Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | BYU -200 NCSU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +11 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -3.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -1.7 (+9.3) | 145.9 (-12.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -2.8 (+8.2) | 146.5 (-13.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -0.7 (+10.3) | 149.0 (-16.0) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -0.7 (+10.3) | 148.3 (-15.3) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2023 | BYU 95 – 86 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 5-15 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#44) | 7.1 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#85) | 1.06 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#107) | 1.81 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#158) | 0.518 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.82 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.7% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 38.2% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 81.4% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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