Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | CIN -400 UTAH +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +10 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -6.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (+23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -6.0 (+4.0) | 137.7 (+22.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -5.7 (+4.3) | 137.6 (+22.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -5.0 (+5.0) | 138.4 (+21.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -5.6 (+4.4) | 137.7 (+22.3) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | CIN 73 – 66 UTAH |
| Feb 15, 2026 | CIN 69 – 65 UTAH |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UTAH 69 – 66 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-5 | 15-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#46) | 8.6 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#65) | 1.22 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#63) | 1.48 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#97) | 0.517 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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