Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -120 SIE +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +9 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -14.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (-28.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -6.8 (+2.2) | 143.7 (-22.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -6.2 (+2.8) | 143.7 (-22.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -7.9 (+1.1) | 145.3 (-24.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -8.9 (+0.1) | 146.3 (-25.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2024 | SIE 71 – 58 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-15 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#307) | -15.6 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.97 (#344) | -1.57 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.23 (#342) | -2.27 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.308 (#353) | 0.424 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.8% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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