I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
Sam Houston Bearkats
73 – 79
FINAL Neutral Conference CUSA
Kennesaw State Owls
Conference USA · Propst Arena (Neutral) · March 13, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread SHSU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 159.5 Under
Money SHSU -135 / KENN +114
Model Predictions
Spread Total SHSU win
Actual KENN +6 152 Lost
Massey SHSU -4.6 (-10.6) — —
Massey Totals — 164.3 (-12.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 70% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 74% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SHSU -3.9 (-9.9) 157.8 (-5.8) 67% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SHSU -2.7 (-8.7) 156.3 (-4.3) 63% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SHSU -4.1 (-10.1) 156.1 (-4.1) 67% ✗
Baseline ML SHSU -3.8 (-9.8) 156.7 (-4.7) 66% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 SHSU 83 – 79 KENN
Jan 22, 2026 SHSU 93 – 87 KENN
Feb 15, 2025 SHSU 78 – 76 KENN
Jan 17, 2025 KENN 75 – 69 SHSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SHSU KENN
Overall 22-12 21-14
Conference 13-7 10-10
Home 13-1 13-3
Away 6-10 4-8
Neutral 3-1 4-3
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 80.0 80.0
Avg Pts Against 76.9 78.2
Massey 4.3 (#106) -0.3 (#169)
Bradley-Terry 0.70 (#109) -0.13 (#175)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.90 (#108) -0.14 (#174)
RPI 0.552 (#71) 0.496 (#193)
Shooting & Four Factors SHSU KENN
FG% 45.8% 43.1%
3PT% 37.9% 33.7%
REB / G 38.6 38.9
OREB / G 12.9 13.5
AST / TO 1.26 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.5% 50.5%
TOV% 16.5% 16.9%
ORB% 35.6% 35.4%
FT Rate 25.1% 30.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.8% 49.1%
Opp TOV% 16.2% 15.9%
DRB% 70.2% 69.8%
Opp FT Rate 25.4% 36.2%

Game Analysis

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