Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | WKU -205 JXST +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +5 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | WKU -6.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -4.5 (-9.5) | 136.1 (+0.9) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -4.7 (-9.7) | 136.8 (+0.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -4.2 (-9.2) | 134.9 (+2.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -4.5 (-9.5) | 134.6 (+2.4) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | JXST 78 – 67 WKU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | JXST 85 – 83 WKU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | JXST 73 – 67 WKU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | WKU 70 – 59 JXST |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WKU 80 – 69 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#160) | -3.2 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#166) | -0.55 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#166) | -0.64 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#142) | 0.483 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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