Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -170 SIE +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +13 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -4.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -1.1 (-14.1) | 143.1 (-14.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -1.5 (-14.5) | 143.2 (-14.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -2.2 (-15.2) | 141.3 (-12.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -1.8 (-14.8) | 142.2 (-13.2) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2021 | BUCK 65 – 56 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#198) | -5.7 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#156) | 0.17 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#156) | -0.06 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#126) | 0.503 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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