Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -1100 UCF +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCF +13 | 181 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -11.6 (-24.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -11.9 (-24.9) | 160.6 (+20.4) | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -9.5 (-22.5) | 159.6 (+21.4) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -9.9 (-22.9) | 163.1 (+17.9) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -10.5 (-23.5) | 160.5 (+20.5) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2025 | BYU 81 – 75 UCF |
| Mar 13, 2024 | BYU 87 – 73 UCF |
| Feb 14, 2024 | BYU 90 – 88 UCF |
| Jan 13, 2024 | BYU 63 – 58 UCF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-5 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.5 | 80.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 78.4 |
| Massey | 19.3 (#19) | 10.6 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.33 (#17) | 2.73 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.13 (#19) | 3.29 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#18) | 0.604 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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