Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | PEPP +280 SEA -355 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +7 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -7.4 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -6.6 (-0.4) | 139.3 (+27.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -6.0 (-1.0) | 138.7 (+28.3) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -6.6 (-0.4) | 134.7 (+32.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -7.1 (+0.1) | 134.8 (+32.2) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | SEA 83 – 81 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-10 | 14-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#274) | 3.5 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#279) | 0.47 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#271) | 0.80 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#306) | 0.503 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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