Space travel's in my blood. "Another Girl, Another Planet" - The Only Ones
USC Trojans
83 – 81
FINAL Neutral Southwest Maui Invitational
Seton Hall Pirates
Lahaina Civic Center (Neutral) · November 25, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread USC -6.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money USC -285 / HALL +230
Model Predictions
Spread Total USC win
Actual USC +2 164 Won
Massey USC -3.0 (-1.0) — —
Massey Totals — 151.5 (+12.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 54% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 37% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ USC -1.0 (+1.0) 144.7 (+19.3) 55% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML USC -0.4 (+1.6) 141.5 (+22.5) 54% ✓
Baseline ML HALL -0.0 (+2.0) 141.1 (+22.9) 53% ✓
Baseline Plus ML USC -0.1 (+1.9) 145.2 (+18.8) 49% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 23, 2023 USC 71 – 63 HALL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings USC HALL
Overall 18-14 21-12
Conference 7-13 10-10
Home 9-7 12-5
Away 5-6 6-6
Neutral 4-1 3-1
Last 5 5-0 5-0
Streak L8 L1
Avg Pts For 77.8 70.3
Avg Pts Against 78.4 65.3
Massey 12.4 (#35) 9.4 (#58)
Bradley-Terry 2.99 (#14) 2.81 (#18)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.91 (#27) 4.44 (#16)
RPI 0.733 (#4) 0.634 (#35)
Shooting & Four Factors USC HALL
FG% 47.0% 43.3%
3PT% 36.8% 32.8%
REB / G 41.0 38.0
OREB / G 12.2 12.8
AST / TO 1.82 1.40
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.5% 48.8%
TOV% 13.8% 14.7%
ORB% 32.1% 36.3%
FT Rate 36.1% 33.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.1% 44.2%
Opp TOV% 19.9% 25.0%
DRB% 64.0% 72.2%
Opp FT Rate 23.5% 26.9%

Game Analysis

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