Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | LIB -205 UVM +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +10 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -10.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -6.4 (+3.6) | 134.0 (-2.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -5.8 (+4.2) | 140.9 (-8.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -5.3 (+4.7) | 137.8 (-5.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -5.8 (+4.2) | 137.0 (-5.0) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2025 | LIB 79 – 73 UVM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 15-1 |
| Home | 12-3 | 16-1 |
| Away | 2-8 | 10-4 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 14.3 (#11) | 3.6 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.36 (#6) | 2.77 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.20 (#4) | 4.37 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.917 (#1) | 0.741 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.4% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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