Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -120 WKU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +11 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | JXST -1.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -0.5 (-11.5) | 146.4 (-17.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -0.5 (-11.5) | 143.7 (-14.7) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -0.4 (-11.4) | 143.8 (-14.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -0.0 (-11.0) | 145.6 (-16.6) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | JXST 71 – 66 WKU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | JXST 78 – 67 WKU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | JXST 85 – 83 WKU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | JXST 73 – 67 WKU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WKU 80 – 69 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 8-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#171) | 1.1 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#227) | 0.41 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#184) | 0.48 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#241) | 0.516 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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