Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CIN -850 UTAH +575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +7 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -9.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -9.2 (-2.2) | 141.4 (-2.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -8.6 (-1.6) | 141.9 (-2.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -9.0 (-2.0) | 140.0 (-1.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -9.0 (-2.0) | 141.0 (-2.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | CIN 69 – 65 UTAH |
| Feb 12, 2025 | CIN 85 – 75 UTAH |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UTAH 69 – 66 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 2-16 |
| Home | 15-3 | 8-9 |
| Away | 2-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#43) | 3.5 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#53) | 0.42 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#43) | 0.54 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#82) | 0.483 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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