Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | NIA +280 MRMK -355 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -8.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -7.3 (+0.3) | 128.8 (+10.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -7.6 (+0.6) | 132.3 (+6.7) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -8.1 (+1.1) | 130.8 (+8.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -7.2 (+0.2) | 129.1 (+9.9) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2025 | MRMK 64 – 59 NIA |
| Dec 8, 2024 | MRMK 80 – 62 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 17-3 |
| Home | 6-7 | 11-0 |
| Away | 2-14 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.3 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -13.3 (#340) | -1.8 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.15 (#341) | 0.30 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.85 (#343) | 0.23 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#337) | 0.548 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 59.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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