Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | USC -200 HALL +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +8 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -8.0 (+16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -5.2 (+13.2) | 139.3 (-5.3) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -4.9 (+12.9) | 139.3 (-5.3) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -4.5 (+12.5) | 139.6 (-5.6) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -4.5 (+12.5) | 139.3 (-5.3) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | USC 83 – 81 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-6 | 17-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#128) | 10.3 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#157) | 1.98 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#172) | 3.06 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#170) | 0.620 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 51.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 38.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 41.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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