Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | DSU +170 GRAM -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +13 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -5.6 (+18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -1.4 (+14.4) | 139.6 (-6.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -1.4 (+14.4) | 139.0 (-6.0) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -0.2 (+13.2) | 141.8 (-8.8) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -0.6 (+13.6) | 141.2 (-8.2) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2023 | DSU 71 – 63 GRAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 12-22 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#330) | -4.7 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#270) | -3.14 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#276) | -4.57 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#273) | 0.425 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 19.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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