What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
Big 12 Conference · Hope Coliseum · January 8, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread ARIZ -4.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money WVU +160 / ARIZ -190
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual ARIZ +19 131 Lost
Massey ARIZ -0.5 (-18.5) — —
Massey Totals — 146.9 (-15.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 88% ✗
Baseline Plus ML ARIZ -0.3 (-18.7) 142.1 (-11.1) 41% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ARIZ -0.5 (-18.5) 142.1 (-11.1) 35% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WVU -0.5 (-19.5) 140.0 (-9.0) 58% ✗
Baseline ML WVU -1.3 (-20.3) 141.2 (-10.2) 46% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 ARIZ 88 – 53 WVU
Nov 29, 2024 WVU 83 – 76 ARIZ

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU ARIZ
Overall 19-13 24-13
Conference 10-10 14-6
Home 13-4 13-3
Away 4-7 6-5
Neutral 2-2 5-5
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.2 82.5
Avg Pts Against 64.8 73.3
Massey 14.7 (#28) 19.3 (#10)
Bradley-Terry 3.41 (#14) 1.95 (#56)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.03 (#21) 2.86 (#46)
RPI 0.635 (#20) 0.582 (#56)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU ARIZ
FG% 44.0% 48.5%
3PT% 35.2% 31.0%
REB / G 37.0 41.5
OREB / G 10.0 13.6
AST / TO 1.29 1.43
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.5% 53.8%
TOV% 16.6% 16.9%
ORB% 28.6% 39.8%
FT Rate 21.9% 28.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 42.1% 46.8%
Opp TOV% 20.5% 19.3%
DRB% 69.8% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 21.6%

Game Analysis

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