Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | BTLR +120 NU -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | BTLR -0.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -0.1 (+2.1) | 135.2 (+4.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -0.5 (+1.5) | 132.3 (+7.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -0.2 (+1.8) | 132.9 (+7.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -0.2 (+2.2) | 130.2 (+9.8) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | BTLR 61 – 58 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-8 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#74) | 6.3 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#160) | 0.81 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#106) | 1.19 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#129) | 0.520 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 41.1% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 38.0% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.3% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.6% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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