I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
← Four Factors

Turnover Rate

Share of possessions that end in a turnover.

Season turnovers ÷ season possessions. Possessions aren't in the box score, so they're estimated as FGA − OffReb + TO + 0.475×FTA (the standard estimator).

Lower is better  ·  league avg 18.5%  ·  as of 2022-04-05

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 12.5% max 26.2% mean 18.5% std 2.1% (n=359)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.60 (team entering with the better value wins 58% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Turnover Rate z Pctl GP
1 St. Thomas 12.5% -2.81 100 27
2 Iowa 13.0% -2.61 100 36
3 Wisconsin 13.0% -2.59 99 33
4 UCLA 13.2% -2.49 99 35
5 Oral Roberts 13.3% -2.45 99 28
6 Minnesota 13.9% -2.16 99 30
7 Miami 14.0% -2.11 98 37
8 Northwestern 14.2% -2.04 98 30
9 Richmond 14.4% -1.92 98 37
10 Princeton 14.5% -1.89 97 28
11 UNC Wilmington 14.5% -1.88 97 34
12 NC State 14.5% -1.87 97 32
13 Toledo 14.7% -1.80 97 33
14 Hofstra 14.7% -1.79 96 30
15 Vermont 14.7% -1.77 96 33
16 Davidson 14.8% -1.75 96 33
17 New Hampshire 14.9% -1.71 96 26
18 Miami (OH) 14.9% -1.70 95 29
19 Bellarmine 14.9% -1.68 95 29
20 Duke 15.0% -1.64 95 39
21 Tulane 15.0% -1.63 94 29
22 South Dakota 15.2% -1.54 94 29
23 South Dakota State 15.2% -1.53 94 33
24 Cincinnati 15.2% -1.53 94 32
25 Colorado State 15.3% -1.52 93 30
26 Syracuse 15.3% -1.48 93 33
27 Ohio 15.4% -1.45 93 34
28 Missouri State 15.5% -1.39 92 33
29 Villanova 15.5% -1.38 92 38
30 St. Bonaventure 15.6% -1.38 92 33
31 Montana 15.6% -1.37 92 29
32 Notre Dame 15.6% -1.37 91 34
33 Eastern Kentucky 15.6% -1.36 91 27
34 Stony Brook 15.6% -1.34 91 30
35 Kansas City 15.7% -1.31 91 27
36 Furman 15.7% -1.31 90 33
37 Gonzaga 15.7% -1.31 90 32
38 Drake 15.9% -1.24 90 34
39 St. John's 15.9% -1.22 89 32
40 Western Illinois 15.9% -1.20 89 30
41 App State 16.0% -1.16 89 31
42 New Mexico 16.1% -1.12 89 30
43 Virginia 16.1% -1.11 88 35
44 Northern Iowa 16.2% -1.09 88 31
45 UMBC 16.2% -1.09 88 31
46 Santa Clara 16.2% -1.06 87 33
47 Seattle U 16.3% -1.02 87 30
48 Campbell 16.3% -1.01 87 26
49 Lafayette 16.4% -1.00 87 29
50 Bowling Green 16.4% -0.99 86 29
51 Drexel 16.4% -0.99 86 28
52 Weber State 16.4% -0.98 86 31
53 Clemson 16.4% -0.96 85 33
54 UAB 16.4% -0.96 85 33
55 North Carolina 16.5% -0.95 85 39
56 Valparaiso 16.5% -0.92 85 30
57 Washington State 16.6% -0.90 84 37
58 Georgia State 16.6% -0.89 84 26
59 Massachusetts 16.6% -0.87 84 32
60 Kentucky 16.6% -0.86 84 34
61 Niagara 16.6% -0.86 83 29
62 Auburn 16.7% -0.85 83 34
63 Xavier 16.7% -0.83 83 36
64 Sacramento State 16.7% -0.83 82 27
65 UTEP 16.7% -0.83 82 32
66 Washington 16.7% -0.82 82 32
67 Belmont 16.8% -0.79 82 32
68 Arkansas 16.8% -0.77 81 37
69 Maryland 16.9% -0.76 81 32
70 UNLV 16.9% -0.76 81 31
71 Kansas State 16.9% -0.76 80 31
72 Louisiana Tech 16.9% -0.74 80 31
73 East Tennessee State 16.9% -0.74 80 30
74 Duquesne 16.9% -0.74 80 30
75 Fairfield 16.9% -0.72 79 32
76 VMI 16.9% -0.72 79 29
77 Canisius 16.9% -0.72 79 31
78 Saint Mary's 16.9% -0.72 78 33
79 Houston 16.9% -0.72 78 38
80 Portland State 17.0% -0.71 78 29
81 Pennsylvania 17.0% -0.71 78 28
82 Chattanooga 17.0% -0.71 77 33
83 North Dakota State 17.0% -0.71 77 31
84 Colgate 17.0% -0.70 77 34
85 Murray State 17.0% -0.68 77 31
86 Virginia Tech 17.0% -0.68 76 36
87 North Alabama 17.0% -0.68 76 26
88 Wyoming 17.1% -0.66 76 33
89 Providence 17.1% -0.66 75 33
90 Northern Colorado 17.1% -0.63 75 35
91 Oregon 17.2% -0.62 75 34
92 Ohio State 17.2% -0.61 75 32
93 California 17.2% -0.60 74 32
94 Nebraska 17.2% -0.60 74 32
95 UIC 17.2% -0.60 74 29
96 Marquette 17.2% -0.58 73 32
97 The Citadel 17.2% -0.58 73 28
98 Dartmouth 17.2% -0.58 73 24
99 Kansas 17.2% -0.57 73 40
100 Indiana 17.3% -0.57 72 35
101 UConn 17.3% -0.56 72 33
102 Charlotte 17.3% -0.56 72 31
103 Arizona State 17.3% -0.55 72 31
104 Michigan 17.3% -0.55 71 34
105 Evansville 17.3% -0.54 71 29
106 Pacific 17.3% -0.54 71 28
107 Rutgers 17.3% -0.53 70 32
108 Nicholls 17.3% -0.53 70 29
109 Monmouth 17.4% -0.52 70 34
110 DePaul 17.4% -0.52 70 31
111 Harvard 17.4% -0.52 69 23
112 Southern Utah 17.4% -0.52 69 33
113 Rider 17.4% -0.51 69 32
114 Youngstown State 17.4% -0.50 68 32
115 Kennesaw State 17.4% -0.49 68 27
116 Purdue 17.5% -0.48 68 37
117 North Dakota 17.5% -0.45 68 29
118 Western Kentucky 17.6% -0.41 67 30
119 Abilene Christian 17.6% -0.40 67 32
120 Wright State 17.6% -0.40 67 35
121 Seton Hall 17.7% -0.37 66 31
122 Fresno State 17.7% -0.37 66 35
123 Western Carolina 17.7% -0.36 66 31
124 UTSA 17.7% -0.35 66 29
125 Texas 17.7% -0.34 65 34
126 Tennessee 17.7% -0.34 65 35
127 James Madison 17.7% -0.34 65 27
128 Wofford 17.8% -0.32 65 30
129 SMU 17.8% -0.32 64 33
130 Akron 17.8% -0.31 64 32
131 Boston College 17.8% -0.29 64 33
132 Cal State Fullerton 17.9% -0.28 63 30
133 George Washington 17.9% -0.28 63 30
134 Iona 17.9% -0.27 63 33
135 Baylor 17.9% -0.27 63 34
136 UC Davis 17.9% -0.27 62 22
137 San Francisco 17.9% -0.26 62 33
138 Detroit Mercy 17.9% -0.26 62 29
139 St. Francis Brooklyn 17.9% -0.25 61 29
140 Long Beach State 17.9% -0.25 61 31
141 USC 17.9% -0.24 61 34
142 Louisville 18.0% -0.24 61 32
143 Southern Illinois 18.0% -0.21 60 30
144 Wagner 18.0% -0.21 60 26
145 Utah 18.0% -0.21 60 31
146 Cal State Bakersfield 18.0% -0.21 59 25
147 Oakland 18.0% -0.20 59 30
148 Southeast Missouri State 18.0% -0.20 59 30
149 Ole Miss 18.0% -0.20 59 32
150 Towson 18.0% -0.20 58 35
151 Liberty 18.0% -0.19 58 30
152 George Mason 18.1% -0.19 58 30
153 Marshall 18.1% -0.19 58 31
154 Florida State 18.1% -0.18 57 31
155 Saint Francis 18.1% -0.18 57 29
156 Hampton 18.1% -0.18 57 26
157 Mississippi Valley State 18.1% -0.17 56 28
158 Hartford 18.1% -0.16 56 32
159 West Virginia 18.1% -0.14 56 33
160 Illinois 18.2% -0.14 56 33
161 Oregon State 18.2% -0.13 55 31
162 Marist 18.2% -0.12 55 30
163 UNC Asheville 18.2% -0.12 55 29
164 Holy Cross 18.2% -0.12 54 29
165 Tarleton State 18.2% -0.11 54 28
166 UMass Lowell 18.2% -0.11 54 28
167 Yale 18.2% -0.10 54 30
168 North Carolina A&T 18.3% -0.07 53 29
169 Arizona 18.3% -0.07 53 37
170 Butler 18.3% -0.06 53 31
171 Boston University 18.3% -0.06 53 34
172 Delaware 18.3% -0.06 52 35
173 Old Dominion 18.3% -0.05 52 31
174 Utah State 18.3% -0.05 52 33
175 Mercer 18.4% -0.04 51 31
176 BYU 18.4% -0.04 51 33
177 Portland 18.4% -0.03 51 32
178 Sam Houston 18.4% -0.03 51 30
179 Loyola Chicago 18.4% -0.03 50 32
180 Rice 18.4% -0.02 50 31
181 Nevada 18.4% -0.01 50 30
182 Eastern Washington 18.4% -0.01 49 32
183 Florida 18.5% -0.00 49 34
184 Boise State 18.5% +0.02 49 34
185 Siena 18.5% +0.02 49 29
186 Idaho 18.5% +0.02 48 29
187 UC Riverside 18.5% +0.03 48 26
188 Long Island University 18.5% +0.03 48 29
189 Denver 18.5% +0.03 47 30
190 Kent State 18.5% +0.03 47 32
191 Cal State Northridge 18.6% +0.05 47 28
192 Temple 18.6% +0.05 47 29
193 La Salle 18.6% +0.05 46 30
194 Merrimack 18.6% +0.05 46 29
195 Florida A&M 18.6% +0.06 46 28
196 Penn State 18.6% +0.07 46 31
197 Buffalo 18.6% +0.07 45 28
198 East Carolina 18.6% +0.09 45 30
199 Jacksonville 18.6% +0.09 45 27
200 North Texas 18.6% +0.09 44 30
201 San Diego 18.6% +0.09 44 29
202 Quinnipiac 18.7% +0.11 44 30
203 UAlbany 18.7% +0.11 44 31
204 Montana State 18.7% +0.11 43 33
205 NJIT 18.7% +0.13 43 28
206 Georgetown 18.7% +0.14 43 31
207 South Carolina Upstate 18.8% +0.14 42 30
208 Michigan State 18.8% +0.14 42 36
209 Longwood 18.8% +0.14 42 29
210 Saint Louis 18.8% +0.15 42 34
211 Binghamton 18.8% +0.16 41 27
212 Texas State 18.8% +0.17 41 26
213 UC San Diego 18.8% +0.17 41 27
214 Central Arkansas 18.9% +0.20 41 29
215 Wichita State 18.9% +0.20 40 28
216 Middle Tennessee 18.9% +0.21 40 35
217 Fordham 18.9% +0.21 40 32
218 UL Monroe 18.9% +0.21 39 28
219 Vanderbilt 18.9% +0.22 39 36
220 Florida Gulf Coast 18.9% +0.23 39 32
221 Bryant 18.9% +0.23 39 31
222 Army 19.0% +0.24 38 29
223 Lipscomb 19.0% +0.24 38 30
224 Texas A&M 19.0% +0.26 38 39
225 Tulsa 19.0% +0.26 37 31
226 Georgia Tech 19.0% +0.27 37 31
227 South Florida 19.0% +0.28 37 31
228 Tennessee Tech 19.1% +0.30 37 30
229 Brown 19.1% +0.31 36 27
230 Dayton 19.1% +0.31 36 35
231 Indiana State 19.1% +0.31 36 28
232 UCF 19.1% +0.32 35 30
233 Loyola Marymount 19.2% +0.33 35 28
234 LSU New Orleans 19.2% +0.34 35 29
235 Eastern Michigan 19.2% +0.35 35 30
236 Grand Canyon 19.2% +0.35 34 29
237 Bucknell 19.2% +0.36 34 32
238 Lehigh 19.2% +0.36 34 31
239 Omaha 19.2% +0.37 34 29
240 South Alabama 19.3% +0.38 33 30
241 Wake Forest 19.3% +0.39 33 35
242 Samford 19.3% +0.39 33 29
243 UC Santa Barbara 19.3% +0.40 32 26
244 Purdue Fort Wayne 19.3% +0.42 32 31
245 San Diego State 19.3% +0.42 32 32
246 Fairleigh Dickinson 19.4% +0.44 32 26
247 Loyola Maryland 19.4% +0.44 31 29
248 High Point 19.4% +0.45 31 29
249 Maine 19.4% +0.47 31 26
250 Stetson 19.5% +0.48 30 26
251 UT Martin 19.5% +0.48 30 28
252 Saint Joseph's 19.5% +0.48 30 30
253 Mississippi State 19.5% +0.48 30 34
254 Coppin State 19.5% +0.49 29 32
255 Ball State 19.5% +0.51 29 30
256 Illinois State 19.5% +0.51 29 31
257 Florida Atlantic 19.5% +0.51 28 31
258 Alabama A&M 19.5% +0.52 28 30
259 Milwaukee 19.6% +0.53 28 31
260 Sacred Heart 19.6% +0.54 28 29
261 Cornell 19.6% +0.56 27 24
262 Central Michigan 19.6% +0.56 27 30
263 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 19.6% +0.57 27 31
264 Southern Miss 19.7% +0.57 27 31
265 Hawai'i 19.7% +0.57 26 26
266 Bethune-Cookman 19.7% +0.59 26 29
267 Jacksonville State 19.7% +0.59 26 30
268 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 19.7% +0.59 25 29
269 Colorado 19.7% +0.59 25 33
270 Cleveland State 19.7% +0.60 25 29
271 Alabama 19.7% +0.60 25 33
272 Presbyterian 19.8% +0.62 24 29
273 Tennessee State 19.9% +0.66 24 30
274 Elon 19.9% +0.68 24 30
275 Navy 19.9% +0.68 23 31
276 Texas Tech 19.9% +0.69 23 37
277 Green Bay 19.9% +0.70 23 29
278 Northern Illinois 19.9% +0.70 23 30
279 San José State 20.0% +0.71 22 30
280 Northern Kentucky 20.0% +0.72 22 30
281 Grambling 20.0% +0.72 22 30
282 Bradley 20.0% +0.73 22 30
283 Jackson State 20.0% +0.73 21 30
284 SE Louisiana 20.0% +0.75 21 30
285 Florida International 20.0% +0.76 21 30
286 Gardner-Webb 20.1% +0.76 20 28
287 Saint Peter's 20.1% +0.77 20 33
288 Mount St. Mary's 20.1% +0.78 20 29
289 Incarnate Word 20.2% +0.81 20 29
290 UNC Greensboro 20.2% +0.81 19 31
291 Norfolk State 20.2% +0.82 19 28
292 Northwestern State 20.2% +0.82 19 29
293 South Carolina State 20.2% +0.83 18 28
294 Alcorn State 20.2% +0.83 18 34
295 UT Arlington 20.2% +0.84 18 27
296 American University 20.2% +0.84 18 32
297 Coastal Carolina 20.3% +0.88 17 29
298 Western Michigan 20.4% +0.90 17 28
299 Southern 20.4% +0.92 17 29
300 Pepperdine 20.4% +0.92 16 31
301 Creighton 20.4% +0.92 16 35
302 California Baptist 20.4% +0.93 16 31
303 Northern Arizona 20.4% +0.93 16 30
304 Morehead State 20.4% +0.94 15 31
305 Iowa State 20.4% +0.94 15 35
306 Little Rock 20.5% +0.95 15 25
307 UC Irvine 20.5% +0.97 15 23
308 Manhattan 20.5% +0.98 14 29
309 Radford 20.6% +1.00 14 27
310 Central Connecticut 20.6% +1.01 14 32
311 Arkansas State 20.6% +1.04 13 26
312 Georgia 20.7% +1.06 13 32
313 Howard 20.7% +1.06 13 26
314 LSU 20.7% +1.07 13 34
315 UT Rio Grande Valley 20.7% +1.08 12 29
316 Rhode Island 20.7% +1.09 12 30
317 Houston Christian 20.7% +1.09 12 25
318 Robert Morris 20.8% +1.11 11 31
319 New Mexico State 20.8% +1.13 11 31
320 Charleston 20.9% +1.18 11 32
321 Utah Tech 21.0% +1.20 11 27
322 Idaho State 21.1% +1.27 10 28
323 Georgia Southern 21.2% +1.28 10 26
324 Morgan State 21.2% +1.29 10 24
325 Pittsburgh 21.2% +1.30 9 32
326 Northeastern 21.2% +1.30 9 31
327 Winthrop 21.2% +1.31 9 29
328 Texas Southern 21.3% +1.34 9 32
329 Austin Peay 21.3% +1.36 8 27
330 TCU 21.3% +1.37 8 34
331 South Carolina 21.4% +1.40 8 30
332 Oklahoma State 21.4% +1.41 8 30
333 Air Force 21.4% +1.42 7 29
334 Charleston Southern 21.4% +1.42 7 28
335 Columbia 21.5% +1.43 7 25
336 Alabama State 21.5% +1.46 6 30
337 Lamar 21.6% +1.48 6 27
338 North Florida 21.6% +1.48 6 28
339 Missouri 21.6% +1.51 6 32
340 SIU Edwardsville 21.8% +1.58 5 30
341 Maryland Eastern Shore 21.9% +1.66 5 24
342 Oklahoma 22.0% +1.67 5 35
343 McNeese 22.0% +1.67 4 29
344 Louisiana 22.0% +1.69 4 29
345 VCU 22.0% +1.71 4 32
346 Troy 22.1% +1.74 4 29
347 Utah Valley 22.1% +1.75 3 30
348 Stephen F. Austin 22.3% +1.82 3 28
349 Stanford 22.3% +1.85 3 32
350 Chicago State 22.4% +1.88 3 32
351 Memphis 22.4% +1.89 2 33
352 Cal Poly 22.6% +1.99 2 27
353 William & Mary 23.1% +2.22 2 31
354 North Carolina Central 23.5% +2.41 1 27
355 Prairie View A&M 24.0% +2.62 1 27
356 Eastern Illinois 24.1% +2.68 1 29
357 East Texas A&M 25.4% +3.28 1 2
358 Delaware State 25.5% +3.36 0 25
359 IU Indianapolis 26.2% +3.66 0 27