +0.03 47 35
190 Coppin State 16.9 +0.05 47 32
191 Michigan State 16.9 +0.05 47 36
192 Lehigh 17.0 +0.06 47 31
193 Austin Peay 17.0 +0.08 46 27
194 Long Island University 17.0 +0.08 46 29
195 Milwaukee 17.0 +0.08 46 31
196 Pacific 17.0 +0.08 46 28
197 Bryant 17.0 +0.10 45 31
198 Towson 17.1 +0.11 45 35
199 South Florida 17.1 +0.12 45 31
200 Jackson State 17.1 +0.12 44 30
201 Massachusetts 17.1 +0.14 44 32
202 Kansas State 17.1 +0.14 44 31
203 George Washington 17.1 +0.14 44 30
204 Hawai'i 17.1 +0.15 43 26
205 Drake 17.1 +0.17 43 34
206 Louisville 17.2 +0.17 43 32
207 Rider 17.2 +0.17 42 32
208 Houston 17.2 +0.17 42 38
209 Little Rock 17.2 +0.17 42 25
210 Florida Atlantic 17.2 +0.17 42 31
211 La Salle 17.2 +0.22 41 30
212 Holy Cross 17.2 +0.22 41 29
213 Pennsylvania 17.3 +0.22 41 28
214 UIC 17.3 +0.24 41 29
215 UL Monroe 17.3 +0.27 40 28
216 Sacramento State 17.3 +0.27 40 27
217 Canisius 17.4 +0.28 40 31
218 Buffalo 17.4 +0.29 39 28
219 Marquette 17.4 +0.30 39 32
220 Maryland Eastern Shore 17.4 +0.30 39 24
221 Nebraska 17.4 +0.30 39 32
222 Stanford 17.4 +0.30 38 32
223 Denver 17.4 +0.31 38 30
224 Oklahoma State 17.4 +0.31 38 30
225 Rhode Island 17.4 +0.31 37 30
226 Washington State 17.4 +0.31 37 37
227 Bethune-Cookman 17.4 +0.32 37 29
228 UC Santa Barbara 17.4 +0.32 37 26
229 West Virginia 17.5 +0.34 36 33
230 Indiana 17.5 +0.34 36 35
231 Texas State 17.5 +0.35 36 26
232 San Diego State 17.5 +0.35 35 32
233 Loyola Chicago 17.5 +0.37 35 32
234 High Point 17.5 +0.38 35 29
235 Oregon State 17.5 +0.39 35 31
236 St. Thomas 17.6 +0.40 34 27
237 Cincinnati 17.6 +0.40 34 32
238 Maine 17.6 +0.41 34 26
239 North Dakota 17.6 +0.42 34 29
240 Nevada 17.6 +0.42 33 30
241 Northwestern State 17.6 +0.44 33 29
242 Samford 17.6 +0.44 33 29
243 Eastern Michigan 17.6 +0.44 32 30
244 Northwestern 17.7 +0.46 32 30
245 Norfolk State 17.7 +0.47 32 28
246 Northern Colorado 17.7 +0.47 32 35
247 Texas Southern 17.7 +0.47 31 32
248 Incarnate Word 17.7 +0.48 31 29
249 Yale 17.7 +0.48 31 30
250 Fordham 17.7 +0.49 30 32
251 Kennesaw State 17.7 +0.50 30 27
252 Florida A&M 17.8 +0.51 30 28
253 Loyola Marymount 17.8 +0.51 30 28
254 Youngstown State 17.8 +0.53 29 32
255 Alcorn State 17.8 +0.53 29 34
256 Texas A&M 17.8 +0.55 29 39
257 Western Illinois 17.8 +0.56 28 30
258 BYU 17.8 +0.57 28 33
259 Missouri 17.9 +0.58 28 32
260 St. John's 17.9 +0.58 28 32
261 Saint Louis 17.9 +0.59 27 34
262 Texas 17.9 +0.59 27 34
263 Sam Houston 17.9 +0.60 27 30
264 Radford 17.9 +0.61 27 27
265 Alabama State 17.9 +0.61 26 30
266 Illinois State 17.9 +0.62 26 31
267 UNLV 17.9 +0.62 26 31
268 IU Indianapolis 18.0 +0.63 25 27
269 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 18.0 +0.63 25 29
270 Georgia Tech 18.0 +0.65 25 31
271 Pepperdine 18.0 +0.65 25 31
272 Tarleton State 18.0 +0.65 24 28
273 UTEP 18.0 +0.65 24 32
274 UAlbany 18.0 +0.67 24 31
275 Air Force 18.0 +0.67 23 29
276 Vanderbilt 18.1 +0.68 23 36
277 Manhattan 18.1 +0.69 23 29
278 Winthrop 18.1 +0.69 23 29
279 Brown 18.1 +0.69 22 27
280 Monmouth 18.1 +0.70 22 34
281 San Francisco 18.1 +0.72 22 33
282 Bowling Green 18.1 +0.73 22 29
283 South Dakota 18.1 +0.73 21 29
284 Arizona State 18.2 +0.74 21 31
285 Mississippi Valley State 18.2 +0.75 21 28
286 UT Arlington 18.2 +0.76 20 27
287 Iona 18.2 +0.77 20 33
288 Ball State 18.2 +0.79 20 30
289 Iowa State 18.3 +0.80 20 35
290 Fairleigh Dickinson 18.3 +0.81 19 26
291 Howard 18.3 +0.81 19 26
292 Grand Canyon 18.3 +0.81 19 29
293 Louisiana 18.3 +0.81 18 29
294 UC Irvine 18.3 +0.83 18 23
295 Northern Arizona 18.4 +0.86 18 30
296 Kent State 18.4 +0.87 18 32
297 Temple 18.4 +0.87 17 29
298 UNC Wilmington 18.4 +0.89 17 34
299 Idaho State 18.4 +0.90 17 28
300 Delaware State 18.4 +0.90 16 25
301 Montana State 18.5 +0.91 16 33
302 Georgia Southern 18.5 +0.92 16 26
303 Alabama 18.5 +0.95 16 33
304 Auburn 18.5 +0.95 15 34
305 UT Martin 18.5 +0.96 15 28
306 Troy 18.6 +0.99 15 29
307 Hampton 18.7 +1.02 15 26
308 North Alabama 18.7 +1.02 14 26
309 Middle Tennessee 18.7 +1.03 14 35
310 Lamar 18.7 +1.05 14 27
311 VCU 18.7 +1.06 13 32
312 New Mexico 18.7 +1.07 13 30
313 California Baptist 18.8 +1.09 13 31
314 Gardner-Webb 18.8 +1.10 13 28
315 Eastern Washington 18.8 +1.12 12 32
316 Memphis 18.8 +1.12 12 33
317 SIU Edwardsville 18.8 +1.13 12 30
318 UC Davis 18.9 +1.14 11 22
319 Grambling 18.9 +1.15 11 30
320 Cleveland State 18.9 +1.16 11 29
321 Nicholls 19.1 +1.26 11 29
322 Cal State Northridge 19.1 +1.28 10 28
323 LSU 19.3 +1.37 10 34
324 Tennessee State 19.3 +1.39 10 30
325 South Carolina Upstate 19.3 +1.41 9 30
326 LSU New Orleans 19.3 +1.42 9 29
327 Presbyterian 19.4 +1.44 9 29
328 Utah Tech 19.4 +1.45 9 27
329 Cornell 19.4 +1.46 8 24
330 Houston Christian 19.4 +1.47 8 25
331 Omaha 19.4 +1.48 8 29
332 North Carolina A&T 19.5 +1.52 8 29
333 Cal Poly 19.6 +1.54 7 27
334 Idaho 19.7 +1.62 7 29
335 Montana 19.7 +1.62 7 29
336 South Carolina 19.8 +1.66 6 30
337 South Carolina State 19.8 +1.67 6 28
338 Saint Peter's 19.8 +1.67 6 33
339 Wagner 19.8 +1.68 6 26
340 UT Rio Grande Valley 19.9 +1.73 5 29
341 Chicago State 19.9 +1.74 5 32
342 Stephen F. Austin 19.9 +1.75 5 28
343 Central Michigan 19.9 +1.75 4 30
344 East Texas A&M 20.0 +1.79 4 2
345 Portland State 20.0 +1.79 4 29
346 Morgan State 20.3 +1.98 4 24
347 Northern Illinois 20.4 +2.02 3 30
348 Southeast Missouri State 20.4 +2.02 3 30
349 Elon 20.5 +2.08 3 30
350 Charleston 20.6 +2.13 3 32
351 Cal State Bakersfield 20.8 +2.25 2 25
352 Seattle U 20.9 +2.31 2 30
353 McNeese 21.0 +2.38 2 29
354 Kansas City 21.0 +2.38 1 27
355 Southern 21.1 +2.40 1 29
356 North Carolina Central 21.1 +2.45 1 27
357 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 21.2 +2.47 1 31
358 Prairie View A&M 21.4 +2.59 0 27
359 Abilene Christian 22.4 +3.18 0 32