Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 4.9% max 15.5% mean 9.3% std 1.7% (n=359)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.58 (team entering with the better value wins 55% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Steal Rate z Pctl GP
1 LSU 15.5% +3.59 100 34
2 Abilene Christian 14.3% +2.93 100 32
3 Texas A&M 13.9% +2.69 99 39
4 Southern 13.7% +2.58 99 29
5 Merrimack 13.6% +2.51 99 29
6 Tennessee 13.4% +2.41 99 35
7 Maryland Eastern Shore 13.4% +2.37 98 24
8 VCU 13.3% +2.31 98 32
9 Northern Kentucky 13.0% +2.18 98 30
10 Miami 13.0% +2.14 97 37
11 Belmont 12.8% +2.03 97 32
12 Eastern Kentucky 12.7% +1.99 97 27
13 Baylor 12.7% +1.98 97 34
14 UAB 12.6% +1.94 96 33
15 Iowa State 12.6% +1.93 96 35
16 Portland State 12.5% +1.85 96 29
17 Oakland 12.5% +1.85 96 30
18 Florida 12.4% +1.81 95 34
19 Florida State 12.3% +1.75 95 31
20 Stephen F. Austin 12.3% +1.71 95 28
21 Houston 12.2% +1.69 94 38
22 Furman 12.2% +1.66 94 33
23 Purdue Fort Wayne 12.1% +1.62 94 31
24 Oklahoma State 12.1% +1.62 94 30
25 Cleveland State 12.0% +1.54 93 29
26 St. John's 11.9% +1.50 93 32
27 Memphis 11.8% +1.48 93 33
28 Texas 11.8% +1.47 92 34
29 Wagner 11.8% +1.45 92 26
30 Mississippi State 11.8% +1.44 92 34
31 Georgia State 11.8% +1.42 92 26
32 Texas Tech 11.7% +1.40 91 37
33 Loyola Maryland 11.7% +1.39 91 29
34 Prairie View A&M 11.7% +1.37 91 27
35 Washington 11.6% +1.33 91 32
36 Western Kentucky 11.6% +1.32 90 30
37 Auburn 11.6% +1.32 90 34
38 Bethune-Cookman 11.5% +1.30 90 29
39 East Texas A&M 11.5% +1.29 89 2
40 Tarleton State 11.5% +1.27 89 28
41 Murray State 11.4% +1.23 89 31
42 West Virginia 11.4% +1.21 89 33
43 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 11.4% +1.21 88 31
44 San Diego State 11.3% +1.16 88 32
45 UT Arlington 11.3% +1.14 88 27
46 Tulane 11.3% +1.14 87 29
47 Richmond 11.1% +1.07 87 37
48 Longwood 11.1% +1.06 87 29
49 Middle Tennessee 11.1% +1.03 87 35
50 Army 11.1% +1.03 86 29
51 Presbyterian 11.0% +1.00 86 29
52 James Madison 11.0% +0.99 86 27
53 Oklahoma 11.0% +0.98 85 35
54 UNC Wilmington 11.0% +0.96 85 34
55 Towson 11.0% +0.96 85 35
56 North Carolina Central 11.0% +0.95 85 27
57 Rhode Island 10.9% +0.93 84 30
58 Boston College 10.9% +0.92 84 33
59 Georgia Tech 10.9% +0.91 84 31
60 Wichita State 10.9% +0.90 84 28
61 San Francisco 10.9% +0.89 83 33
62 Sam Houston 10.8% +0.86 83 30
63 Cal State Northridge 10.8% +0.86 83 28
64 Kansas State 10.8% +0.85 82 31
65 Hofstra 10.8% +0.85 82 30
66 Alcorn State 10.8% +0.84 82 34
67 South Carolina 10.8% +0.84 82 30
68 Coppin State 10.8% +0.84 81 32
69 Arkansas State 10.7% +0.83 81 26
70 Marquette 10.7% +0.83 81 32
71 Chattanooga 10.7% +0.83 80 33
72 North Carolina A&T 10.7% +0.83 80 29
73 Ohio 10.6% +0.77 80 34
74 Charleston 10.6% +0.77 80 32
75 Troy 10.6% +0.76 79 29
76 Xavier 10.6% +0.76 79 36
77 Houston Christian 10.6% +0.74 79 25
78 Rutgers 10.6% +0.72 78 32
79 Saint Peter's 10.6% +0.71 78 33
80 Arkansas 10.5% +0.70 78 37
81 Nicholls 10.5% +0.68 78 29
82 UTEP 10.5% +0.68 77 32
83 Fordham 10.5% +0.68 77 32
84 North Texas 10.5% +0.67 77 30
85 Cal State Fullerton 10.5% +0.66 77 30
86 Ole Miss 10.5% +0.66 76 32
87 Gardner-Webb 10.4% +0.65 76 28
88 Vanderbilt 10.4% +0.64 76 36
89 Saint Mary's 10.4% +0.64 75 33
90 Iowa 10.4% +0.62 75 36
91 Seton Hall 10.4% +0.62 75 31
92 Howard 10.4% +0.61 75 26
93 Weber State 10.3% +0.59 74 31
94 LSU New Orleans 10.3% +0.58 74 29
95 Harvard 10.3% +0.58 74 23
96 UCLA 10.3% +0.57 73 35
97 Alabama State 10.3% +0.57 73 30
98 Navy 10.3% +0.54 73 31
99 Drake 10.2% +0.54 73 34
100 UCF 10.2% +0.52 72 30
101 UAlbany 10.2% +0.52 72 31
102 Wofford 10.2% +0.51 72 30
103 Florida Atlantic 10.2% +0.50 72 31
104 Loyola Chicago 10.2% +0.50 71 32
105 Alabama A&M 10.2% +0.49 71 30
106 Tulsa 10.2% +0.49 71 31
107 NC State 10.2% +0.48 70 32
108 Georgia Southern 10.1% +0.46 70 26
109 Georgetown 10.1% +0.46 70 31
110 Cornell 10.1% +0.45 70 24
111 UNC Greensboro 10.1% +0.44 69 31
112 Syracuse 10.0% +0.42 69 33
113 SE Louisiana 10.0% +0.42 69 30
114 Tennessee Tech 10.0% +0.41 68 30
115 Long Island University 10.0% +0.39 68 29
116 Kent State 10.0% +0.39 68 32
117 UMass Lowell 10.0% +0.39 68 28
118 Maine 10.0% +0.38 67 26
119 Temple 10.0% +0.38 67 29
120 Texas State 10.0% +0.38 67 26
121 Mississippi Valley State 10.0% +0.37 66 28
122 Old Dominion 9.9% +0.36 66 31
123 Rider 9.9% +0.36 66 32
124 SIU Edwardsville 9.9% +0.35 66 30
125 American University 9.9% +0.34 65 32
126 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 9.9% +0.32 65 29
127 South Alabama 9.8% +0.30 65 30
128 Manhattan 9.8% +0.30 65 29
129 St. Francis Brooklyn 9.8% +0.28 64 29
130 Oregon 9.8% +0.28 64 34
131 George Washington 9.8% +0.27 64 30
132 Kentucky 9.8% +0.27 63 34
133 East Carolina 9.8% +0.26 63 30
134 Radford 9.8% +0.26 63 27
135 East Tennessee State 9.8% +0.26 63 30
136 Nebraska 9.8% +0.25 62 32
137 Duquesne 9.7% +0.24 62 30
138 Dartmouth 9.7% +0.24 62 24
139 Bowling Green 9.7% +0.21 61 29
140 Delaware 9.7% +0.20 61 35
141 Arizona State 9.7% +0.20 61 31
142 Samford 9.7% +0.19 61 29
143 Seattle U 9.6% +0.18 60 30
144 Long Beach State 9.6% +0.18 60 31
145 Alabama 9.6% +0.18 60 33
146 UL Monroe 9.6% +0.17 59 28
147 St. Bonaventure 9.5% +0.12 59 33
148 Louisiana 9.5% +0.12 59 29
149 Fresno State 9.5% +0.11 59 35
150 TCU 9.5% +0.11 58 34
151 Morgan State 9.5% +0.11 58 24
152 Missouri 9.5% +0.11 58 32
153 Washington State 9.5% +0.10 58 37
154 Virginia 9.5% +0.09 57 35
155 Stony Brook 9.5% +0.09 57 30
156 Illinois State 9.5% +0.08 57 31
157 Colorado State 9.5% +0.08 56 30
158 South Florida 9.5% +0.08 56 31
159 Eastern Illinois 9.5% +0.07 56 29
160 Coastal Carolina 9.4% +0.06 56 29
161 Grand Canyon 9.4% +0.06 55 29
162 Delaware State 9.4% +0.05 55 25
163 Villanova 9.4% +0.05 55 38
164 UC Santa Barbara 9.4% +0.05 54 26
165 Lafayette 9.4% +0.05 54 29
166 Maryland 9.4% +0.05 54 32
167 Buffalo 9.4% +0.04 54 28
168 Tennessee State 9.4% +0.02 53 30
169 Austin Peay 9.3% +0.00 53 27
170 Duke 9.3% +0.00 53 39
171 Saint Francis 9.3% -0.01 53 29
172 Northwestern 9.3% -0.01 52 30
173 Central Connecticut 9.3% -0.03 52 32
174 Iona 9.3% -0.04 52 33
175 High Point 9.3% -0.04 51 29
176 Little Rock 9.3% -0.04 51 25
177 Monmouth 9.2% -0.05 51 34
178 UT Martin 9.2% -0.05 51 28
179 Kennesaw State 9.2% -0.06 50 27
180 Louisiana Tech 9.2% -0.07 50 31
181 Massachusetts 9.2% -0.07 50 32
182 Arizona 9.2% -0.07 49 37
183 Campbell 9.2% -0.08 49 26
184 Valparaiso 9.2% -0.09 49 30
185 Jackson State 9.2% -0.09 49 30
186 Brown 9.2% -0.09 48 27
187 UNLV 9.2% -0.10 48 31
188 Kansas City 9.1% -0.11 48 27
189 Stetson 9.1% -0.12 47 26
190 Evansville 9.1% -0.13 47 29
191 Central Michigan 9.1% -0.13 47 30
192 Boise State 9.1% -0.13 47 34
193 Bradley 9.1% -0.13 46 30
194 Fairleigh Dickinson 9.1% -0.14 46 26
195 Siena 9.1% -0.14 46 29
196 William & Mary 9.1% -0.14 46 31
197 Northern Illinois 9.1% -0.14 45 30
198 Utah State 9.1% -0.15 45 33
199 Jacksonville State 9.1% -0.16 45 30
200 Cincinnati 9.1% -0.16 44 32
201 Pacific 9.1% -0.16 44 28
202 Charleston Southern 9.0% -0.18 44 28
203 Winthrop 9.0% -0.18 44 29
204 UNC Asheville 9.0% -0.19 43 29
205 Quinnipiac 9.0% -0.19 43 30
206 Louisville 9.0% -0.19 43 32
207 Jacksonville 9.0% -0.20 42 27
208 Colgate 9.0% -0.20 42 34
209 Wake Forest 9.0% -0.20 42 35
210 Florida Gulf Coast 9.0% -0.21 42 32
211 SMU 9.0% -0.22 41 33
212 Hartford 9.0% -0.22 41 32
213 Nevada 9.0% -0.22 41 30
214 Saint Louis 9.0% -0.22 41 34
215 Kansas 8.9% -0.23 40 40
216 Florida A&M 8.9% -0.23 40 28
217 Grambling 8.9% -0.23 40 30
218 Bryant 8.9% -0.24 39 31
219 IU Indianapolis 8.9% -0.25 39 27
220 Lamar 8.9% -0.26 39 27
221 DePaul 8.8% -0.29 39 31
222 Marshall 8.8% -0.30 38 31
223 South Carolina Upstate 8.8% -0.30 38 30
224 Clemson 8.8% -0.31 38 33
225 Florida International 8.8% -0.31 37 30
226 McNeese 8.8% -0.32 37 29
227 Detroit Mercy 8.8% -0.32 37 29
228 Mount St. Mary's 8.8% -0.32 37 29
229 Southern Illinois 8.8% -0.33 36 30
230 NJIT 8.7% -0.36 36 28
231 UConn 8.7% -0.36 36 33
232 Oregon State 8.7% -0.39 35 31
233 Sacramento State 8.7% -0.39 35 27
234 Gonzaga 8.7% -0.40 35 32
235 Marist 8.6% -0.41 35 30
236 Central Arkansas 8.6% -0.41 34 29
237 Robert Morris 8.6% -0.41 34 31
238 Air Force 8.6% -0.42 34 29
239 UC Davis 8.6% -0.43 34 22
240 Cal State Bakersfield 8.6% -0.43 33 25
241 Western Illinois 8.6% -0.43 33 30
242 Dayton 8.6% -0.43 33 35
243 Southern Utah 8.6% -0.44 32 33
244 Akron 8.6% -0.45 32 32
245 Southeast Missouri State 8.5% -0.46 32 30
246 Yale 8.5% -0.47 32 30
247 La Salle 8.5% -0.47 31 30
248 Norfolk State 8.5% -0.48 31 28
249 Mercer 8.5% -0.50 31 31
250 Wright State 8.5% -0.51 30 35
251 UC Irvine 8.5% -0.51 30 23
252 New Mexico 8.4% -0.54 30 30
253 South Carolina State 8.4% -0.54 30 28
254 Michigan State 8.4% -0.54 29 36
255 Boston University 8.4% -0.55 29 34
256 Northern Iowa 8.4% -0.55 29 31
257 Utah Tech 8.4% -0.56 28 27
258 Pittsburgh 8.4% -0.57 28 32
259 Indiana State 8.4% -0.57 28 28
260 Virginia Tech 8.4% -0.57 28 36
261 Ball State 8.3% -0.58 27 30
262 Morehead State 8.3% -0.59 27 31
263 App State 8.3% -0.60 27 31
264 Penn State 8.3% -0.60 27 31
265 Santa Clara 8.3% -0.60 26 33
266 Columbia 8.3% -0.60 26 25
267 Holy Cross 8.3% -0.61 26 29
268 Chicago State 8.3% -0.61 25 32
269 Stanford 8.3% -0.61 25 32
270 North Alabama 8.2% -0.64 25 26
271 Niagara 8.2% -0.66 25 29
272 Indiana 8.2% -0.66 24 35
273 Princeton 8.2% -0.66 24 28
274 Bellarmine 8.2% -0.67 24 29
275 Canisius 8.2% -0.69 23 31
276 Minnesota 8.1% -0.72 23 30
277 Northwestern State 8.1% -0.73 23 29
278 Fairfield 8.1% -0.73 23 32
279 South Dakota State 8.1% -0.75 22 33
280 Miami (OH) 8.1% -0.75 22 29
281 Binghamton 8.0% -0.76 22 27
282 UIC 8.0% -0.77 22 29
283 Creighton 8.0% -0.79 21 35
284 Colorado 8.0% -0.81 21 33
285 Texas Southern 7.9% -0.82 21 32
286 UTSA 7.9% -0.82 20 29
287 Montana 7.9% -0.83 20 29
288 Pennsylvania 7.9% -0.84 20 28
289 Wisconsin 7.9% -0.84 20 33
290 UC San Diego 7.9% -0.84 19 27
291 Eastern Michigan 7.9% -0.85 19 30
292 Pepperdine 7.8% -0.89 19 31
293 Missouri State 7.8% -0.90 18 33
294 Western Michigan 7.8% -0.92 18 28
295 Vermont 7.8% -0.92 18 33
296 San José State 7.8% -0.93 18 30
297 Notre Dame 7.7% -0.93 17 34
298 UC Riverside 7.7% -0.94 17 26
299 Loyola Marymount 7.7% -0.94 17 28
300 Toledo 7.7% -0.95 16 33
301 Butler 7.7% -0.95 16 31
302 Utah Valley 7.7% -0.96 16 30
303 Green Bay 7.7% -0.98 16 29
304 Sacred Heart 7.6% -0.99 15 29
305 Illinois 7.5% -1.05 15 33
306 Youngstown State 7.5% -1.07 15 32
307 Providence 7.5% -1.08 15 33
308 Liberty 7.5% -1.08 14 30
309 Georgia 7.5% -1.09 14 32
310 California 7.4% -1.10 14 32
311 George Mason 7.4% -1.11 13 30
312 North Florida 7.4% -1.13 13 28
313 California Baptist 7.4% -1.14 13 31
314 USC 7.4% -1.16 13 34
315 Eastern Washington 7.3% -1.17 12 32
316 North Carolina 7.3% -1.20 12 39
317 Elon 7.3% -1.21 12 30
318 Incarnate Word 7.3% -1.22 11 29
319 UT Rio Grande Valley 7.2% -1.22 11 29
320 Montana State 7.2% -1.22 11 33
321 Charlotte 7.2% -1.25 11 31
322 Saint Joseph's 7.2% -1.26 10 30
323 St. Thomas 7.2% -1.27 10 27
324 Denver 7.2% -1.27 10 30
325 Northeastern 7.1% -1.28 9 31
326 Milwaukee 7.1% -1.29 9 31
327 Rice 7.1% -1.30 9 31
328 Drexel 7.1% -1.33 9 28
329 Idaho State 7.0% -1.34 8 28
330 San Diego 7.0% -1.35 8 29
331 Michigan 7.0% -1.39 8 34
332 Davidson 6.9% -1.40 8 33
333 Purdue 6.9% -1.41 7 37
334 Hampton 6.9% -1.45 7 26
335 Western Carolina 6.8% -1.46 7 31
336 Southern Miss 6.8% -1.47 6 31
337 New Mexico State 6.8% -1.47 6 31
338 UMBC 6.8% -1.47 6 31
339 Ohio State 6.8% -1.47 6 32
340 BYU 6.8% -1.48 5 33
341 Utah 6.8% -1.49 5 31
342 Cal Poly 6.8% -1.49 5 27
343 Portland 6.7% -1.57 4 32
344 Bucknell 6.6% -1.57 4 32
345 Omaha 6.5% -1.65 4 29
346 VMI 6.5% -1.67 4 29
347 Oral Roberts 6.5% -1.69 3 28
348 Lehigh 6.4% -1.72 3 31
349 New Hampshire 6.3% -1.75 3 26
350 Northern Arizona 6.3% -1.77 3 30
351 The Citadel 6.2% -1.82 2 28
352 South Dakota 6.1% -1.87 2 29
353 Lipscomb 6.0% -1.95 2 30
354 North Dakota 5.7% -2.15 1 29
355 Northern Colorado 5.6% -2.17 1 35
356 Wyoming 5.6% -2.21 1 33
357 Hawai'i 5.4% -2.30 1 26
358 North Dakota State 5.3% -2.37 0 31
359 Idaho 4.9% -2.58 0 29