Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
| Money | BYU -267 NCSU +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +9 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -16.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+39.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -9.6 (-0.6) | 144.5 (+36.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -9.7 (-0.7) | 147.4 (+33.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -11.0 (-2.0) | 146.8 (+34.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -10.0 (-1.0) | 142.6 (+38.4) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2024 | BYU 72 – 61 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 26-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 16-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 10-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 22.7 (#3) | 6.6 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#21) | 1.74 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.61 (#18) | 2.23 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#88) | 0.607 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 49.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 2.08 | 1.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 12.3% |
| ORB% | 42.3% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.6% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 80.9% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.3% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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