The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
← Shooting

True Shooting Percentage

Scoring efficiency across 2s, 3s, and free throws combined.

Points ÷ (2 × (FGA + 0.475×FTA)). The denominator estimates true scoring attempts: 0.475×FTA converts free-throw trips into the shot attempts they replaced. Unlike FG% or eFG%, it rewards drawing fouls.

Higher is better  ·  league avg 53.1%  ·  as of 2022-04-05

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 44.4% max 62.2% mean 53.1% std 2.8% (n=359)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.67 (team entering with the better value wins 62% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team True Shooting Percentage z Pctl GP
1 South Dakota State 62.2% +3.27 100 33
2 Gonzaga 60.8% +2.76 100 32
3 Vermont 59.5% +2.30 99 33
4 Purdue 59.3% +2.25 99 37
5 Winthrop 58.9% +2.09 99 29
6 Davidson 58.8% +2.06 99 33
7 Arizona 58.7% +2.03 98 37
8 Liberty 58.5% +1.95 98 30
9 Northern Colorado 58.5% +1.95 98 35
10 Wake Forest 58.5% +1.95 97 35
11 VMI 58.5% +1.93 97 29
12 Duke 58.3% +1.88 97 39
13 Belmont 58.1% +1.80 97 32
14 Loyola Chicago 58.1% +1.79 96 32
15 Colorado State 58.1% +1.79 96 30
16 Missouri State 58.1% +1.79 96 33
17 Furman 58.1% +1.79 96 33
18 Ohio State 57.8% +1.68 95 32
19 Montana State 57.6% +1.64 95 33
20 Princeton 57.6% +1.64 95 28
21 Virginia Tech 57.6% +1.64 94 36
22 Colgate 57.5% +1.60 94 34
23 Oklahoma 57.5% +1.59 94 35
24 Santa Clara 57.5% +1.58 94 33
25 Weber State 57.4% +1.57 93 31
26 Wofford 57.2% +1.47 93 30
27 Northern Iowa 57.1% +1.44 93 31
28 Notre Dame 56.9% +1.36 92 34
29 Utah State 56.7% +1.32 92 33
30 Kansas 56.7% +1.29 92 40
31 UC Santa Barbara 56.7% +1.28 92 26
32 Eastern Washington 56.5% +1.25 91 32
33 Iowa 56.4% +1.21 91 36
34 Charlotte 56.4% +1.20 91 31
35 Mercer 56.4% +1.19 91 31
36 UMBC 56.4% +1.19 90 31
37 Miami 56.3% +1.17 90 37
38 Hofstra 56.3% +1.14 90 30
39 SE Louisiana 56.2% +1.13 89 30
40 Dayton 56.2% +1.12 89 35
41 Cornell 56.2% +1.12 89 24
42 Toledo 56.1% +1.10 89 33
43 Delaware 56.1% +1.08 88 35
44 Oral Roberts 56.1% +1.07 88 28
45 Bucknell 56.1% +1.07 88 32
46 Jacksonville State 56.1% +1.07 87 30
47 Purdue Fort Wayne 56.0% +1.05 87 31
48 Villanova 56.0% +1.04 87 38
49 UAB 55.9% +1.01 87 33
50 Florida Atlantic 55.9% +1.01 86 31
51 Wyoming 55.9% +1.01 86 33
52 Kentucky 55.9% +1.00 86 34
53 South Dakota 55.8% +0.99 85 29
54 Rice 55.8% +0.98 85 31
55 Cleveland State 55.7% +0.96 85 29
56 Bellarmine 55.7% +0.95 85 29
57 Akron 55.7% +0.95 84 32
58 North Dakota State 55.7% +0.93 84 31
59 Western Kentucky 55.6% +0.92 84 30
60 Texas Tech 55.6% +0.91 84 37
61 Lipscomb 55.6% +0.90 83 30
62 Southern Utah 55.6% +0.90 83 33
63 UC San Diego 55.6% +0.89 83 27
64 Florida Gulf Coast 55.5% +0.89 82 32
65 Hartford 55.5% +0.88 82 32
66 Detroit Mercy 55.5% +0.88 82 29
67 Wright State 55.5% +0.87 82 35
68 Clemson 55.5% +0.87 81 33
69 Denver 55.5% +0.86 81 30
70 Memphis 55.5% +0.86 81 33
71 SMU 55.5% +0.86 80 33
72 Syracuse 55.5% +0.85 80 33
73 Saint Mary's 55.5% +0.85 80 33
74 San Francisco 55.4% +0.84 80 33
75 Michigan 55.4% +0.83 79 34
76 Illinois 55.4% +0.82 79 33
77 Murray State 55.4% +0.82 79 31
78 Middle Tennessee 55.3% +0.81 78 35
79 George Mason 55.3% +0.81 78 30
80 Illinois State 55.3% +0.80 78 31
81 Chattanooga 55.3% +0.80 78 33
82 Michigan State 55.3% +0.80 77 36
83 Montana 55.3% +0.79 77 29
84 Baylor 55.3% +0.78 77 34
85 Southeast Missouri State 55.2% +0.78 77 30
86 Houston 55.1% +0.74 76 38
87 Massachusetts 55.1% +0.73 76 32
88 North Carolina 55.1% +0.73 76 39
89 Tulane 55.1% +0.73 75 29
90 Louisiana Tech 55.1% +0.72 75 31
91 Boston University 55.0% +0.70 75 34
92 Marquette 55.0% +0.69 75 32
93 New Mexico State 55.0% +0.69 74 31
94 Loyola Marymount 55.0% +0.68 74 28
95 St. Thomas 55.0% +0.68 74 27
96 Longwood 54.9% +0.66 73 29
97 Lehigh 54.9% +0.64 73 31
98 South Carolina Upstate 54.8% +0.62 73 30
99 Youngstown State 54.8% +0.61 73 32
100 Alabama 54.7% +0.59 72 33
101 Texas State 54.7% +0.59 72 26
102 Samford 54.7% +0.59 72 29
103 Ball State 54.7% +0.58 72 30
104 Drake 54.7% +0.57 71 34
105 Morehead State 54.7% +0.57 71 31
106 Kansas City 54.7% +0.57 71 27
107 Georgia 54.6% +0.56 70 32
108 BYU 54.6% +0.55 70 33
109 Saint Louis 54.6% +0.55 70 34
110 Portland 54.6% +0.55 70 32
111 South Alabama 54.6% +0.54 69 30
112 Howard 54.6% +0.54 69 26
113 Colorado 54.5% +0.51 69 33
114 Drexel 54.5% +0.49 68 28
115 UNC Asheville 54.4% +0.49 68 29
116 Valparaiso 54.4% +0.48 68 30
117 The Citadel 54.4% +0.48 68 28
118 Norfolk State 54.4% +0.47 67 28
119 Nevada 54.4% +0.46 67 30
120 Robert Morris 54.3% +0.45 67 31
121 VCU 54.3% +0.44 66 32
122 Utah Valley 54.3% +0.43 66 30
123 Richmond 54.2% +0.41 66 37
124 Stephen F. Austin 54.2% +0.41 66 28
125 Towson 54.2% +0.41 65 35
126 Buffalo 54.2% +0.39 65 28
127 Fresno State 54.2% +0.39 65 35
128 Hawai'i 54.2% +0.39 65 26
129 Idaho 54.1% +0.38 64 29
130 LSU New Orleans 54.1% +0.37 64 29
131 Xavier 54.1% +0.37 64 36
132 Indiana State 54.1% +0.36 63 28
133 Southern Illinois 54.1% +0.35 63 30
134 James Madison 54.0% +0.34 63 27
135 Iona 54.0% +0.34 63 33
136 Kennesaw State 54.0% +0.33 62 27
137 North Texas 54.0% +0.33 62 30
138 Ohio 54.0% +0.33 62 34
139 Nebraska 54.0% +0.32 61 32
140 Providence 54.0% +0.32 61 33
141 Pennsylvania 53.9% +0.31 61 28
142 UCLA 53.9% +0.29 61 35
143 Oakland 53.9% +0.28 60 30
144 Texas 53.8% +0.27 60 34
145 East Tennessee State 53.8% +0.26 60 30
146 Vanderbilt 53.8% +0.25 59 36
147 Indiana 53.8% +0.25 59 35
148 East Texas A&M 53.7% +0.23 59 2
149 Miami (OH) 53.7% +0.22 59 29
150 Oregon 53.7% +0.22 58 34
151 Creighton 53.7% +0.21 58 35
152 Stony Brook 53.7% +0.21 58 30
153 Kent State 53.7% +0.21 58 32
154 Mississippi State 53.6% +0.20 57 34
155 UC Riverside 53.6% +0.20 57 26
156 Charleston 53.6% +0.19 57 32
157 St. Bonaventure 53.6% +0.19 56 33
158 Tennessee 53.6% +0.19 56 35
159 Maryland 53.6% +0.19 56 32
160 USC 53.6% +0.18 56 34
161 Sacred Heart 53.6% +0.18 55 29
162 Northeastern 53.6% +0.18 55 31
163 Bradley 53.5% +0.15 55 30
164 Campbell 53.5% +0.14 54 26
165 Quinnipiac 53.5% +0.14 54 30
166 UIC 53.4% +0.13 54 29
167 Cal State Fullerton 53.4% +0.13 54 30
168 Florida 53.4% +0.12 53 34
169 Arkansas State 53.4% +0.12 53 26
170 Auburn 53.4% +0.11 53 34
171 Wagner 53.4% +0.10 53 26
172 UConn 53.4% +0.10 52 33
173 Yale 53.4% +0.10 52 30
174 UT Rio Grande Valley 53.3% +0.08 52 29
175 New Mexico 53.3% +0.08 51 30
176 Bryant 53.3% +0.08 51 31
177 Arkansas 53.3% +0.07 51 37
178 Boise State 53.3% +0.07 51 34
179 Nicholls 53.3% +0.07 50 29
180 Minnesota 53.2% +0.04 50 30
181 Abilene Christian 53.1% +0.02 50 32
182 California Baptist 53.1% +0.01 49 31
183 Texas A&M 53.1% +0.01 49 39
184 LSU 53.1% +0.01 49 34
185 Manhattan 53.1% +0.01 49 29
186 Marist 53.1% +0.00 48 30
187 New Hampshire 53.0% -0.02 48 26
188 St. John's 53.0% -0.02 48 32
189 Tulsa 53.0% -0.02 47 31
190 Penn State 53.0% -0.03 47 31
191 UL Monroe 53.0% -0.03 47 28
192 Long Beach State 53.0% -0.03 47 31
193 Virginia 52.9% -0.06 46 35
194 Coastal Carolina 52.9% -0.07 46 29
195 UTEP 52.9% -0.08 46 32
196 Air Force 52.8% -0.09 46 29
197 Houston Christian 52.8% -0.11 45 25
198 Loyola Maryland 52.8% -0.11 45 29
199 Western Illinois 52.8% -0.11 45 30
200 UCF 52.8% -0.11 44 30
201 UNC Greensboro 52.8% -0.11 44 31
202 Gardner-Webb 52.8% -0.11 44 28
203 UNLV 52.8% -0.12 44 31
204 Rhode Island 52.7% -0.14 43 30
205 Kansas State 52.7% -0.14 43 31
206 Ole Miss 52.6% -0.18 43 32
207 Southern 52.6% -0.18 42 29
208 Utah 52.6% -0.19 42 31
209 Niagara 52.6% -0.19 42 29
210 Lafayette 52.5% -0.19 42 29
211 Omaha 52.5% -0.20 41 29
212 Florida International 52.5% -0.20 41 30
213 Rutgers 52.5% -0.21 41 32
214 Brown 52.5% -0.21 41 27
215 Bowling Green 52.5% -0.22 40 29
216 Grand Canyon 52.5% -0.22 40 29
217 Louisiana 52.4% -0.24 40 29
218 Incarnate Word 52.4% -0.24 39 29
219 Northern Kentucky 52.4% -0.25 39 30
220 Prairie View A&M 52.3% -0.27 39 27
221 UNC Wilmington 52.3% -0.28 39 34
222 Tennessee State 52.3% -0.29 38 30
223 Seattle U 52.2% -0.31 38 30
224 Stanford 52.2% -0.31 38 32
225 Florida State 52.2% -0.31 37 31
226 Oregon State 52.1% -0.34 37 31
227 American University 52.1% -0.34 37 32
228 Siena 52.1% -0.35 37 29
229 DePaul 52.1% -0.37 36 31
230 Georgia Tech 52.1% -0.37 36 31
231 Northwestern State 52.1% -0.37 36 29
232 Elon 52.0% -0.38 35 30
233 Marshall 52.0% -0.38 35 31
234 Fairfield 52.0% -0.40 35 32
235 UC Davis 51.9% -0.43 35 22
236 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 51.9% -0.43 34 31
237 Northwestern 51.9% -0.43 34 30
238 UC Irvine 51.9% -0.44 34 23
239 Monmouth 51.8% -0.45 34 34
240 Western Michigan 51.8% -0.45 33 28
241 Little Rock 51.8% -0.47 33 25
242 Wisconsin 51.8% -0.47 33 33
243 San Diego State 51.8% -0.47 32 32
244 Jacksonville 51.8% -0.47 32 27
245 Troy 51.8% -0.48 32 29
246 North Florida 51.7% -0.48 32 28
247 Washington State 51.7% -0.49 31 37
248 Alabama State 51.7% -0.51 31 30
249 Iowa State 51.7% -0.51 31 35
250 Dartmouth 51.7% -0.52 30 24
251 San José State 51.6% -0.52 30 30
252 McNeese 51.6% -0.52 30 29
253 East Carolina 51.6% -0.53 30 30
254 Sacramento State 51.6% -0.53 29 27
255 TCU 51.6% -0.54 29 34
256 George Washington 51.6% -0.54 29 30
257 Harvard 51.5% -0.55 28 23
258 Saint Joseph's 51.5% -0.55 28 30
259 High Point 51.5% -0.56 28 29
260 Stetson 51.5% -0.56 28 26
261 Saint Peter's 51.5% -0.58 27 33
262 NC State 51.4% -0.61 27 32
263 Texas Southern 51.4% -0.62 27 32
264 Long Island University 51.3% -0.63 27 29
265 Eastern Michigan 51.3% -0.64 26 30
266 Tennessee Tech 51.3% -0.64 26 30
267 Seton Hall 51.3% -0.66 26 31
268 Central Arkansas 51.2% -0.66 25 29
269 Mount St. Mary's 51.2% -0.67 25 29
270 Army 51.2% -0.67 25 29
271 West Virginia 51.1% -0.70 25 33
272 Louisville 51.1% -0.70 24 32
273 Portland State 51.1% -0.70 24 29
274 North Carolina Central 51.1% -0.70 24 27
275 North Dakota 51.1% -0.71 23 29
276 Merrimack 51.1% -0.72 23 29
277 Boston College 51.1% -0.72 23 33
278 Oklahoma State 51.0% -0.73 23 30
279 Wichita State 51.0% -0.76 22 28
280 Binghamton 51.0% -0.77 22 27
281 Central Michigan 50.9% -0.77 22 30
282 Milwaukee 50.9% -0.78 22 31
283 Missouri 50.9% -0.79 21 32
284 Eastern Kentucky 50.9% -0.79 21 27
285 Pittsburgh 50.9% -0.79 21 32
286 App State 50.9% -0.80 20 31
287 Tarleton State 50.9% -0.80 20 28
288 Georgia Southern 50.9% -0.80 20 26
289 UMass Lowell 50.8% -0.81 20 28
290 Idaho State 50.7% -0.84 19 28
291 Cal Poly 50.7% -0.86 19 27
292 Western Carolina 50.6% -0.88 19 31
293 Northern Arizona 50.6% -0.88 18 30
294 Northern Illinois 50.5% -0.94 18 30
295 Columbia 50.4% -0.96 18 25
296 La Salle 50.4% -0.98 18 30
297 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 50.4% -0.98 17 29
298 Pepperdine 50.3% -1.00 17 31
299 Washington 50.3% -1.01 17 32
300 Old Dominion 50.3% -1.01 16 31
301 Butler 50.3% -1.01 16 31
302 Green Bay 50.2% -1.02 16 29
303 Navy 50.2% -1.02 16 31
304 SIU Edwardsville 50.2% -1.03 15 30
305 South Carolina 50.1% -1.06 15 30
306 California 50.1% -1.07 15 32
307 Georgetown 50.1% -1.08 15 31
308 Evansville 50.0% -1.13 14 29
309 Sam Houston 49.9% -1.13 14 30
310 Utah Tech 49.9% -1.14 14 27
311 Cincinnati 49.8% -1.18 13 32
312 San Diego 49.8% -1.19 13 29
313 Southern Miss 49.7% -1.21 13 31
314 Coppin State 49.7% -1.22 13 32
315 Fairleigh Dickinson 49.7% -1.23 12 26
316 Pacific 49.6% -1.24 12 28
317 Florida A&M 49.6% -1.26 12 28
318 Austin Peay 49.6% -1.26 11 27
319 Fordham 49.6% -1.27 11 32
320 Temple 49.5% -1.27 11 29
321 NJIT 49.5% -1.28 11 28
322 Saint Francis 49.5% -1.29 10 29
323 Central Connecticut 49.5% -1.30 10 32
324 William & Mary 49.4% -1.31 10 31
325 Radford 49.4% -1.31 9 27
326 Alcorn State 49.4% -1.32 9 34
327 North Carolina A&T 49.3% -1.36 9 29
328 Morgan State 49.3% -1.37 9 24
329 Maine 49.3% -1.37 8 26
330 Rider 49.3% -1.37 8 32
331 UAlbany 49.2% -1.40 8 31
332 Arizona State 49.2% -1.41 8 31
333 UT Martin 49.1% -1.42 7 28
334 Charleston Southern 49.1% -1.43 7 28
335 UT Arlington 49.1% -1.45 7 27
336 Canisius 48.9% -1.49 6 31
337 Grambling 48.8% -1.55 6 30
338 Holy Cross 48.7% -1.58 6 29
339 Georgia State 48.6% -1.60 6 26
340 St. Francis Brooklyn 48.6% -1.61 5 29
341 Bethune-Cookman 48.6% -1.62 5 29
342 Presbyterian 48.6% -1.62 5 29
343 Chicago State 48.5% -1.66 4 32
344 Delaware State 48.4% -1.67 4 25
345 Hampton 48.4% -1.69 4 26
346 Maryland Eastern Shore 48.2% -1.75 4 24
347 Cal State Bakersfield 48.1% -1.78 3 25
348 Duquesne 48.1% -1.79 3 30
349 Cal State Northridge 47.8% -1.90 3 28
350 Jackson State 47.7% -1.95 3 30
351 Mississippi Valley State 47.5% -1.99 2 28
352 Lamar 47.5% -2.00 2 27
353 South Carolina State 47.2% -2.10 2 28
354 Eastern Illinois 47.2% -2.12 1 29
355 North Alabama 46.9% -2.24 1 26
356 UTSA 46.6% -2.34 1 29
357 Alabama A&M 45.9% -2.59 1 30
358 IU Indianapolis 45.4% -2.75 0 27
359 South Florida 44.4% -3.13 0 31