Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | SEA -850 PEPP +575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +2 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -13.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (+30.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -11.2 (-9.2) | 135.8 (+28.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -9.8 (-7.8) | 138.0 (+26.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -9.7 (-7.7) | 132.7 (+31.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -11.1 (-9.1) | 132.3 (+31.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | SEA 87 – 80 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-4 | 7-10 |
| Away | 5-8 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#120) | -6.9 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#117) | -1.58 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#113) | -1.69 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#158) | 0.422 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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