Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | WVU +230 ARIZ -280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +7 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -0.9 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -0.8 (+6.2) | 152.1 (+6.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -2.4 (+9.4) | 150.8 (+8.2) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -0.2 (+6.8) | 147.2 (+11.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -0.0 (+7.0) | 150.8 (+8.2) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | ARIZ 88 – 53 WVU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | ARIZ 75 – 56 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 82.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#39) | 12.7 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#42) | 0.09 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.05 (#28) | 0.95 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.637 (#26) | 0.548 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 44.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 16.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 41.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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