Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
Conference USA · VyStar Arena · February 14, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -1.5 Away covered
O/U 162.5 Under
Money KENN -130 / SHSU +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual SHSU +4 162 Lost
Massey SHSU -1.5 (-2.5) — —
Massey Totals — 168.8 (-6.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 41% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 37% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SHSU -0.3 (-3.7) 158.1 (+3.9) 48% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENN -0.3 (-4.3) 158.9 (+3.1) 54% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SHSU -0.5 (-3.5) 156.4 (+5.6) 47% ✓
Baseline ML SHSU -0.5 (-3.5) 156.5 (+5.5) 44% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 13, 2026 KENN 79 – 73 SHSU
Jan 22, 2026 SHSU 93 – 87 KENN
Feb 15, 2025 SHSU 78 – 76 KENN
Jan 17, 2025 KENN 75 – 69 SHSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN SHSU
Overall 21-14 22-12
Conference 10-10 13-7
Home 13-3 13-1
Away 4-8 6-10
Neutral 4-3 3-1
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 80.0 80.0
Avg Pts Against 78.2 76.9
Massey -0.4 (#173) 4.0 (#111)
Bradley-Terry -0.29 (#201) 0.58 (#107)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.31 (#194) 0.79 (#107)
RPI 0.485 (#215) 0.543 (#86)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN SHSU
FG% 42.6% 45.5%
3PT% 32.5% 37.1%
REB / G 40.6 38.4
OREB / G 14.3 12.7
AST / TO 1.07 1.19
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.8% 52.5%
TOV% 17.1% 17.2%
ORB% 36.2% 34.9%
FT Rate 31.5% 23.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.5% 50.3%
Opp TOV% 15.6% 17.1%
DRB% 69.3% 68.6%
Opp FT Rate 34.9% 26.9%

Game Analysis

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