Betting Lines
| Spread | STO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | STO -150 ETAM +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STO +2 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | STO -8.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STO -6.9 (-4.9) | 132.5 (-0.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STO -5.9 (-3.9) | 136.4 (-4.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STO -8.2 (-6.2) | 135.4 (-3.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STO -7.2 (-5.2) | 133.9 (-1.9) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2023 | ETAM 97 – 86 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STO | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 3-17 |
| Home | 11-3 | 4-10 |
| Away | 3-13 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#262) | -7.5 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#208) | -1.07 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#172) | -1.99 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#198) | 0.455 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STO | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 24.5% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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