Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | BTLR -192 NU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +3 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | BTLR -2.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (-41.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -2.1 (+0.9) | 156.3 (-37.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -2.4 (+0.6) | 153.7 (-34.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -2.6 (+0.4) | 154.8 (-35.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -2.8 (+0.2) | 155.8 (-36.8) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2024 | BTLR 71 – 69 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 5-15 |
| Home | 10-7 | 9-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#47) | 9.5 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#54) | 0.72 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.95 (#50) | 0.87 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#63) | 0.529 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 50.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 42.1 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 39.1% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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