Grambling
Tigers
63
–
71
FINAL
Neutral
ATL Has Something to Say HBCU Challenge
Delaware State
Hornets
Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -333 DSU +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +8 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -4.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -2.9 (-10.9) | 141.2 (-7.2) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -2.1 (-10.1) | 139.6 (-5.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -1.9 (-9.9) | 140.8 (-6.8) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2024 | DSU 73 – 60 GRAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-8 |
| Home | 9-3 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#288) | -10.5 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#203) | -1.28 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#201) | -1.62 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#108) | 0.528 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 35.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 19.1% |
| REB / G | 24.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.46 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.5% | 37.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 17.1% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 63.5% | 62.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 25.5% |
| DRB% | 60.0% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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