Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM -300 STO +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +11 | 183 | Won |
| Massey | ETAM -23.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+47.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -14.4 (-3.4) | 134.3 (+48.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -13.1 (-2.1) | 148.8 (+34.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -15.8 (-4.8) | 137.8 (+45.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -15.9 (-4.9) | 136.9 (+46.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2024 | STO 67 – 65 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 2-14 |
| Home | 8-7 | 4-8 |
| Away | 4-12 | 0-19 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#231) | -17.9 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#95) | -1.19 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#97) | -1.96 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.661 (#27) | 0.478 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.8% | 34.3% |
| 3PT% | 21.6% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.0% | 41.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 11.6% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 59.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 13.6% |
Game Analysis
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