Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | CLT -225 GAST +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +8 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -10.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -8.6 (-0.6) | 136.8 (-14.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -9.3 (-1.3) | 133.9 (-11.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -8.5 (-0.5) | 132.3 (-10.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -8.5 (-0.5) | 133.0 (-11.0) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | CLT 77 – 63 GAST |
| Dec 4, 2020 | GAST 76 – 65 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#87) | 2.1 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#58) | 0.47 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#48) | 0.66 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.674 (#21) | 0.453 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 12.4% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 37.1% |
Game Analysis
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