Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | AUB -425 MEM +325 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +14 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -6.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -2.4 (+11.6) | 156.5 (+9.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -4.4 (+9.6) | 155.3 (+10.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -2.5 (+11.5) | 153.1 (+12.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -2.4 (+11.6) | 155.7 (+10.3) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | MEM 82 – 73 AUB |
| Dec 12, 2020 | AUB 74 – 71 MEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-6 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 16-2 |
| Home | 13-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 8-2 | 11-2 |
| Neutral | 11-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 21.0 (#6) | 14.8 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.12 (#15) | 4.43 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.82 (#15) | 6.50 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.755 (#5) | 0.768 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.7% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 45.4% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.82 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.2% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 36.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.3% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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