Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -425 NIA +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +5 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -10.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -8.3 (-3.3) | 131.1 (-8.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -8.1 (-3.1) | 127.9 (-4.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -8.6 (-3.6) | 129.4 (-6.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -8.7 (-3.7) | 128.7 (-5.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | MRMK 73 – 66 NIA |
| Dec 8, 2024 | MRMK 80 – 62 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 9-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.2 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#189) | -9.5 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#173) | -1.63 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#187) | -2.31 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#129) | 0.417 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 20.1% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 61.6% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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