Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | HOW -700 BU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +11 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -16.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-29.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -9.0 (+2.0) | 142.0 (-25.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -9.3 (+1.7) | 138.0 (-21.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -9.8 (+1.2) | 139.6 (-22.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -10.5 (+0.5) | 143.3 (-26.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2024 | BU 69 – 62 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#124) | -3.8 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#179) | -0.98 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#172) | -1.40 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#150) | 0.229 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 33.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 40.4% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 18.4% |
| FT Rate | 40.8% | 13.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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