Betting Lines
| Spread | UCF -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | UCF -115 BYU -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +6 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -3.3 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -0.3 (-5.7) | 157.6 (-1.6) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -1.4 (-4.6) | 159.2 (-3.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -0.4 (-5.6) | 159.5 (-3.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCF -0.1 (-6.1) | 160.5 (-4.5) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | UCF 97 – 84 BYU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | BYU 87 – 73 UCF |
| Feb 14, 2024 | BYU 90 – 88 UCF |
| Jan 13, 2024 | BYU 63 – 58 UCF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCF | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-17 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-5 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.8 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.4 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#68) | 15.1 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#41) | 1.71 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#40) | 2.36 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#36) | 0.558 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCF | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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